Trend commentator: Iran and U.S.: dialogue or war?

Trend commentator: Iran and U.S.: dialogue or war?

Tamkin Jafarov, commentator of Trend's Persian desk

Despite that still the U.S. plans contain 'warning military actions' in connection with the nuclear program of Iran, unlike Israel, official Washington considers diplomatic and economic sanctions more effective.

U.S. Defense Secretary Robert Gates said that the U.S. gives preference to diplomacy on Iran's nuclear program. According to him, economic sanctions proved to be much more effective than expected. Earlier, at his meeting with the U.S. Vice President Joe Biden, the Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu asked to consider a 'military option' to stop Iran's nuclear program.
For several years, the subject of disputes has been a question whether war or sanctions are capable to stop the Iranian nuclear program, particularly uranium enrichment project.

The essence of the issue of Iran's nuclear program is that Iran and the U.S. can solve this problem in favor of both sides. Either the U.S. should start a war over this issue, or accept the solution, which will benefit both sides. Most likely, the U.S. gives preference to the latter. Most experts believe that under these conditions, 'military option' is not beneficial for the U.S. According to them, the U.S. refrains from attacks on Iran because of the fact that today Washington is spending huge funds in Iraq and Afghanistan, and also because of numerous problems during the attack on this country and the reproofs of the international community. In addition, the United States is well aware of Iran's high authority in the region, and therefore do not want to re-encounter with the above-mentioned problems.

Indeed, these factors are the cause of U.S.'s refraining from attacking on Iran. However, there are other factors, the essence of which Iran and the West understand. Despite that in recent years, Iran has been stating great achievements in the field of military technology, some experts approach these claims with distrust, noting that most of these statements are propaganda, and military sector of Iran can not develop enough, considering sanctions against this country.

In this case, swelling the term 'Iranian threat' and the theory that Iran is a potential threat to the international community becomes obvious. In this case, the idea of necessity of war appears under a big question.
Another reason for U.S.'s refraining from attack on Iran is that the United States can not fully predict the response of the Iranian people to the attack. U.S. does not want a possible war to turn into a partisan battle and became infinite. Failure in Iran, given the failure of the country in Iraq and Afghanistan, can be very costly for the U.S. Western countries and the United States would use 'the possibility of a military option' to put pressure on Iran, but the date of implementation of this option remains unknown.

Still it is impossible to say something about the possible results of the discussions between Iran and the '5 +1' countries (permanent members of UN Security Council and Germany), because still there is no consensus on the topic of discussions. In the package of proposals presented by Iran to the West, Tehran demonstrates its considerable prestige in the region, and Western countries demand Iran to continue discussions over its nuclear program. Iran is considered the power capable to create numerous problems for the U.S. in the region. Despite that the Iranian nuclear program is a cause for serious concerns in both countries, it is the only issue that could forward the two countries to joint strategic discussions.

Discussions between Iran and '5 +1' countries were suspended in 2009 after the IAEA Council of Governors adopted a resolution against Iran. A new round of talks between Iran and '5+1', which have not been conducted for more than a year, has been scheduled for mid-November. In the discussions the '5 +1' countries will be presented by EU High Representative for Foreign and Security Policy Catherine Margaret Ashton.

Czech Republic to introduce night curfew from Wednesday
Czech Republic to introduce night curfew from Wednesday
Germany reports 8,685 new COVID-19 cases
Germany reports 8,685 new COVID-19 cases
Volume of maritime cargo shipment via Turkey from Spain disclosed
Volume of maritime cargo shipment via Turkey from Spain disclosed
Loading Bars
Latest
Info on death of defense minister of illegal regime in Nagorno Karabakh issued
Assistant to Azerbaijani President Hikmat Hajiyev interviewed by Al Jazeera TV channel (VIDEO)
Armenia established corridor to bring PKK into Azerbaijan’s occupied territories - Assistant to Azerbaijani president
Blast at Pakistan religious school kills at least seven, including children
Uzbekistan to introduce Chinese standards into automotive industry
EBRD, EU provide another support to small, medium-sized businesses in Turkmenistan
Azerbaijan strongly condemns shelling of Euronews' crew by Armenia - president's aide (VIDEO)
Iranian currency rates for October 27
Tractors with telepathic system used to cotton planting in Turkmenistan’s Lebap region
Uzbekistan reveals its COVID-19 data for October 27
“Jewish Journal” publishes an article on Armenian protest in Los Angeles equating Israel to Nazi Germany
Armenia didn't respond to Azerbaijan's requests for release of war prisoners - Commission
Iranian government eyes to attract investors for Markan coast development
Iran to submit budget plan for new year
Armenia confirms liberation of Gubadli city by Azerbaijan
Iran`s return to FATF blacklist restricts its exports
Destroyed military equipment of Armenian Armed Forces - LIST
Chief of staff of Armenian Army motorized rifle division killed
Latest situation at front line on Oct. 27
Chinese mainland reports 16 new imported COVID-19 cases
Brazil's COVID-19 cases surpass 5.4 mln
U.S. Senate confirms Trump's Supreme Court pick Barrett in nearly party-line vote
5.2-magnitude earthquake hits central Iran, no casualties
Czech Republic to introduce night curfew from Wednesday
61 more coronavirus patients die in Moscow in past day
Germany reports 8,685 new COVID-19 cases
Footage from liberated from occupation Gubadli city (VIDEO)
Footage from liberated from occupation Khanligr village of Gubadli region (VIDEO)
Armenia does not want to take bodies of its deceased soldiers as it fears anger of people - Assistant to the President of Azerbaijan
Kazakh PM meets with Turkish Defense Minister
Footage from liberated from occupation Padar village of Gubadli region (VIDEO)
Azerbaijan neutralizes one of 3 missiles shot by Armenian troops at Azerbaijan's Tartar
Azerbaijan's Bank Association denies lies spread by Armenian side
Effective co-op in field of border security established between Azerbaijan, Iran
Armenian Armed Forces shell Azerbaijan’s Tartar by using 'Smerch' missiles
Armenia indiscriminately targets civilians - Assistant to Azerbaijani president
Azerbaijanis hold rally in California, condemning Armenian terror (PHOTO)
Azerbaijani compatriots living in Minnesota hold protest rally (PHOTO)
Armenian Armed Forces shelling Azerbaijan's Tartar city, villages
Armenian armed forces shelling Tartar city with artillery, missiles in gross breach of humanitarian ceasefire
Iran's powder detergent production grows
Azerbaijanis in Denmark hold protest rally against Armenian terror (PHOTO)
Turkish embassy in Georgia talks joint energy projects of Georgia, Azerbaijan, Turkey
Protest rally against Armenian attack on Ganja held in Bielefeld, Germany (PHOTO)
Iranian Energy Exchange announces products to be on sale October 27
Armenian Armed Forces’ quadrocopter destroyed by Azerbaijani troops
Al Jazeera posts article covering aftermath of Armenian missile attack on Ganja
Baku's secondary housing prices show monthly decline
Investments in Iran's capital market increase
Uzbek Reconstruction and Development Fund to support creation of Export Support Fund
Turkey's export of defense products to Morocco plunges
Nagorno-Karabakh region to be liberated sooner or later: press secretary of Turkish president
USD falls against Uzbek soum for the first time in three months
Work connected with laying of gas pipelines on freed Azerbaijani territories kicked off (PHOTO/VIDEO)
Volume of maritime cargo shipment via Turkey from Spain disclosed
Turkmenistan significantly increases import of wheat flour from EAEU countries
Azerbaijani railway operator admitted to consortium of Trans-Caspian Transport Route
Georgia reveals results of 18 foreign exchange auctions conducted by National Bank
Iran Khodro reveals amount of funds saved thanks to domestic manufacturing
Export of Turkish-made defense products to China slumps
Armenian Armed Forces fire at school in Aghdam (PHOTO)
Assistant to Azerbaijani president comments on photo of Armenia's defense minister together with Armenian soldiers
Macron's anti-Islamic statements point to extreme misunderstanding of religion - Arab analyst
Uzbekistan’s Kashkadarya tops list of regions implementing foreign investments
Heritage Foundation's Foreign Policy Studies Center Director comments on photo showing Russian field camp set up near Armenian Tegh
Georgia sees increase in hazelnuts export
Georgia reveals volume of exported apples
U.S. regrets EU move on tariffs, seeks deal on Boeing-Airbus row
Russia seeking to be stabilizer in South Caucasus, says Russian expert
Uzbekistan discusses strengthening multilateral co-op with China and S. Korea
President Aliyev congratulates commanders of joint military corps who distinguished themselves in liberation of Gubadli city, villages of Gubadli district from occupiers
Review of statistics of people registered within state program 'Remotely from Georgia'
Volume of trade turnover between Turkmenistan, Russia’s Perm Krai revealed
Azerbaijani army does not fire at civilians - Defense Ministry
President Ilham Aliyev interviewed by Italian Rai 1 TV channel (PHOTO)
Iran launches new water treatment facility in Tehran
Iran studies Famotidine as Coronavirus treatment
Industrial production in Karabakh to increase in post-conflict period - CAERC head
Turkish president urges to boycott French goods
Work on power supply to strategic facilities in freed Azerbaijani territories underway (PHOTO)
Bank of Georgia suffers loss
S&P Global Ratings expects Azerbaijan's export to grow in next years
Iran’s Bahar Azadi gold coin price falling
Wildfire breaks out in Azerbaijan's Dashkasan district from Armenian attacks (VIDEO)
SOCAR considering new investments in Turkey
Romania's import of Azerbaijani products for 9M2020 revealed
Armenian Armed Forces fire at Azerbaijan’s Tartar district
Price of most Georgian companies’ shares up on London Stock Exchange
UK armed forces take control of ship in English Channel, seven people detained
Mobile phones and smartphones import down in Georgia
Azerbaijan confirms 131 more COVID-19 recoveries
Iran enlarges petrochemicals production
Azerbaijan hikes export to Belarus in 9M2020
S&P says Azerbaijani manat to maintain position against USD
German government raises 2020 GDP forecast to -5.5%
Turkmenistan ready to support contracts with companies of Russia’s Perm Krai
Recruiting children by Armenia against Azerbaijan is war crime, says Lebanese lawyer
President Ilham Aliyev: Azerbaijan restoring historical justice on battlefield
Azerbaijan's Aghjabadi district again under fire of Armenian Armed Forces
It is not worth using peacekeeping efforts of third states in settlement of Karabakh conflict - Georgian expert
All news