Russia, Moscow / corr Trend R.Agayev /The 'Orange' revolution, which occurred in Ukraine and Georgia over the past few years, cannot take place in Russia, said Grigoriy Trofimchuk, the adviser of the Committee on Defense of the State Duma [Russian Parliament], and political expert, said.
"The point is that the orange revolution in Russia occurred before all similar revolutions in CIS, when this term did not even exist. The democratic revolution held in Russia in 1991 was the first orange revolution in CIS. If to view the situation in this system of coordinates, orange revolution cannot occur in Azerbaijan, Trofimchuk said in an interview with Trend on 26 November.
Stressing the pre-election 'race' on the eve of the forthcoming parliamentary elections in Russia on 2 December, the political expert allows some scaly movements in another direction. 'We can be a locomotive in the CIS in this respect. However, an orange revolution as in Russia will not likely occur, this scenario is closed following its failurе in Uzbekistan, or in Kyrgyzstan. In principle, this term should be abandoned. It is high time to forget it, because other levels will be included and other scenarios will be launched," Trofinchuk said.
In response to a question on the number of names of parties which can enter the State Duma, the adviser said that for the time being no one can confirm this and therefore, there are thoughts on the victory of four, three or two parties. The last few days will demonstrate the source of such ideas, primarily the opinion from the 'top'. The victory of three or four parties is real, or at any rate the rest of the parties will not play any role along with the major one.
The political expert said that if the ruling Unified Russia gains 70-80% of votes, the mechanism when State Duma will be comprised of Unified Russia is likely to work. He thinks that enlisting the signatures collected by the Movement for Putin, the current authorities can legally offer changes in the Constitution, including the possibility of the election of Vladimir Putin for the third term, alternation of the term of power in the post of President. "It will be legitimate and without any revolt, because the people's support is obvious. Signatures collected by the Movement for Putin and collected in trucks are on the agenda, whereas the elections will only confirm the nation's support officially through ballot papers," he said.
According to Trofimchuk, there is another issue concerning the President and that is whether the force which he relies upon could support him in his further promotion.