Baku, Azerbaijan, June 26
By Elmira Tariverdiyeva - Trend:
Back in 1904, the chief of the gendarmerie forces in the tsarist Russia, Vyacheslav von Plehve, uttered a phrase that has since become very popular - "To contain the revolution, we need a small war."
This statement precisely describes the domestic policy failures of the governments that are trying to divert the people's attention from their own failures, unleashing a "small war", not worrying whether it will end in victory or defeat.
Today, the international community should pay more attention to the fact that Armenia is on the brink of a major people's revolt. However, Armenia's President Serzh Sargsyan, the main enemy of his own people, will not give up without a fight.
He can spit on everything and flee the country, but such a move would jeopardize the criminal and oligarchic governance system in Armenia.
So a distraction manoeuvre in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict will be the only possible way for Sargsyan to save face and seat.
This topic by the way unfortunately is not for the first time becoming a convenient lightning rod for Yerevan.
If one remembers the chronology of events of 2014, it becomes clear that as soon as protests against the government's decision on the integration into the Eurasian Economic Union began in Armenia, the situation on the contact line between Armenian and Azerbaijani armed forces began to rapidly deteriorate. Then the international community began to urge the parties to show restraint after the event.
Today it is important to avoid mistakes of 2014. It is obvious for any observer familiar with the situation in the region, that Armenia will start detracting attention from the center to the contact line in the near future, and regular provocations, which will cause great casualties, will be organized for this purpose.
If today the international forces don't take active and decisive steps against the aggressive actions of the Armenian authorities in Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, we will witness another round of instability in the region tomorrow.
Edited by CN
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Elmira Tariverdiyeva is Trend Agency's staff writer, follow her on Twitter @EmmaTariver
