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Analysts' oil price forecasts for 2012

Oil&Gas Materials 7 May 2012 17:50 (UTC +04:00)

Azerbaijan, Baku, May 7 / Trend A.Badalova/

Analysts at the U.S. bank JP Morgan predict Brent average price to increase by 7.9 percent to $119 per barrel in 2012 compared to $110.9 per barrel in 2011.

According to the analysts' Global Commodities Research, in the third quarter of this year Brent price will average $120 pre barrel, in the fourth quarter - $125 per barrel.

Following the auction on May 4, the price on Brent futures for June decreased by $2.9 a barrel up to $113.18 per barrel. The cost of WTI futures for May on the New York Mercantile Exchange decreased by $4.05 percent to $98.49 per barrel.

Drop in prices last week was mainly a result of concerns over significant risks in European economy and disappointing U.S. macroeconomic statistics.

According to JP Morgan analysts' forecasts, WTI average price will increase 13.5 percent to $108 per barrel in 2012 compared to $95.13 per barrel in 2011.

The highest price for WTI in 2012, according to the forecasts, will be observed in the fourth quarter - at $115 per barrel.

JP Morgan forecasts for oil prices, 2012 (in $/bl)

2012

I Q.

2012

II Q.

2012

III Q.

2012

IV Q.

2012

Brent

118.45

112

120

125

119

WTI

103.03

102

113

115

108

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