Will Rafsanjani be removed?

Will Rafsanjani be removed?

Trend Persian Desk Head Dalga Khatinoglu

The Secretary-General of the conservative Islamic Coalition Party, Mohammad Nabi Habibi, who takes an active part and enjoys influence in the economy, market and business of Iran, has differentiated former Iranian President Hashemi Rafsanjani from Mir-Hossein Mousavi and Mehdi Karrubi, whom he described as "intrigue leaders".

On the one hand, Iranian pro-governmental radical forces' attack on Rafsanjani, who has been known as the second personality in the country for a period of 30 years, and his family, and on the other hand, the support provided to him by the reformists and part of conservatives raises a question about Rafsanjani's current weight and his political fate end..  

Akbar Behramani, who is known as Hashemi Rafsanjani, was the chief adviser of former Iranian religious leader Imam Khomeini and the first religious personality who three months after the overthrow of Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi's government stated that he would participate in the policy of mullahs and declared establishing Islamic Revolution Party in order to create a religious government. Such an opinion was not expressed in the then statements made by Khomeini.     

Rafsanjani, who is currently accused by Ahmadinejad's radical supporters and even national security minister Heidar Moslehi of cooperating with "intrigue leaders", was a figure that immediately called a meeting of the Council of Religious Experts in several hours after death of Imam Khomeini and elected Ali Khomeini the current religious leader.

It is difficult to predict who will win in the force competition between Hashemi Rafsanjani, who worked as a speaker, interior minister, president, head of Advisory Council and Supreme Religious Council, as well as Council of Religious Experts, and Ahmadinejad, who is considered to be from the new generation. Here, Khomeini's support for any wing, Iranian people's negative attitude towards the government, splits in Ahmadinejad's government and most importantly the role of the Guardians of the Islamic Revolution (Sepah and Basij) will decide the country's destiny. Although reacting to the disagreements resulted from the presidential elections, Khameini stated that Ahmadinejad's opinions are closer him, also condemning the aggressive attacks upon Rafsanjani, he stated that he was devoted and faithful to the Islamic Revolution forever. And repeatedly stating that Khameini is Vali Faghih, Rafsanjani declared to be his successor.

Rafsanjani made his most important message in Mashhad city two months earlier. Highlighting the importance of establishing solidarity in the country, he presented the "national coalition" project, which envisaged freeing hundreds of opposition members. On the other hand, he mentioned absence of Khameini's role in the "crisis in country": "arrests, repressions and radical actions (of the government) are not ordered or allowed by Khameini," said supreme religious leader, trying to make justification. Of course, these words reflect certain reality. For instance, it is unknown that the groups attacking on demonstrations with arms and other supplies received orders directly from the religious leader. It needs to remember that during the term of the former president Mohammad Khatami, the same forces also had efforts in suppressing the bloody riots at the Tehran University and in overthrow of Khatami's government. But, Khamenei supported Khatami's government. Unlike past, currently the militant forces, particularly Sepah's influence in the government have significantly strengthened and Khameini is not prepared for risk to again take a neutral position or criticize the government.

Sepah, who concluded contracts worth billions of dollars in oil and gas, construction, import-export and other spheres during Ahmadinejad's government, unanimously supports Ahmadinejad. And Khamenei, who is not in possession of charisma like Khomeini amongst people and religious scientists, is forced to lean upon Sepah. 

In a situation where the government has lost people's support and leans on Sepah, it is unknown what wing Khameini will support between traditional religious forces and radical military forces. It is unknown whether people will revolt against or overthrow government or the government will overcome the crisis. In any case, it is surprising that in order to escape from the slander of the radical militaries, the people lean on the traditional religious forces, existed 30 years earlier, which played a key role in drawing the country into crisis and failed to successfully stand the political tests.              

Iran unveils amount of saved money by major mining companies
Iran unveils amount of saved money by major mining companies
Exports of Iran's steel products declines
Exports of Iran's steel products declines
Iran may cancel additional protocol on nuclear deal -  Foreign Policy Commission
Iran may cancel additional protocol on nuclear deal - Foreign Policy Commission
Loading Bars
Africa’s COVID-19 death toll tops 80,000, reports WHO
French online newspaper publishes article about January 20 tragedy
Memory of victims of January 20 tragedy honored in Azerbaijan’s Shusha city (VIDEO)
Turkish Foreign Ministry honors memory of Azerbaijani martyrs of January 20, 1990 tragedy in Baku
Turkish Ministry of National Defense talks January 20, 1990 tragedy in Baku
Azerbaijan confirms 897 more COVID-19 recoveries
Iran unveils amount of saved money by major mining companies
Anniversary of January 20 tragedy marked in Azerbaijan's Shusha
Events of Jan.20, 1990 divided life of Baku citizens into "before" and "after"
Kazakhstan bans import of Azerbaijani tomatoes
Review of Georgian exports to China
Azerbaijani troops hold several events in connection with January 20 tragedy (PHOTO/VIDEO)
Georgia increases wine exports to Azerbaijan
Azerbaijan becomes Georgia's second export partner
Kazakhstan reports decrease in mutual trade volume with Vietnam
Geostat reveals data on China's exports to Georgia
Iran reveals COVID-19 data for January 20
Turkey mobilized to support Azerbaijan in post-war period, says ambassador
Uzbek-Korean JV names volume polyethylene output in 2020
Container shipping rates surge in Georgia
Passenger transportation volume by road surges in Kazakhstan
Georgia may lift restrictions on international flights
Georgia sees decrease in electricity consumption
January 20 events of 1990 aimed to strangle Azerbaijan’s fight for independence – historian
Turkmenistan’s Mary State Power Plant names production indicators of 2020
Iran dismisses having any 'secret talks' with Biden's team to bring US back to JCPOA
New geopolitical reality following Karabakh war to make contribution to GDP growth in Azerbaijan - Economy Minister
Iran to commit to JCPOA obligations - if Europe, US return - FM Zarif
Commerzbank deepens partnership with Microsoft
Central Bank reveals volume of property appropriated by Georgian commercial banks
Kazakhstan's Baikonur Cosmodrome starts launching works for 2021
Azerbaijani Kapital Bank’s total assets increase as of 2020
Carnations blooming today along with khari bulbul in Azerbaijan – Turkish FM
Exports of Iran's steel products declines
French ambassador to Azerbaijan talks about January 20 tragedy
Turkmen carpet weaving enterprise reveals production volume
Iran may cancel additional protocol on nuclear deal - Foreign Policy Commission
Azerbaijan keen to develop relations with Turkey, Pakistan in almost all spheres
Azerbaijani people honoring memory of 20 January tragedy victims (PHOTOS)
Caspian Shipping Company’s marine flotilla reveres memory of January 20 martyrs (VIDEO)
Armenians destroyed mausoleum of outstanding Azerbaijani poet in Shusha - monitoring results
Azerbaijan's State Service for Property Issues unveils amount of transfers to state budget
Supply of Indian manufactured vaccines to neighbouring and key partner countries
Azerbaijan progresses with cotton yields in 2020
EU's Michel calls on Biden to form new transatlantic pact
Jewish community in Azerbaijan revere memory of victims of January 20 tragedy
India to gift 2 mn doses of Covid-19 vaccine 'Covishield' to Bangladesh
India, Japan sign Memorandum of Cooperation to help promote movement of skilled workers
Georgia reports 469 new COVID-19 cases for Jan.20
UK ambassador to Azerbaijan makes statement on January 20 tragedy
Benefits provided for Uzbek entrepreneurs likely to be extended
Share of domestic exports up in Georgia
Azerbaijan discloses number of mandatory health insurance services in 2020
Azerbaijani president, first lady visit Alley of Martyrs on 31st anniversary of 20 January tragedy (PHOTO)
India, Oman Hold Discussions On Bilateral Cooperation
Turkmenistan's Turkmengas to buy chemical products via tender
Uzbekistan, Turkey to work on approving agreement on preferential trade
Azerbaijan’s Kapital Bank reveals 2020 net profit
EU Delegation mourning victims of “Black January” tragedy - statement
Copper ores and concentrates top export goods in Georgia
Azerbaijan holds minute of silence to honor January 20 victims (PHOTOVIDEO)
Modi gets SOS message for vaccine from Caribbean nation that stood by India
Black January means symbol of struggle for independence - Charged ’Affairs of Azerbaijani Embassy in Ethiopia
Iran’s South Pars Gas Company beats new record on export
First Vice- President Mehriban Aliyeva shares Instagram post on 20 January tragedy (PHOTO)
Uzbekistan’s Central Bank to place bonds on republican currency exchange
Georgia sees decrease in external merchandise trade
Turkmenistan's Mary region opens tender for construction
Turkmenistan signs contract for aircraft purchase from French Airbus
UK inflation rises a little more than expected in December
Largest share of mortgage loans falls on Uzbekistan’s Samarkand region
Article on Black January tragedy of Azerbaijani Consul General in LA published
EU4Business supports expansion of Georgia’s biggest digital creative agency to global markets
Кazakh Electricity Grid Operating Company to buy construction materials via tender
Azerbaijani oil prices continue to grow
Phased COVID-19 vaccination continues in Azerbaijan - Ministry of Health
Kazakh Embassy extends condolences to Azerbaijan on 20 January tragedy's anniversary
Number of Uzbek banks raise dollar rate
EBRD names loans volume provided for Uzbekistan during COVID-19
EBRD, State Electricity System of Georgia implement new energy project
Uzbekistan names start date for vaccination against COVID-19
Azerbaijani Ministry of Agriculture holds meeting on results of cotton growing dev't (PHOTO)
Azerbaijani company reveals growth in 2020 total insurance revenues
Aide to Azerbaijani president shares post on Twitter on anniversary of 20 January tragedy (VIDEO)
As always, on Day of National Mourning, we mourn with Azerbaijan - Turkish Embassy
Iran, Cuba joint COVID-19 vaccine to begin new phase of testing in Havana
Iran, Iraq discuss transit operations
Electricity generation potential of Iran's Kerman Province announced
Russia's Gazprom increases purchases of natural gas in Turkmenistan
Azerbaijan applying innovations for agrochemical soil analysis
Turkic Council commemorates heroes of Azerbaijan on occasion of 20 January tragedy anniversary
Azerbaijan to ease the health protocols for Iranian transit and export trucks
Azerbaijan’s Consulate General in Los Angeles produces short film on Black January tragedy
Iranian currency rates for January 20
Azerbaijan issues data on lending to communications, transport sector for 11M2020
European oil majors to prioritize large-scale developments in two regions
European oil majors to increase green investments to 16-17% of total spending
Azerbaijan’s Ministry of Ecology and Natural Resources discusses proposals for plastic bags
Iran's export transportation costs doubles
Greek parliament mulling IGB deal
All news