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President Mubarak to fail to remain in power

Politics Materials 29 January 2011 17:02 (UTC +04:00)
Hosni Mubarak, sooner or later, will be forced to resign, Azerbaijani political analysts said.

Azerbaijan, Baku, Jan. 29 / Trend A. Tagiyeva /

Hosni Mubarak, sooner or later, will be forced to resign, Azerbaijani political analysts said.

"Mubarak is trying to control the situation. His last decision to resign the government and form a new government is an attempt to use the former government as a lightning rod, but it is meaningless," political scientist-orientalist Zardusht Alizade told over phone.

The manifestations with the requirements of conducting economic and political reforms and the resignation of 82-year old President Hosni Mubarak, ruling the country for 30 years, were launched in Egypt on January 25. On Friday, the mass protests continued in Cairo and other Egyptian cities. Roughly 53 people died, more than 1,100 injured.

President Mubarak announced about the resignation of the government late on Friday and promised to form a new Cabinet of Ministers on Saturday.

Alizade said that many Western experts predict that he will give a chance for Muslim Brothers to come to power following further resistance. This variant does not suit the U.S., because "Muslim Brothers" will protect the right of the people and the balance of power will change.

"One of the successful achievements of the U.S. policy in the Middle East is that they excluded Egypt from the list of the united front of Arab states against Israel, with which Egypt established diplomatic relations. If Muslim Brothers come, the situation will change, " he said.

Muslim Brothers is Egypt's largest Islamic political organization. It has been officially banned since 1954. Its representatives participate in parliamentary and municipal elections.

Muslim Brothers achieved great success in 2005, getting 88 out of 454 seats in the lower house National Assembly (parliament). The government also had to postpone municipal elections in 2006 for two years, presumably fearing another victory of the opposition group.

Another Azerbaijani political analyst Fikret Sadikhov thinks that the mechanical overthrow of the political power in Egypt was not as simple as in Tunisia.

"The government was overthrown for a few days in Tunisia. But the situation is more complex in Egypt. President Mubarak will maneuver for a certain period of time. He is not one of those presidents who will get on a plane and leave the country," Sadikhov said.

He said that certain political experience and opportunities of the power control over the situation allows him to continue this maneuver. The president is hardly to escape.

He said that the principle of a domino effect is not excluded, as the region is too closely connected and its countries are united by common roots, language and geography.

"A striking example of spreading revolution is Yemen. The situation is quite complicated there but this country has its own priorities," he said.

Thousands of Yemenis go out on the streets of the capital Sana'a and other Yemeni cities for a few days after a prominent journalist and campaigner for civil rights was arrested. The main requirement of the protesters, with majority of young people, is to resign President Ali Abdullah Saleh, who is in power for 32 years. Last time he was elected president for a seven-year term in 2006. New anti-government demonstrations are expected to be held today.

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