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France: cracks in the Republic

Politics Materials 29 January 2025 21:15 (UTC +04:00)
France: cracks in the Republic
Elchin Alioghlu
Elchin Alioghlu
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France. The land of revolutions, liberté, and idées that reshaped the world. For centuries, it stood tall as a beacon of democracy, a cultural juggernaut with its motto of "Liberty, Equality, Fraternity" echoing across continents. But today, the Republic that once inspired revolutions finds itself unraveling, its once-mighty institutions buckling under the weight of dysfunction and discontent.

The Fifth Republic, the brainchild of Charles de Gaulle, was crafted in 1958 to drag France out of crisis. For decades, it worked like clockwork—a system centered around a strong presidency that could act decisively when the chips were down. But now? That system feels about as sturdy as a house of cards in a windstorm.

At the center of the storm is Emmanuel Macron, the one-time "golden boy" of French politics. He came into office promising renewal, reform, and a break from the old political order. Instead, he’s become the face of everything broken. His approval rating has tanked to a dismal 21%—rock bottom, even compared to the fiery days of the "Yellow Vest" protests. These aren’t just numbers; they’re a gut-punch reminder that the social contract between France’s leaders and its people is on life support.

Macron’s isolation is palpable. Pensioners, once his most loyal base, feel abandoned as rising prices and shrinking benefits erode their faith in him. The younger generation sees him as a tone-deaf technocrat who doesn’t get their struggles. Parliament? Forget about it. After Macron dissolved the National Assembly in 2024, France has seen three prime ministers come and go in six months. Stability? What’s that?

But let’s be real: this isn’t just about Macron. This is a systemic failure. The Fifth Republic’s reliance on a president who wields near-monarchical power worked in simpler times. Today, it feels like a relic—an outdated system trying to navigate a modern, messy, and deeply fractured world.

An Economy on the Brink

And then there’s the economy. The backbone of any government is trust, but when people can’t afford bread—or baguettes, in this case—that trust crumbles fast. Inflation is squeezing the life out of household budgets, while wages can’t keep up. Farmers, once the pride of France’s rural heartlands, are in revolt. Their tractors clog highways, while anger simmers in protests across the countryside.

Overseas territories like Guadeloupe and Martinique have had enough of Paris’s indifference. Their protests have boiled over into outright unrest, as demands for autonomy grow louder. These territories, once symbolic outposts of French influence, now look at Paris as little more than a distant landlord who ignores their pleas.

And what about the unions? Once the roaring lions of French social justice, they’re now a fractured mess. Divided and weakened, they can’t muster the kind of solidarity that used to make governments tremble. Without that cohesion, France risks losing the social glue that’s held it together for centuries.

France’s troubles don’t stop at its borders. On the world stage, the once-mighty Republic has lost its swagger. The retreat of French troops from African nations like Niger, Mali, and Senegal in 2024-2025 marked the collapse of its post-colonial strategy. In their wake, China and Russia have swooped in, filling the vacuum with deals and dollars Paris can’t compete with.

Macron’s bold move to tax American digital giants like Google and Amazon? That flopped, too. Trump’s tariffs on French wine and cheese hit right where it hurts—France’s pride. Macron’s retreat wasn’t just a policy failure; it was a humiliation etched into the national memory.

And then there’s the European Union. Once a co-leader of Europe alongside Germany, France now feels like the weak link in the chain. Internal chaos has left it unable to champion major initiatives like deeper EU integration or solutions to the migration crisis. Berlin has started looking elsewhere for reliable partners, leaving Paris in the cold.

So, where does France go from here? The calls for reform are growing louder, and they’re not just whispers. Many believe the Fifth Republic has run its course. The push for a Sixth Republic—a system that would decentralize power, strengthen parliament, and reinvigorate democracy—is gaining steam.

Jordan Bardella, leader of the National Rally, captured the mood perfectly: “Only a return to the people can create a stable majority for the country.” That’s not just political rhetoric; it’s a sentiment millions of French citizens are embracing.

The Sixth Republic isn’t just about tweaking the system—it’s about rewriting the playbook. Imagine a France with a parliamentary democracy that values compromise over top-down decrees. A France where local governments are empowered, and referendums give citizens a direct voice in critical decisions. It’s an enticing vision, but let’s not kid ourselves—it’ll take more than good intentions.

Reform isn’t a magic wand. It’s messy, slow, and often painful. It requires consensus in a country that thrives on division. It demands leadership in a political class that feels increasingly out of touch. And above all, it requires courage—a commodity that’s been in short supply lately.

The Presidency: From Pillar to Achilles’ Heel

Once the backbone of the Fifth Republic’s stability, the presidency has become its weakest link. Designed to centralize power during times of unity and crisis, the office now serves as a glaring vulnerability in an era of fractured politics and polarized society. Emmanuel Macron, hailed as a symbol of renewal when he was elected in 2017, is today a figure of isolation and failure.

His approval rating—a dismal 21%, the lowest since his election—reflects a presidency that has lost its legitimacy. For many, Macron is not the solution but the problem. The very institution of the presidency, once a symbol of French strength and pride, now feels like a relic of another era, incapable of addressing the complexities of the 21st century.

This isn’t just about Macron, though he has become the face of these failures. The deeper issue lies in the structure of the Fifth Republic itself. Centralized power, once a strength, has become a liability. Governing through consensus is near impossible when power is so heavily concentrated at the top. Macron’s constant clashes with parliament, transformed from an ally into an adversary, exemplify the systemic dysfunction.

The victory of the leftist coalition, the “New People’s Front,” in the 2024 snap elections shattered the fragile balance that allowed the presidency to function. Three prime ministers in six months have turned France’s government into a carousel of short-term fixes. Stability has been replaced with chaos, and the country’s political processes resemble a battlefield more than a functioning democracy.

France’s citizens are demanding something radical: the democratization of power. Recent polls reveal the depth of this discontent. Over 60% of the population supports Macron’s resignation, while 62% describe his administration as authoritarian. This is no mere dissatisfaction with a leader. It is a crisis of trust that calls into question the very viability of the Fifth Republic.

The calls for reform grow louder every day, and they are not without merit. The establishment of a Sixth Republic is no longer just a topic of political theory—it is a real possibility. Jordan Bardella, leader of the National Rally, has become the face of this demand, declaring, “Only a return to the people can form a stable majority for the country.” His words resonate in a nation where citizens feel increasingly alienated from the political process.

A Sixth Republic could mean more than just a shift in governance. It would be a chance to rethink the fundamentals of French democracy. A parliamentary system would reduce the overreach of the presidency, distribute power more equitably, and make governance more transparent and responsive. For a nation where protests have become the default mode of public expression, such a shift could re-establish trust between the people and their government.

But let’s not sugarcoat it—reform will be a brutal slog. Transitioning to a Sixth Republic would require not only immense political will but also a level of societal consensus that feels increasingly elusive. France has always prided itself on balancing revolution and evolution, but this time the stakes feel higher.

Failure to adapt risks not just political instability but the erosion of France’s standing on the global stage. The Fifth Republic, once a paragon of governance, now feels like an anchor dragging the country deeper into dysfunction. Reform isn’t just a political necessity—it’s a matter of survival.

The Sixth Republic isn’t just about fixing what’s broken; it’s about creating something better. A parliamentary system, with its emphasis on compromise and coalition-building, could bring an end to the political paralysis that has plagued France. It would redistribute power, ensure greater accountability, and provide a platform for broader citizen participation.

Imagine a France where citizens have a direct voice in shaping policy through referendums. Imagine local governments empowered to address the unique needs of their communities. Switzerland’s model, with its emphasis on direct democracy, offers an inspiring example. If protests have become the voice of the disenfranchised in France, perhaps the Sixth Republic could give those voices a seat at the table.

But reform comes with risks. The process of rewriting the constitution and reshaping the political system could deepen divisions in an already fractured society. Elite resistance, public skepticism, and the sheer complexity of systemic change could derail even the most well-intentioned efforts.

The Stakes Couldn’t Be Higher

France is at a defining moment, and the path it chooses will reverberate far beyond its borders. Its ability to reform could inspire other democracies grappling with similar crises. Its failure could embolden populist movements and further erode faith in democratic institutions worldwide.

This is more than just a political challenge—it’s an identity crisis. France isn’t just a country; it’s an idea. The principles of liberty, equality, and fraternity have defined it for centuries. But principles alone won’t save the Republic. Action will.

History has shown that France is capable of reinvention when it matters most. But the clock is ticking. Will France rise to the occasion and lead by example? Or will it become a cautionary tale of what happens when a democracy refuses to change?

The world is watching. The silence of the Republic will not last forever. A storm is coming, and it will either destroy the old system or pave the way for something new. The choice, as it

France, long celebrated as the cradle of revolutions and a beacon of democracy, now finds itself grappling with questions it can no longer ignore. Can the nation that gave the world "Liberty, Equality, Fraternity" once again redefine itself in the face of overwhelming internal and external challenges? The answer lies in the creation of a Sixth Republic—an opportunity to modernize its political framework and address the structural failings of the Fifth Republic.

This new system must do more than shift power; it must confront the economic, social, and environmental challenges of the 21st century. For France to reclaim its role as a global leader, the Sixth Republic must embrace three critical reforms:

Combating Inequality. Economic disparity is tearing at the fabric of French society. The gap between the rich and poor has widened, and the middle class, once the backbone of the nation, is shrinking under the weight of inflation and stagnant wages. A reformed tax system and targeted redistribution of wealth could offer the fairness the French people demand.

Transitioning to a Green Economy. As a founding member of the European Union and a historical advocate for progressive policies, France must lead the charge on climate action. Investments in renewable energy, infrastructure modernization, and carbon reduction are not just moral imperatives but economic necessities. A green economy promises job creation and global leadership in sustainability.

Strengthening Social Protection. France’s aging population and increasing migration require a social safety net capable of meeting modern demands. From pension reforms to healthcare expansion, bolstering social protection systems will not only alleviate immediate pressures but also rebuild trust in institutions.

France has reinvented itself before. The transition from the Fourth to the Fifth Republic in 1958 came during a time of upheaval, marked by the Algerian War and political instability. Today, the stakes are just as high. Public disillusionment, economic hardships, and widespread protests have created fertile ground for transformation.

Europe offers valuable lessons. Germany’s parliamentary system, which thrives on compromise and consensus even in polarized times, demonstrates the power of decentralizing authority. Italy, despite its turbulence, shows that parliamentary republics can effectively balance diverse political voices. France must look outward to learn, but it must also turn inward to find its path forward.

Reform will not come without pain. Transitioning to the Sixth Republic will test the nation’s resolve, exposing fault lines and challenging entrenched power structures.

  • Political Instability. Any attempt to rewrite the constitution will face fierce resistance from elites entrenched in the status quo. Their opposition could slow reforms or create new crises.
  • Social Discontent. France’s reputation as a nation of protests underscores the challenges of sweeping change. Even well-intentioned reforms risk being perceived as threats to deeply held traditions.
  • The Factor of Time. Systemic reform is not an overnight process. Delays in implementation could deepen existing instability, making the path forward even more precarious.

To succeed, France will need visionary leadership, broad societal consensus, and a public engaged in the process of rebuilding its democracy.

France, once the torchbearer of liberty, equality, and fraternity, now teeters on the edge of losing those ideals. Political paralysis, economic stagnation, and social unrest have eroded public trust in the institutions that have defined the Republic for decades. The Fifth Republic, created in 1958 to ensure stability, now symbolizes inefficiency, its centralized presidential system increasingly ill-equipped to navigate modern challenges like globalization and societal polarization.

Emmanuel Macron, elected with promises of reform, has instead become the face of this crisis. With an approval rating of just 21%, his presidency has become a cautionary tale of overpromising and underdelivering. The French are not just disillusioned with Macron—they are disillusioned with a system that seems incapable of delivering solutions.

The National Assembly’s dissolution in 2024 marked the beginning of a prolonged political vacuum. The victory of the leftist "New People’s Front" coalition brought chaos to parliament, while three prime ministers in six months underscored the government’s inability to function. Even traditionally stable institutions are crumbling, leaving citizens feeling abandoned.

France’s economic crisis has turned simmering dissatisfaction into explosive discontent. Inflation, rising taxes, and the erosion of purchasing power have hit the middle class hardest, while industrial decline has led to widespread job losses.

In agriculture, a sector synonymous with French identity, farmers are grappling with skyrocketing fuel and fertilizer prices and dwindling subsidies. Bankruptcies are mounting, and tractors now block highways in protest. The rural heartland feels ignored and betrayed.

The crisis extends to France’s overseas territories, where protests have turned into unrest. Guadeloupe and Martinique demand autonomy, highlighting the deep chasm between Paris and its periphery. Local grievances, ignored for decades, now threaten to undermine national unity.

France, once a cornerstone of the European Union, is struggling to maintain its influence. Economic weakness and domestic distractions have sidelined Paris in EU decision-making. Where France once stood shoulder-to-shoulder with Germany as a driver of European integration, it now lags behind, unable to champion critical initiatives.

The political vacuum in France has ripple effects across the continent. Populism and Euroscepticism are on the rise in Italy, Poland, and Hungary, fueled by declining faith in EU institutions. France, a founding member of the Union, should serve as a pillar of stability. Instead, it has become a source of uncertainty.

The vision of a Sixth Republic offers hope—but it also poses risks. A more decentralized system, with power shared between parliament and local governments, could rebuild trust and empower citizens. Referendums on key issues and stronger mechanisms for direct democracy could give people a voice beyond the streets.

But reform is no guarantee of success. The challenges are immense, and the stakes couldn’t be higher. If France succeeds, it could become a model for democracies worldwide, proving that reinvention is possible even in the face of deep crisis. If it fails, the consequences will reverberate far beyond its borders, potentially destabilizing Europe at a time when global challenges demand unity.

A Presidency Under Siege

The Fifth Republic was built around a strong presidency, a design that provided stability during times of political upheaval. But today, that centralization has become its greatest weakness. Emmanuel Macron, who swept into office in 2017 on a wave of optimism and promises of reform, now embodies the very system he sought to transform.

Macron’s approval ratings, plummeting to a historic low of 21%, reflect not just dissatisfaction with his leadership but a deep-seated crisis of trust in the presidency itself. Once the cornerstone of French governance, the presidency is now seen as a bottleneck—an institution too rigid and detached to address the complexities of modern society.

The dissolution of the National Assembly in 2024 and the chaotic turnover of three prime ministers in six months highlight the dysfunction. France’s political system, designed to empower decisive leadership, has devolved into a battleground of gridlock and short-term fixes. Stability has been replaced by a vacuum, with citizens feeling abandoned and institutions struggling to function.

This isn’t just about Macron—it’s about a system that has reached the limits of its effectiveness. The strong presidency that once guided France through crises has become an anachronism, incapable of fostering the trust, dialogue, and flexibility needed to address today’s challenges.

While political instability feeds discontent, the economic crisis fans the flames. Inflation has eroded purchasing power, taxes have increased, and job losses in key industries have left the middle class struggling to make ends meet. Farmers, long the backbone of rural France, face bankruptcy as fuel and fertilizer prices soar. Their protests, marked by road blockades and mass demonstrations, underscore the growing desperation in France’s countryside.

In the overseas territories of Guadeloupe and Martinique, long-neglected social and economic grievances have boiled over into unrest. These regions, once symbols of France’s global reach, now demand autonomy, exposing the chasm between Paris and its periphery.

Economic inequality, already stark, has grown more pronounced. Pensioners, farmers, and youth alike feel abandoned by a government that seems out of touch. Cuts to social spending have exacerbated these divides, leaving even the nation’s once-revered social protection system under strain.

France’s internal crisis has global implications. Long a pillar of the European Union, France now struggles to assert itself on the international stage. Traditionally, the Franco-German partnership has driven European policy, but as Germany steps into a more dominant role, France is left playing catch-up.

Paris’s inability to address its domestic challenges has weakened its influence in Brussels. Initiatives like deeper EU integration or solutions to the migration crisis now feel out of reach for a nation preoccupied with its own instability.

This vacuum of leadership has emboldened populist and Eurosceptic movements across Europe. France, once a symbol of European unity, now risks becoming a liability—a source of uncertainty at a time when the EU faces mounting challenges.

The calls for a Sixth Republic are growing louder, and for good reason. The current system, centered on a powerful executive, no longer meets the needs of a diverse and polarized society. A reimagined France must embrace a more decentralized model—one that strengthens the role of parliament, empowers local governments, and brings citizens into the decision-making process.

Such a system would not only dilute the overreach of presidential power but also foster the compromises necessary for governance in an increasingly fragmented political landscape. The potential benefits are clear:

  • Distributing Responsibility. A parliamentary system would ensure that decisions reflect a broader range of political perspectives.
  • Avoiding Paralysis. Coalition governments, while complex, have proven resilient in nations like Germany, where compromise drives progress.
  • Ensuring Accountability. A more transparent system, where the executive branch is directly answerable to parliament, would restore public trust.

Reforms could also introduce mechanisms for direct democracy, such as referendums on key issues and the establishment of citizens’ assemblies. Switzerland, where direct democracy has strengthened public trust, offers an inspiring model.

Reform is never easy, and France’s path to a Sixth Republic will be fraught with challenges. Resistance from entrenched elites, public skepticism, and the sheer complexity of overhauling the constitution could derail even the most well-intentioned efforts.

But the risks of inaction are far greater. Failure to adapt risks not only political instability but also the erosion of France’s global standing. The Fifth Republic, once a symbol of stability, now stands as an obstacle to progress.

The Troubling Silence of the Republic

France is silent. Its streets, once alive with the echoes of protest, have quieted—for now. Its political elite, consumed by internal squabbles, offers little direction. But this silence is deceptive. It is the calm before a storm, one that could either shatter the old system or mark the beginning of a new era.

The Fifth Republic, a proud experiment in governance, has exhausted its potential. Its successor, if crafted with courage and vision, could once again make France a beacon of hope for the world. But the choice is clear: bold reform or deeper crisis.

France is more than a nation—it is an idea. An idea of liberty, equality, and fraternity that has inspired generations. Today, that idea is under threat. But as history has shown, France is capable of miracles. The question is whether it will summon the will to create one more.

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