COVID-19 to drag down capex for exploration and production

COVID-19 to drag down capex for exploration and production

BAKU, Azerbaijan, Mar. 31

By Leman Zeynalova - Trend:

Global capital expenditure (capex) for exploration and production firms (E&Ps) is expected to drop by up to $100 billion this year, about 17 percent versus 2019 levels, Trend reports with reference to Rystad Energy, an independent energy research and business intelligence company.

The estimates as based on Rystad Energy’s updated base case scenario of $34 per barrel in 2020 and $44 per barrel in 2021.

E&P capex in 2019 reached $546 billion according to Rystad Energy estimates, having slightly recovered from a 2-year slump in 2015 and 2016 before diving to around $510 billion from 2014’s historical high of $880 billion.

According to the company’s data the expected decline this year will make 2020’s capex volumes, estimated at about $450 billion, the lowest in 13 years. “Our estimates before the coronavirus epidemic had indicated E&P would remain flat year-on-year.”

As April approaches, when OPEC+ producers are expected to flood the market with even more additional oil, Brent prices are now at nearly $25 per barrel and are likely to decline even further, according to Rystad Energy.

“In a low case scenario, where Brent averages $25 in 2020, global investments may plunge to around $380 billion this year, falling to almost $300 billion in 2021, a 14-year and a 15-year low respectively.”

“As companies are now losing solid oil market ground for a second time in recent years, it will be far more challenging to act quickly and reach the same high level of investment revision without taking a heavy toll on E&P’s performance,“ says Rystad Energy’s upstream analyst Olga Savenkova.

The estimated cost cuts will be mainly achieved by lower activity within US shale, delays to projects that are yet to reach the final investment decision (FID) stage, deferred exploration activity, and cost cuts within development and production for conventional assets, reads the report.

“As the most flexible of the supply segments in terms of cost reduction, US shale players are expected to reduce their investments by about 30% year-on-year. These measures will be quickly reflected in the oil market supply, with shale oil supply growth set to slow down in 2020.”

---

Follow the author on Twitter: @Lyaman_Zeyn

Oil dips as pipeline outage fears ease, India weighs
Oil dips as pipeline outage fears ease, India weighs
UN says Europe needs more efficient mechanisms to handle migrant arrivals
UN says Europe needs more efficient mechanisms to handle migrant arrivals
Amazon raises $1 billion sustainable bond for climate
Amazon raises $1 billion sustainable bond for climate
Loading Bars
Latest
Samsung sees pandemic-led appliances boom extending run to rest of year
Next meeting on electoral reform to be held on May 14-16
Central Bank of Azerbaijan allocates funds to support financial literacy
Turkish State Mine Administration opens tender for rental of vehicles
Lending to electricity sector in Azerbaijan increases
Kazakh KazMunayTeniz to buy diesel fuel via tender
Iran's Petropars Company orders equipment from local manufacturers
Turkey reports over 14 400 COVID-19 cases
Some of children may be taken to Moscow for treatment after school shooting in Kazan
UN chief condemns Kazan school shooting
Gaza block collapses after Israeli strike, rocket hits Tel Aviv building
Kazakhstan supports solution of Palestinian-Israel conflict by peaceful means
Georgia likely to receive Novavax and Johnson & Johnson vaccines in July
Kazakhstan’s liquids production down in March - OPEC
COVID-19 cases decrease in 80 provinces in a week
Iran, Afghanistan discuss Afghan peace process
Israeli PM says to increase strikes against Gaza militants
Arab FMs kick off emergency meeting on Jerusalem tensions
Hamas and Israel step up attacks as Jerusalem unrest ignites Gaza
No need to evacuate people injured in Kazan school shooting to Moscow
Сompetition season of 2021 successfully started - European Gymnastics President
Identification of victims in Kazan school shooting completed
26 COVID-19 patients dead allegedly due to oxygen shortage in India's Goa
Japan's COVID-19 patients in "serious condition" hit fresh record high
Azerbaijani president, first lady express condolences to president of Tatarstan
President Aliyev expresses condolences to Russian counterpart
Iran's Energy Exchange announces products to be on sale on May 12
Bahar Azadi gold coin price continues to rise in Iran
Foreign investors waiting for decision related to FATF in Iran – official
Azerbaijani journalists view State Border Service's Military Hospital in liberated Gubadly (PHOTO)
Demand for OPEC crude in 2021 revised up
Turkish export of electrical goods to Azerbaijan drops
Shares of Kazakhstan's KAZ Minerals delisted from stock exchange
Export Development Bank of Iran to provide loans to startup companies
Data on cargo shipment through Turkish Kocaeli port over 1Q2021 revealed
Kazakhstan reports increase in new housing prices
Azerbaijan's ADIF continues compensating depositors of closed banks
Turkey sees increase in cement exports to Georgia
Cargo movements in Iran’s Shahid Rajaee port increase
OPEC marks increase in Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan oil exports
Guaranteed wheat purchasing from farmers in Iran continues
Iran to inaugurate new airport in Kurdistan Province
Iran to build new factory at Amirabad port
OPEC revises up forecasts for Azerbaijan’s liquids supplies in 2021
Azerbaijan reveals number of vaccinated citizens for May 11
Azerbaijan confirms 514 more COVID-19 cases, 1,306 recoveries
Iran reveals COVID-19 data for May 11
Iran’s PMO unveils volume of cargo transportation via Abadan Port
Iran shares unemployment data
Georgia export to Germany increased by 40%
Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan eye accelerating implementation of roadmap for industrial co-op
FDA to attract funds to support reforms in Uzbekistan
Uzbek-Chinese JV opens tender for spares for gas pumping units
Iran starts mass production of coronavirus vaccine
Russia boosts steel imports from Turkey
Volume of cargo shipment via Turkish Karabiga port in 1Q2021 revealed
Renewables to account for 90% of total global power capacity increases in 2021-2022
Annual renewable capacity additions reach highest level since 1999
Oil dips as pipeline outage fears ease, India weighs
First batch of Sputnik V vaccine arrived in Azerbaijan just a few days ago, more significant shipments expected later this month - Russian FM
Statements reeking of revanchism, are very dangerous, first of all for Armenian side - President Aliyev
Restriction on movement likely to ease in late May in Georgia
Since end of hostilities, we transferred all prisoners of war - President Aliyev
Azerbaijan shows goodwill in matters related to humanitarian issues - President Aliyev
Post-conflict situation, of course, dictates need for closer contacts at all levels - President Aliyev
Heroization of Nazism in all its forms - unacceptable - Azerbaijan FM
Gaza escalation weighs on shekel
Issue of unblocking transport in region must be prioritized - Azerbaijani FM
Humanitarian issues must be resolved as quickly as possible - Russian FM
Russian FM notes key factor in normalizing situation in Karabakh
Russia highly appreciates work of trilateral group of deputy prime ministers of three countries - Russian FM
Azerbaijan committed to fulfilling its obligations under trilateral agreement - Azerbaijani FM
Nine killed in Kazan school shooting
Second batch of Sputnik V vaccine to be delivered to Azerbaijan by late May - Russian FM
FMs of Azerbaijan, Russia sign plan of consultations for 2021-2022 (PHOTO)
Azerbaijan condemns all terror acts - Azerbaijani FM
Uzbekistan reveals number of vaccinated people
Uzbekistan considers attracting French companies to partake in state assets privatization
Uzbekistan signs memorandum of understanding with French Rothschild & Cie
Uzbekistan reveals numbers of companies with dominant position in market
Uzbekistan taking measures to improve availability of public services
Iran and India trade declines due to COVID-19
Azerbaijani president congratulates Azerbaijani people on Ramadan holiday
Armenian railways are owned by Russian railways, therefore, we are discussing issue mainly with Russian side - President Aliyev
Indian Army sets up 100-bedded hospitals in Faridabad, Chandigarh, Patiala
Indian FY22 growth may slip to 8.2%: Crisil
Twitter Donates $15 Million For COVID-19 Relief In India
President Ilham Aliyev criticizes statements of Canada's, France's MFAs: Let them mind their own business
Startups fight COVID-19: How healthtech startup Meddo is helping tackle the hospital bed crisis
Outpouring of support from US for India, Covid-19 help touches USD half a billion
Zangazur corridor must and will be opened - President Aliyev
PFPA-Musavat duo mobilized all their resources to overthrow Heydar Aliyev in Nakhchivan - President Aliyev
This visit to Nakhchivan has great symbolic meaning - President Aliyev
President Aliyev warns revanchists in Armenia: They shouldn’t play with fire
Military equipment available to Nakhchivan Army today probably superior to equipment of some advanced countries - President Aliyev
Russian FM visits tomb of National Leader Heydar Aliyev
There is no territorial unit called Nagorno-Karabakh in Azerbaijan - President Aliyev
Iran and Serbia plan to develop trade ties
Azerbaijani, Russian delegations holding meeting in expanded composition
Value of exports from Azerbaijan to UK soars
All news