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Experts: Kyrgyzstan’s unsolved problems can once again raise country’s people

Politics Materials 6 October 2010 13:20 (UTC +04:00)
Kyrgyzstan’s unsolved problems, such as electricity shortages and high food prices in upcoming winter may cause the population’s dissatisfaction with the country’s new government, experts say.
Experts: Kyrgyzstan’s unsolved problems can once again raise country’s people

Azerbaijan, Baku, Oct. 6 / Trend, V.Zhavoronkova /

Kyrgyzstan's unsolved problems, such as electricity shortages and high food prices in upcoming winter may cause the population's dissatisfaction with the country's new government, experts say.  

On Sunday it is planned to hold parliamentary elections in the Central Asian country, as a result of which new government of the parliamentary Kyrgyzstan will be formed. Some 29 parties' representatives will nominate for 120 MP mandates.

A decision to change the governance of the country from a presidential to a parliamentary system was adopted by the republic's interim government which came to power after President Kurmanbek Bakiyev's overthrow in April 2010. The decision was legitimized by a referendum held in the country in June this year.

After the elections in the country it will be necessary to create a new government in short period, which should begin to solve a great deal of problems in Kyrgyzstan as soon as possible, experts believe. "Otherwise, the country's population can once again start protesting."

"If it proves difficult to form a government after the election, as seems likely, then the rise in food prices and the onset of winter could produce de-stabilisation," European expert on Central Asia Ben Judah wrote Trend in an e-mail.

According to American expert on Central Asia Bruce Pannier, the first few weeks after the election the country should remain fairly calm.

"Most likely, the election will be held peacefully, however, how the situation further will develop in the country is unknown," Russian expert on the CIS Stanislav Pritchin believes.

According to Pritchin, despite authorities' official statements that the situation is under control, there are many factors that later can become apparent.

"If the process of forming a coalition government is slow or if there is endless quarrelling and bickering in parliament then the people's patience may run out very quickly," Pannier, expert at the Liberty Radio wrote Trend in an e-mail.

He said it is absolutely worth noting that Kyrgyzstan has a number of problems that need attention as quickly as possible

It is a long list for any government and, again, the people may not be very patient in waiting for results, Pannier believes.

"Many analysts predict the winter will be especially hard in terms of energy supplies and probably food as well," he said.

According to Judah, expert from the European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR), so far, the candidates have not offered concrete plans to improve the situation.

"Alarmingly the politicians standing for election are campaigning on crude slogans such as "Fear or Security? Choose!" - and are not offering serious economic plans that offer an actual future to Kyrgyzstan," he said.

According to experts, in addition the country's government still poorly controls south of the country.

Judah believes that the danger is that poor governance after an inconclusive election may attract people to the opposition's side in the coming winter and developments can run on the scheme that was during the period of President Bakiyev's overthrow.

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