Azerbaijan, Baku, July 6 / Trend T.Hajiyev /
Policy pursued by the Armenian leadership led the country to a standstill, Azerbaijani Political Innovations and Technologies Center Head Mubariz Ahmadoglu said. Armenia is on the verge of defeat in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, he said.
"Armenia does not have resources to avoid defeat. This is observed in domestic and foreign policy. Armenia observes a process of crushing of structures. Crushing process continues as in the camp of the opposition and in governmental circles. In addition, the Armenian budget amounts to $1.8 billion, while foreign debt is $ 4.5 billion," Ahmadoglu said.
Armenia pinned its hopes on the assistance of the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO). However, recent events in Kyrgyzstan have revealed the weakness of the CSTO, he added.
"According to the social survey conducted by a British organization in the Nagorno-Karabakh and Armenia, 54 percent of respondents favored the elimination of the status quo, only 17 percent voted for independence or annexation of Nagorno-Karabakh to Armenia. This indicates a change in public opinion in Armenia," Ahmadoglu said.
The Armenian President Serzh Sargsyan must finally take decisive action, he added.
"The fact that Armenia approvingly received the OSCE Minsk Group co-chair countries presidents' statement demonstrates the hopelessness of the situation, which the country faced. Sargsyan will soon take decisive action to rescue the country from this situation. He will decide is either to go to war or leave the occupied territories," Ahmadoglu said.
The conflict between the two South Caucasus countries began in 1988 when Armenia made territorial claims against Azerbaijan. Armenian armed forces have occupied 20 percent of Azerbaijan since 1992, including the Nagorno-Karabakh region and 7 surrounding districts.
Azerbaijan and Armenia signed a ceasefire agreement in 1994. The co-chairs of the OSCE Minsk Group - Russia, France, and the U.S. - are currently holding the peace negotiations.
Armenia has not yet implemented the U.N. Security Council's four resolutions on the liberation of the Nagorno-Karabakh region and the occupied territories.
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