Only Iranian population to suffer from new sanctions: International Crisis Group's analyst

Only Iranian population to suffer from new sanctions: International Crisis Group's analyst

Azerbaijan, Baku, October 2 / Trend E. Ostapenko /

Only Iranian population would suffer from new sanctions or unilateral restrictive measures imposed by western countries towards Iran, senior analyst at the International Crisis Group, Frederic Tellier supposes.

"The sanction policy was likely to favor the current Iranian elite which had built its financial power by bypassing the sanctions while it would help the Iranian leadership to capture the nationalism of a population that will feel like the real target of those measures", - Tellier, who deals with Iranian regional role and its nuclear program wrote Trend in an e-mail.

Iran insists that its nuclear program follows only peaceful purposes and is aimed to provide Iran with electric power. Tehran ignored five resolutions of UN Security Council calling for ceasing all nuclear developments.

Western representatives repeatedly warned that Iran can face new sanctions if one fails to achieve the agreement to freeze Iranian program on uranium enrichment by late 2009. 

Tellier who had lived and worked in the Islamic Republic of Iran for three years said that it will be rather difficult to come to a joint decision of six world powers (five constant members of UN Security Council and Germany) on new sanctions towards Iran. 

He considers it possible to impose unilateral restrictive measures by western countries towards Iran but he doubts in their effect. He said that it is possible to achieve expected effect by concentrating on Iranian energy sector.

"In the absence of sanctions that target the energy sector Iran won't face any major threats from the reinforcement of the current sanctions", - he said, adding that unilateral measures have always been taken regarding the ban of visas regarding individuals and freeze of their assets.

Chinese authority has recently stated that the People's Republic of China stands against imposing additional sanctions towards Iran and called for more effective diplomatic measures to solve the problem. Chinese companies have actively export petroleum to Iran since September. The USA and its allies intend to restrict these supplies. 

Earlier EU foreign and security policy chief Javier Solana expressed confidence that Russia and China will not object if western powers call for toughening of sanctions towards Iran soon.

The result of six world powers' talks with Iranian delegation in Geneva on Thursday was the agreement that Iran will allow inspectors from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) to visit a new uranium enrichment plant in Gum within nearest two weeks and IAEA director general Mohamed ElBaradei will arrive in Tehran by late of the week.

The agreement was reached that Tehran will be able to enrich uranium abroad (that Russia can deal with) and a new round of talks on Iranian nuclear program to be held by late October.

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