Georgian opposition has no chance of victory

Georgian opposition has no chance of victory

Azerbaijan, Baku, Nov. 26 / Trend E.Tariverdiyeva /

Experts believe that the Georgian opposition has no chance to topple the current government in the country.

"The demonstrations in Tbilisi are a reminder of the so-called 'radical' opposition about itself, but the forces strapped to Rustaveli Avenue show that the opposition does not have the required superiority for a decisive battle and victory," Heritage Foundation's leading expert on Eurasia and Trend Expert Council member Ariel Cohen said.

A rally of the Georgian People's Assembly took place in front of the parliament building in Tbilisi yesterday. The participants demanded the resignation of the president and snap presidential and parliamentary elections.

Opposition leader Nino Burjanadze was a co-organizer of the event. The rally, which lasted 2.5 hours, brought together up to 6,000 people. The assembly adopted a verdict of non-confidence in the government and current President Mikheil Saakashvili.

Observers say although the opposition is making attempts, it has no chance to topple the current government due to its own fragmentation and weaknesses.

The opposition will fail, Johns Hopkins University Institute of Central Asia and Caucasus Director and Swedish Institute of Security Policy and Development Founder Svante Cornell said. He added that such incidents have already been observed during Saakashvili's presidency.  

"This time, the opposition was not so great, and Georgia's opposition itself is nothing in itself," Cornell told trend.

Georgia is a state with a serious domestic and foreign policy.

"Since the state itself is very strong, the opposition's actions are futile," Cornell said.

The small number of people who gathered in front of parliament "did not allow us to resort to radical measures," Burjanadze told reporters.

"We were waiting for more support. It is not the type of mass that could make and execute the necessary decisions," she said.

She stressed that "the assembly will wait for greater participation and will announce new rallies later."

"If we talk about the impeachment of the president, then the country has a parliament for this, but the opposition is in the minority in parliament, especially since the 'black-and-white' opposition ignored the parliamentary elections," Cohen said.

In May 2008, the "united opposition," which included nine political forces, boycotted the elections, as the government refused to comply with its requirements.

If the opposition wants impeachment and constitutional changes, for this there are parliamentary elections, which they should try to win, Cohen said.

According to the Constitution, parliamentary elections are held every four years. The previous elections were held in May 2008. The next elections will be held in May or June 2012.

Meanwhile, President of the Georgian Foundation for Strategic and International Studies Alexander Rondeli also believes that, despite protests, the opposition will not be able to gather a large number of people on the streets.

"Everyone is bored with them and no one believes them any longer," he said in an interview with Kommersant. "They need to change themselves and their tactics."

Randeli said many reforms have been made by the government, but their implementation takes longer than the amount of time that the opposition is willing to wait.

"The opposition believes that such complex reforms can take place in five minutes and their fruits can already be reaped. This is impossible, Georgia needs time," he said.

Georgian expert Andro Barnov regards the protest as an "attempt to blow up" the situation in the country.

"The rally was directed against Georgia's state interests and against the stability in the country," Barnov told Trend.

He stressed that the protest was aimed at undermining the international authority of the country and this "cannot be in the interests of the Georgian people."
   
"This rally was also directed against the process of negotiations between the opposition and the authorities on the improvement of the electoral environment," Barnov said, noting that these talks are a positive development, since they must provide a change of government only through a legitimate way - through elections.
   
However, another Georgian expert Gia Khukhashvili believes that the protest marked the beginning of a political process that will return the people's confidence in the opposition.

"So far, no political process is observed in the country, and it should begin, so that the opposition can regain the confidence of the people," Khukhashvili told Trend.

He said the number of the people who were gathered on Nov. 25 in front of parliament, "is sufficient based on the current state of affairs."

Khukhashvili said a protest electorate will be formed in two or three months.
According to the expert, the rally's organizers did not aim to carry out radical actions on Nov. 25.

"The rally is designed for the long term and no one was betting on a one-day revelation, as such insights have implications," Khukhashvili said, stressing that Georgian society must come to terms with long-term political processes, rather than one-day radical solutions.

Review of Georgia's exports to China
Review of Georgia's exports to China
EU provides more details on projects supporting in Georgian energy sector
EU provides more details on projects supporting in Georgian energy sector
Geostat reveals data on China's exports to Georgia
Geostat reveals data on China's exports to Georgia
Loading Bars
Latest
Review of Georgia's exports to China
Azerbaijani banks greatly expand mortgage lending volume - CBA
EU provides more details on projects supporting in Georgian energy sector
Iran's Energy Exchange announces products to be on sale on April 24
Extension of contract for dev't of gold-bearing deposit approved in Azerbaijan
Geostat reveals data on China's exports to Georgia
UK records another 2,396 coronavirus cases, 22 deaths
Robert F. Kennedy Human Rights, Nizami Ganjavi Int'l Center to discuss need for human rights advocacy
Armenia demonstrates fascism in relation to historical monuments - Azerbaijani State Committee
Karabakh ceasefire agreement signed, time to move forward - Commissioner for Human Rights
Some Russian airlines receive permission to make regular flights to Azerbaijan
View of Azerbaijan's liberated territories horrifying - Belarus ambassador
Execution of memorandum on improving insurance literacy starts in Azerbaijan
Uzbekneftegaz completes drilling operations on several wells
Number of transactions at Uzbek Commodity Exchange for 1Q2021 increases
EIB to assist Uzbekistan in developing credit line for project in Aral Sea region
Longest tunnel in Iran to be opened by end of spring
WB expresses readiness to provide digital transformation support to Azerbaijan
Iran creating water trading market
Volume of credit investments in Azerbaijan's economy declines
Iran’s Bahar Azadi gold coin price rebounds
WB predicts fall in gold prices in 2021
Kazakhstan to establish new mobile operator
Exports markets demonstrate growing demand for Georgian medications
Kazakhstan talks ongoing work to open CLAAS agricultural vehicles' assembly plant
Turkmenistan's Turkmenbashi refinery to launch production of Jet A-1 aviation fuel
Uzbekistan, Latvia consider prospects for co-op in ICT
Azerbaijan shows footage from Bash Garvand village of Aghdam district (VIDEO)
Postal operators of Azerbaijan, Turkey launch money transfer service at favorable tariffs
India’s crosses a Landmark with Cumulative Vaccination Coverage more than 13 Crores
SOCAR Ukraine bidding for Odessa Port Plant’s tender
London Bridge station reopens after suspicious item investigated
Uzbek-Korean JSC announces tender for transport services
PM Modi to address virtual Leaders' Summit on Climate tomorrow
Turkmenistan's Turkmengeology opens tender for purchase of equipment
Delayed tourism recovery affects Georgian economic growth forecast
India gets elected to three UN ECOSOC bodies
Turkmenistan's Turkmengas opens tender for purchase of chemical products
UK extends G7 Foreign Ministers' meeting invite to India
Kazakhstan’s national postal service operator to buy spares via tender
Georgia prepares for UN Food Systems Summit 2021
Azerbaijan shares data on number of vaccinated citizens for Apr. 21
Azerbaijan confirms 2,075 more COVID-19 cases, 2,480 recoveries
Iran Khodro declares amount of money to be saved
IRICA discloses details of Iran’s trade turnover with neighboring countries
Turkey reveals volume of goods received at Bandirma port in 2M2021
Georgian commercial banks see increase in profits
Industrial parks will also operate in Karabakh zone - President Aliyev
COVID-19 stalls launch of direct flights between Kazakhstan, US - ambassador
European countries to resume J&J COVID vaccine deliveries
Azerbaijan discloses volume of vehicles assembled at Ganja Automobile Plant
Dutch Stone City Energy to build TPP in Uzbekistan’s Surkhandarya region
WB names amount of allocations to countries against COVID-19
Carbamide production in Azerbaijan to grow, WB forecasts
Baku Stock Exchange holds auction on placement of CBA short-term notes
Turkmenistan's gas compressor plant contributes gas supply to oil wells
Eurasian Development Bank to support hospitals construction in Kazakhstan
Number of Kazakh companies increases in Turkey
Turkey unveils volume of cargo shipment through Kocaeli port
Onion exports from Georgia up, while imports decrease
Azerbaijan's Ganja Automobile Plant looks to enter markets of EAEU, neighboring countries
TCO talks release of excess amount pollutants at Kazakhstan’s Tengiz field
Azerbaijan eyes to introduce biometric e-signature system
Verizon loses more-than-expected wireless subscribers
Pace of Turkmen industry dev’t accelerating
Volume of Azerbaijan's 1Q2021 oil export to Spain disclosed
Austria increases import of Turkish-made chemicals
Silk Way West Airlines named ‘Cargo Airline of the Year 2020’
Turkey's 1Q2021 furniture export to Austria shows increase
Turkey's furniture export to Iran up
WB says global coal prices to jump in 2021
Cost of electricity imports to Georgia increase
Iran's Jam Petrochemical Complex sees increase in sales
Ukrainian Bees Airline plans to carry out Kyiv - Tbilisi - Kyiv flights
Azerbaijani state budget receipts through State Customs Committee exceed forecasts
Israel and UK consider green travel corridor
Chanel loses European court fight in trademark dispute with Huawei
Azerbaijan records decrease in lending to communications, transport sector
US committed to help diversify economic opportunities for people of Kazakhstan
101-year-old Malaysian INA veteran honoured
Roaming tariffs to be decreased within Eastern Partnership over next 5 years – deputy minister
Kazakhstan increases exports to UK
Iran receives part of its frozen funds from S.Korea to purchase COVID-19 vaccine
Kazakh-German oil extracting JV opens tender to buy batteries
Russia played major role in stopping armed conflict in Karabakh region - Putin
Turkey reveals cargo shipment volumes via its Tekirdag port
Value of Turkish furniture imports by France increases
Turkmenistan's import of Turkish electrical goods soars
BP announces West Azeri planned maintenance program
Passenger cars manufacturing surges in volume in Kazakhstan
Iran to commission over 100 industrial enterprises in Qom Province
Turkmenistan's Turkmennebit reveals data on production, supply of gas
Uzbekneftegaz reveals prices of petrol supplied for exchange trading for Apr. 12-16
PAYSIS names conditions for effectiveness of marketplaces in Azerbaijan
Uzbekistan, Latvia expanding trade and economic co-op
Number of mortgage loans issued by Uzbek commercial banks increased
Second container train from China reaches Baku
Carbon capture capacities to see 250% increase by 2030
Austria's 1Q2021 import of Turkish cars up in value
Instagram launches feature to tackle hate speech, abuse
All news