BAKU, Azerbaijan, Aug.3
By Leman Zeynalova – Trend:
Italian Eni company has reviewed the industrial plan and the Group strategy in the short-medium term.
The reviewed plan envisages the following:
Capex cuts of approximately €2.6 billion for 2020, approximately 35% lower than the initial capital budget; the new capex guidance for 2020 is €5.2 billion. Anticipated reductions of €2.4 billion in 2021, i.e. 30% lower than original plans. Capex revisions almost fully focused in the E&P segment.
Expected production of 1.71–1.76 mboe/d in 2020 including OPEC+ cuts, in line with the earlier guidance, due to capex curtailments in response to the COVID-19 crisis, a lower global gas demand also impacted by the pandemic effects and finally extension of force majeure in Libya for the FY 2020.
Implemented widespread initiatives to save approximately €1.4 billion of expenses in 2020; reductions of the same amount expected in 2021.
At management’s assumption of an average Brent price of 40 $/bbl for the FY 2020, expected adjusted cash flow before working capital changes of €6.5 billion will enable the Company to fund the expected capex for 2020. Compared to the initial guidance of €11.5 billion at a Brent price of 60 $/barrel, the shortfall is attributable to lower Brent prices (for a total effect of -€4.5 billion) and COVID-19 impact (approximately -€1.7 billion), partly offset by opex savings and positive performance equal to €1.2 billion.
Sensitivity of the cash flow to movements in crude oil prices: estimated approximately €170 million of cash flow variation for each one-dollar change in the Brent crude oil prices and commensurate changes in gas prices applicable to deviation in a range of 5-10 $/bbl from the base-case scenario, also assuming no further management’s initiatives and excluding effects on dividends from equity accounted entities.
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