Baku, Azerbaijan, May 30
By Rufiz Hafizoglu - Trend:
Today Azerbaijan is the most powerful state of the South Caucasus due to its foreign policy, stability in the country and energy projects. Azerbaijan implements energy projects which are important not only for the country but also vital for Turkey and the EU.
Energy projects that Azerbaijan implements in Turkey, have been carried out the last 13 years, that is, they coincide with the reign in Turkey of the Justice and Development Party (AKP).
As is known, parliamentary election will be held in Turkey June 7, in which some 20 political parties will participate.
If previously it was predicted that the main competition would take place between the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) and the Republican People's Party (CHP), today one can say that other political forces are also able to affect the outcome of parliamentary election in the country as well.
Previously it was predicted that the ruling party will win a complete victory in the parliamentary election. But the possibility of a coalition government is being increasingly discussed in Turkey today. It happened especially after the People's Democratic Party (HDP) announced its intention to overcome the 10 percent threshold in order to be represented in the Grand National Assembly.
If the HDP can overcome this barrier, the AKP will have to content itself with 220 deputy mandates.
That is, if the AKP doesn't get at least 276 seats in the parliament, it will not be able to form a government on its own. Then it will have to create a coalition government with either the Republican People's Party (CHP) or Nationalist Movement Party (MHP), or HDP, which is unlikely.
If one recalls the history of Turkey, one can say that the country never benefited from coalition governments.
But if one assumes that a coalition government will still be created in Turkey, the question arises: will Azerbaijani energy projects suffer from it?
If the AKP creates a coalition government with the MHP, in this case there will be no threat to Azerbaijan's energy projects in Turkey, because MHP's position towards Azerbaijan is clear and distinct.
If the AKP creates a coalition government with the CHP, in this case Azerbaijani energy projects will not suffer either. CHP Party leader Kemal Kilicdaroglu said that in case of victory, he will remain committed to all the economic and energy agreements of Turkey.
This statement by Kilicdaroglu once again confirms that no matter how the opposition of the country criticizes the ruling party, it recognizes the importance of projects implemented today by the AKP.
In case of creation a coalition government by the AKP with the HDP, which is unlikely, Turkey will be the first to suffer, and, of course, energy projects of Azerbaijan, too.
After all, the leader of HDP Salahattin Demirtas has repeatedly said that first, the party will recognize the 1915 events as "Armenian genocide", and then it will be possible to open the Turkish-Armenian border. Besides all this, Demirtas is known for his anti-Azerbaijani statements.
Since the AKP will not agree to create a coalition government with the HDP, the dreams of Demirtas will not come true.
Given the current political situation in Turkey, one can say that AKP and the MHP can form the ideal coalition government in Turkey, because these parties, despite political differences, have a common ground both in domestic and in foreign policy. But the MHP has repeatedly said it wouldn't enter into a coalition with the AKP.
Even if the AKP- MHP or AKP- CHP coalition government will be created in Turkey, energy projects of Azerbaijan in Turkey will not suffer from it.
Edited by CN
Rufiz Hafizoglu is the head of Trend Agency's Arabic news service, follow him on Twitter: @rhafizoglu