Azerbaijan, Baku, June 11 / Trend M. Aliyev /
Socio-political situation in Armenia is tense on the eve of a new phase of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict settlement, said Friday the Center for Political Innovation and Technologies head, political analyst Mubariz Ahmadoglu said.
"At present, Armenia has bad relations with all its neighbors. Communications are closed. The country's debt amounts to $4,5 billion given the state budget worth $1.8 billion. Moreover, Armenia has very tense relations between Nagorno-Karabakh Armenians and Armenia's Armenians. "There is growing demographic crisis in the country," Ahmadoglu said.
The conflict between the two South Caucasus countries began in 1988 when Armenia made territorial claims against Azerbaijan. Armenian armed forces have occupied 20 percent of Azerbaijan since 1992, including the Nagorno-Karabakh region and 7 surrounding districts. Azerbaijan and Armenia signed a ceasefire agreement in 1994.
The co-chairs of the OSCE Minsk Group - Russia, France, and the U.S. - are currently holding the peace negotiations.
Armenia has not yet implemented the U.N. Security Council's resolutions on the liberation of the Nagorno-Karabakh region and the occupied territories.
Comparing the first and current phases of the conflict, the head of the center said that there were factors that ensured the victory of Armenia. Armenia was a very attractive republic for the West because it fulfilled its order for the collapse of the Soviet Union.
"The Spitak Earthquake was an excellent reason for the Armenians involved in the Nagorno- Karabakh conflict, finances, arms and human beings," he said.