Turkish parties’ new tendencies can change authorities’ political balance

Azerbaijan, Baku, Feb. 28 / Trend , B.Hasanov/

It is not expected that serious surprises will occur in the municipal elections to be held in March. However, if political parties' strategies which they use in the election campaign are not reconsidered, a political balance may change in the future.

"If leading opposition parties hold the developed strategy during arrangements to the March elections, they can gain majority electorates' votes," Turkish Expert Tanju Tosun told Trend in a telephone conversation from Izmir on Feb. 28.
The municipal elections will be held in Turkey on March 29. Municipalities play a key role in governing cities, settlements, villages and other administrative territories. Therefore, these elections are too important. The municipal elections are a good opportunity for political parties to demonstrate their social power in the country. Therefore, political parties are seriously preparing to this process.  Political parties are using different election strategies to attract majority of electorates.
Turkey's leading opposition Republican People's Party (RPP) thus far focused on secularity and was against of women's wearing hijab at work and educational institutions. Recently, the organization has accepted several women with hijabs to its ranks. Moreover, the RPP's some municipal heads promised to open courses to study the Koran at every districts in the case of their election.
The second leading opposition Nationalist Movement Party (NMP) focuses on social issues and projects in its campaign instead of traditional nationalist slogans. At the same time, the NMP's candidates for heads of big cities' municipalities are people who prefer moderate political line.
The governing Justice and Development Party (JDP) is seeking to win sympathy of ethnic minorities, basically, Kurdish citizens. Thus, the government launched a TV channel in the Kurdish language. Moreover, the JDP initiated to bring Ahmet Kaya's grave who had to emigrate from Turkey to Europe due to political reasons and who is loved by the Kurdish people to the country. The governing parties' the abovementioned steps are assessed as their new election strategy. Furthermore, the party is paying a great attention to social aid and seeking to minimize people's discontent about the authorities due to the global economic crisis.
Political parties' new strategies will not seriously influence on their traditional electorates' votes in the elections on March 29, Tosun said.
In the parliamentary elections held on July 22 in 2007, the JDP gained 47 percent of votes, RPP - 21 percent and NMP - 14 percent. During the elections, the governing party promised to Kurds in the country's south-eastern part to improve their economic situation, but did not do so. Therefore, Kurds will hardly vote for them, the expert believes.
The expert thinks the RPP's strategy will not gain additional votes in the elections on March 29. "But if the organization holds the strategy toward the country's religious people, it can win their votes by gaining their trust," he said.
"The country's conservative people assess the RPP's election strategy as artificial and directed to only gaining electorates' votes in the upcoming elections," Tosun said. "To dissuade the people, the RPP must hold the current strategy after the elections on March 29, as well."
The expert believes the NMP has chosen the most pragmatic and a correct strategy in the current pre-election campaign. "Earlier, the NMP focused on the nationalists slogans, but now when the Kurdish Labor Party's (KLP) terrorism which strengthened these slogans' topicality was minimized, the NMP has changed its strategy and focused on social projects," Tosun said. "Thus, the party is seeking to hold its electorates and win votes of the JDP's moderate supporters."
European Expert Magnus Karaveli said the NMP's current election strategy will not be useful for it in the elections on March 29. However, if the NMP will continue this strategy, it can gain votes of electorates who were dissatisfied with the JDP in the next elections, he said.
Karaveli does not believe that the RPP's strategy will succeed in the current or next elections. "The RPP which earlier did not pursue a religious and conservative policy is seeking to win conservative and religious people's trust at the moment," Turkey Analyst Magazine (issued in Sweden) Chief Editor Karaveli told Trend in a telephone conversation from Stockholm on Feb. 28. "Even if these people are dissatisfied with the JDP for which they voted earlier, they will not support the RPP, but any other conservative party."
According to Karaveli, the Justice & Development Party can hold the electorates who voted for them in the elections on July 22 in 2007. The expert said the economic crisis will not seriously influence on the governing party's electorates. "The JDP will seek to minimize electorates' discontent about the economic crisis by rendering definite social aid to them," Karaveli said.
There is not any alternative of the JDP for Kurds in Turkey's south-eastern part, he said. "Kurds in the south-eastern whose majority is religious will hardly vote for the RPP or the Democratic Society Party (DSP) which pursues pro-Kurdish party, because they are far from religious values or for the NMP, as well," Karaveli said. "The JDP is the party applying to moderate, pro-Islamic and conservative people. And there is no doubt that the party will win majority of votes in the country's south-eastern part."
Director of the Konda Research Centre in Ankara Tarhan Erdem does not expect serious changes in the party's traditional electorates. Erdem gave a correct forecast for the elections held in June 22 in 2007.
"We have not conducted opinion poll yet, but I do not think there will be serious changes in the upcoming elections on March 29," Erdem told Trend from Ankara on Feb. 28.
The Turkish different research centers' investigations revealed that votes won by the parties on June 22 in 2007 remain immutable.
Do you have any feedback? Contact our journalist at [email protected]

Subscribe to Trend in Google News! Subscribe
VISA supports Azerbaijan in digital banks dev’t
VISA supports Azerbaijan in digital banks dev’t
Azerbaijan talks 4G network coverage in liberated territories
Azerbaijan talks 4G network coverage in liberated territories
Weekly review of key events in Azerbaijan's ICT sector
Weekly review of key events in Azerbaijan's ICT sector
Loading Bars
Seven U.N. peacekeepers killed in central Mali explosion
Bayern Munich 3-0 Barcelona: Xavi's side crash out of Champions League
Erdogan praises new economy model, calls for trust in policies
Olaf Scholz elected new German chancellor
Georgian gov't allows Covid-19 booster five months after last shot
Turkey’s COVID-19 numbers decrease despite winter worries
Georgia shares data on most exported goods to Azerbaijan
Iran RIPI among 25 leading patent holders in oil, gas nanotech
Johnson imposes COVID-19 'Plan B' in England to contain Omicron
Azerbaijan-Iran to take steps to increase trade turnover – Iranian ambassador
Pfizer, BioNTech vaccine neutralises Omicron with three shots
Azerbaijan proposes new version of budget rule – minister
Azerbaijan working to prepare Budget Code
Iran is ready to start co-op with Azerbaijan, Russia in synchronization of power grids - minister
Azerbaijan appoints new president of Wrestling Federation
EIB, EBRD assess financing opportunities for Georgian business
Central Bank of Azerbaijan puts into circulation new 20 qepik coin
Turkmenistan launches production of Shir deri branded shoes
Uzbek Statistics Committee publishes leading regions in terms of food production
Georgia seeks funding for underground gas reservoir construction
Uzbek Commodity Exchange announces its weekly quotes of commodities for export
Tactical-Special Exercises held in Azerbaijani Nakhchivan (PHOTO/VIDEO)
Iran and Syria to launch a joint mercantile exchange
Central Bank of Azerbaijan to put into circulation new 20 manat banknote soon (PHOTO)
Iran discloses amount of money provided for purchase of agricultural machinery
Russia’s Astrakhan Business Center in Baku to attract businessmen, humanitarian reps - governor
Oil prices expected to strengthen again in 2023
Iran`s Khodro, Saipa automakers receive green light to raise prices on cars
Azerbaijan shares predictions on GDP growth rates for 2022-2026
Iran's Bahar Azadi gold coin prices dip
Indian Oil Corporation renews deal to buy up to 2 MT of oil from Russia's Rosneft
Azerbaijan boosts chemical exports for 10M2021
Foreign Secretary, Bangladesh Foreign Minister discuss COVID-19 cooperation
Number of passenger planes received by Iran’s Gorgan International Airport up
Baku State University opens tender for security services
Indian DRDO carries out successful test firing of surface-to-air missile
Turkey ready to mediate to reduce tension between Russia, Ukraine – President Erdogan
Kazakhstan shares forecast on oil production volume by 2030
Iran produces 5 million doses of domestic Noora COVID-19 vaccine
Bahrain parliament approves value-added tax increase to 10%
Challenge for OPEC+ beyond 2022 may shift towards managing upside risks
Israel budget deficit falls to 4.6% of GDP yr/yr in November
Gas withdrawal from European UGS 19% above average in December — Gazprom
India develops AESA radar to make IAF fighters more lethal
Iran`s National Development Fund voices readiness to back mega projects
Iran's trade with China declining
Iran seeks to boost trade with Syria through private sector
Pfizer, BioNTech vaccine neutralises Omicron with three shots
Red Cross to build regional logistics hub in Georgia
Kazakhstan reports increase in purchase prices for new housing
SOCAR Petroleum among largest taxpayers in Ukrainian fuel market
Azerbaijan launches construction of tunnels on Horadiz-Jabrayil-Zangilan-Aghband highway (PHOTO)
Azerbaijan, Iran hold discussions on development of co-op in oil-gas sector
Armenian troops shoot at Azerbaijani military positions in Kalbajar
Azerbaijan's activities in energy sector - commendable, says Iranian minister
Azerbaijan shares data on number of vaccinated citizens
Azerbaijan confirms 1,210 more COVID-19 cases, 1,853 recoveries
US-led global release of strategic petroleum reserves may accelerate oversupply
Initial acquaintance with minefields maps provided by Armenia creates impression of inaccuracy – ANAMA
Main goal of Google Pay - to ease payment possibility for users, says head of operations strategy
Azerbaijan shares data on oil export to Switzerland for 10M2021
Azerbaijan discloses oil exports to Greece over 10M2021
bp says delivery of final major equipment packages for ACE complete
bp talks latest progress in ACE platform construction
Georgia shows positive growth in tourism revenue recovery – TBC Capital
Russia begins sea trials of 'Peter the Great' cruise ship - Astrakhan governor
Iran sees increase in volume of cargo loaded/unloaded in Genaveh port
Azericard looks to expand innovative payment tools in Azerbaijan
Uzbekistan reveals main countries in terms of imports for 10M2021
Several wheat varieties sown in Azerbaijan's liberated lands (PHOTO)
Central Bank of Azerbaijan plans to develop standards to support open banking technologies in 2022
Azerbaijan, Russia’s Astrakhan to co-op in dev’t of North-South transport corridor – Astrakhan governor
Central Bank of Azerbaijan unveils five main directions of digital payment development strategy
S&P Global Ratings announces Uzbek Ravnaq-bank's credit rating
China's Venus Medtech buys Israeli co Cardiovalve
Central Bank of Azerbaijan to develop document on conceptual approach to digital currency creation in 2022
Uzbekistan names leading countries in terms of exports in 10M2021
National Bank of Georgia reduces mortgage loans term
Iran reveals COVID-19 data for December 8
Tesla sold 52,859 China-made vehicles in November
Azerbaijan developing new training programs for qualified workers – minister
UAE to allow establishment of acquisition companies
MasterCard eyes expanding non-cash payment opportunities for public transport in Azerbaijani regions
Light Industry Development Project in Georgia getting support from USAID
Azerbaijani Ombudsman talks about measures on Armenia's execution of decision of Int'l Court of Justice
IRICA shares data on Iran’s steel, iron products export
Azerbaijan, Iran discuss issue on construction of bridge and pedestrian crossing over Astarachay River
Social Democrat Olaf Scholz elected as German chancellor
Iran to launch new power units for TPPs
Lithuanian BS/2 to expand its business in Azerbaijan
Eurasian petroleum production to continue positive trend by 2022
Cargo transportation via Iran's Urmia International Airport increases
Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan to build industrial trade and logistics complex on border
Europe to see increase in petroleum, other liquids output
MasterCard implements projects to expand contactless, non-cash payments in Azerbaijan
Azerbaijan researching to create digital manat
Russian S7 Airlines launches regular flights to Uzbekistan
Azerbaijan assigned social payment to 20,000 families of martyrs from early 2021 – minister
National Bank of Georgia tightens monetary policy rate
Personal exhibition of Brazilian street artist to open at Azerbaijan's Heydar Aliyev Center
All news