Expert: US may extend number of small military bases in Central Asia after 2014

Azerbaijan, Baku, Jan.16 / Trend, J.Nasibova /

US have many small military bases in Central Asia and can add to them more, Professor of Anthropology, Central Asian and Middle Eastern Studies at Indiana University, USA, Nazif M. Shahrani, told Trend via an email.

"Since the first Gulf War of the 1990's US security policy has been one described as the "Lily-Pad" policy of keeping small military presence in very large numbers of places around the world, but no large military bases in any particular area. The land based Lily-Pads are complemented by the US navy on the high Seas. Yes, US already has many small military contingents in Central Asia and may add to them, but will not ask for establishing long-term military bases in the region including in Afghanistan. With the widespread use of drones, long-range missiles and extremely mobile US military force, establishing large military bases are not cost effective, so small lily pads-i.e., a military foothold in various places in Central Asia will suffice", Shahrani said.

As he mentioned, most but not all of US troops will leave Afghanistan by 2014 for a number of reasons. First of all, the cost of keeping every American service men in Afghanistan is very high-estimated now at $1.2 million a year per soldier - and President Obama is searching for ways to reduce the cost to the US tax payers who are getting tired of the longest US war, especially in light of very unpromising accomplishment in Afghanistan during the last eleven years. More importantly the country is facing trillions of dollars budget deficit in the midst of economic crises.

According to Shahrani, the second reason is increasing cost of the Afghan war in blood-over 3000 dead so far in battle and some are killed by the so called "Blue on Green" (Afghan soldiers killing their US trainers). More importantly it is reported today that in 2012 suicide among US military personnel in Afghanistan has surged to the record number with some 349 US army personnel taking their own lives in Afghanistan. This number far exceeds American combat deaths according to Associated Press in Afghanistan during last year.

"The numbers of seriously injured, both physically and mentally, among the Afghan war casualties are also very high and they require long term care and there are estimates that the long-term cost of US-Afghan war may run more than two trillion dollars in decades to come," the professor said.

"The third reason is that US want to Afghanize the war and that is why they have established security force of more than 350,000.00 for the Kabul regime. Now they have to take over from the US. Some Afghans, especially President Karzai wants reduction in the US troops because he will not be the President after 2014. If the conditions should deteriorate under his successor, he could then argue that his role as leader of the country was and is indispensible. He has always thought of himself and hardly ever of the country or the nation," the professor mentioned.

According to Shahrani, in Afghanistan there are a range of reactions to the talk about US ending combat role for the US-ISAF/NATO forces and pulling out by the end of 2014. The range includes-denial by some that US will never completely leave the country or the region because of her own interest in CA; extreme anxiety by many that after US withdrawal Afghanistan government will fold and another round of regional proxy wars may return to Afghanistan and the region.

As he mentioned, these include women and the non-Pashtun ethnic groups in western central and northern parts of the country.

"However, the US and Europeans are unlikely to allow such a disaster from happening; and great many in Afghanistan whose expectation of the international community bringing better and more effective governance and economic reconstruction have been thoroughly crushed, they are disappointed and no longer see the presence of US and European armies and promises of any consequence to them," Shahrani mentioned.

Currently, there are 50,000 U.S. servicemen in Afghanistan. In early May of last year, U.S. President Barack Obama and Afghan President Hamid Karzai signed a long-term strategic partnership between the two countries. The document provides for the signing of an agreement on safety, better known in diplomatic circles as the "protocol on troops." It is this agreement that will govern the U.S. military presence in Afghanistan after 2014.

Egyptair to replace Sinai Air on Tel Aviv - Cairo route
Egyptair to replace Sinai Air on Tel Aviv - Cairo route
Israeli identity validation co Identiq raises $47m
Israeli identity validation co Identiq raises $47m
Israel reports 4,173 new COVID-19 cases, 788,869 in total
Israel reports 4,173 new COVID-19 cases, 788,869 in total
Loading Bars
Latest
Turkmenhimiya SC opens tender for construction of plants for technical iodine production
Georgian GlenBerries company launches arrangement of greenhouses for growing vegetables and fruits
Azerbaijani Ministry of Education implementing innovative projects with Microsoft
Bahar Azadi gold coin price continues to fall in Iran
We successfully completed all steps taken, including ending occupation of Nagorno-Karabakh - Erdogan
WHO official advises against introducing ‘immunity passports’ for travelers now
Russia logs 11,022 new COVID-19 cases
Azerbaijan confirms 149 more COVID-19 recoveries
Turkish FM pays official visit to Turkmenistan (PHOTO)
Iran reveals COVID-19 data for March 6
Uzbekistan transfers funds to UN Trust Fund for Aral Sea region
Turkish FM announces trilateral meeting between Azerbaijan, Turkey, Turkmenistan
Lybian diplomat harshly condemns Armenia using mosque in Azerbaijani Fuzuli as stable
Iran discusses relations with IAEA
Iran's nuclear activities completely peaceful - Rouhani
Who could say that Azerbaijan was wrong when the war started? - President Aliyev
New stage already evident in economic sphere, period of transparency, precision, when monopolies suppressed - President of Azerbaijan
As Commander-in-Chief, I know where our weaknesses are - Azerbaijani president
Today we are working on equal agreement with EU, it has been agreed by 90% - President of Azerbaijan
At new stage, we need to further deepen political dialogue - President Aliyev
Why are our “democrats” silent? Why aren’t they saying that Pashinyan should become example for us? - Azerbaijani president
Popular Front-Musavat ruined relations with almost all countries in just one year - Azerbaijani president
Azerbaijan today is country conducting large-scale reforms - President Aliyev
We have no problems with any political entity in country - President of Azerbaijan
If there were no outside help now, Armenia would be gone, completely - President Aliyev
If we are building road, asphalt is ours, bitumen is ours, gravel is ours, so why should we take external credits - Azerbaijani president
We never begged like Armenia, never humiliated ourselves, never asked anyone for help - Azerbaijani president
2003-2020 period was one of preparations - President Aliyev
Younger generation should know at what cost we were able to maintain independence - Azerbaijani president
Today Armenia shies away from cooperation, we will force them - President Aliyev
Absolute majority of participants in battles are people who were children when I came to power in 2003 - President of Azerbaijan
To put it mildly, Luxembourg does not have special political weight in world for its foreign minister to make any claims to us - President Aliyev
So many accused me – Ilham Aliyev does not want peace - Azerbaijani president
Hands of Popular Front-Musavat tandem were imbrued in blood of Azerbaijani people - President Aliyev
Country was in absolutely uncontrollable state during PFPA-Musavat tandem - President Aliyev
It is necessary to plan future of country in such way as to ensure long-term sustainable development - President Aliyev
I highly appreciate activities of “91”, for whom national interests were paramount at time - President Aliyev
Establishment of New Azerbaijan Party was necessity - President Aliyev
Heydar Aliyev's unambiguous, resolute steps related to independence were highly appreciated by people - President of Azerbaijan
Turkish investors have interest in Azerbaijan's business environment - Turkey's MUSAID
We turned Azerbaijan into country enjoying great authority, respect in international arena - President Aliyev
We are a country that creates realities - President of Azerbaijan
Program I announced after presidential elections is being implemented, we are consistently achieving our goals - President Aliyev
Many important events taken place in life of country in three years since sixth congress of New Azerbaijan Party - President Aliyev
Reps of diplomatic corps in Azerbaijan visit Fuzuli airport's construction area
Uzbekistan reveals its COVID-19 data for March 6
U.S. Embassy Announces 2021-2023 GIPA Master’s Degree Program in Journalism
Georgia reports 355 new cases of COVID-19 cases for March 6
Azerbaijan shows footage from Zangilan's Garadere village (VIDEO)
Democrats advance Biden's $1.9 trillion COVID-19 bill in marathon Senate session
President Ilham Aliyev congratulates Azerbaijani women on International Women's Day
Iran's Revolutionary Guard has disrupted airplane hijacking attempt
Diplomats accredited in Azerbaijan start visits to liberated lands (PHOTO)
Iranian currency rates for March 6
Azerbaijani Nakhchivan's Separate Combined Arms Army holding live-fire training classes (PHOTO/VİDEO)
Azerbaijani Agency for Development of SMEs continues to support self-employment program
COVAX delivers over 20 mln doses of COVID-19 vaccines to 20 countries - WHO
Interest-free funding regulation may boost Turkey's home sales
Iran records 0.8% economic growth under sanctions, pandemic
2021 Index of Economic Freedom: Georgia 12th in world and 7th in Europe
Electricity consumption in February amounted to 1.6 bln kWh in Kyrgyzstan
Chinese investors have major potential for attracting cargoes to Georgian Anaklia seaport
Belgium announces phased plan to ease COVID-19 restrictions
More than 20,000 U.S. organizations compromised through Microsoft flaw
U.S. detained nearly 100,000 migrants at Mexico border in February
Number of German enterprises in Uzbekistan increases in last four years
Spike in Canada exports to U.S. leads to surprise January trade surplus
Brazil working with Biden on climate, Amazon deforestation - foreign minister
Luxembourg ratifies protocol on tax agreement with Russia
U.S., Britain announce 4-month tariff suspension in aircraft subsidy dispute
Aeroflot to make flights to Seychelles from April 2
Kazakh MFA talks great importance of developing relations with Turkic-speaking countries
Georgia expands list of countries from which tourists can travel to country
Iran to hold talks with EAEU soon
Pfizer vaccine to arrive in Georgia in the week of March 22 - seputy health minister
Turkey registers more than 11 302 new coronavirus cases
Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan ink agreement to step up cooperation in healthcare
Wind energy replaces coal as Germany's biggest energy source in 2020
National Bank of Kazakhstan adopts several anti-crisis measures during COVID-19 pandemic
Azerbaijani FM, head of Baku office of CE exchange views on development of new action plan for cooperation (PHOTO)
Norwegian company discloses amount of investments made in Azerbaijan
BSEC countries discuss impact of pandemic on tourism sector
Azerbaijan’s AzerGold, Chem Trade company sign contract
Georgia-Ireland Council to be important chain for strengthening bilateral economic relations
Uzbekneftegaz, Uzbek-Chinese JV talk prospects for co-op in oil, gas industry
Russia's Rosselkhoznadzor discloses volumes of agricultural products supplied to Georgia
World Bank may support Azerbaijan in fight against COVID-19
Azerbaijan names volume of compulsory non-life insurance market in Jan.2021
Swiss plan free coronavirus tests for population
Liberated Azerbaijani lands have great potential in winemaking
Azerbaijan may apply quarantine measures if COVID-19 infections continue to increase
UK watchdog looks to 'open banking' apps to help boost competition
Georgian mobile operators see decrease in total revenues for 2020
Georgia plans to build hanger in Telavi airport for private jets
Chevron to buy out Noble Midstream in all-stock $1.32 billion deal
Azerbaijani State Security Service shares grief of death of Turkish servicemen
Azerbaijan eyes to start employment promotion activities in liberated areas
Armenia once again demonstrates that it is far from sound thinking - Azerbaijani Foreign Ministry
Initiated by Mehriban Aliyeva, Heydar Aliyev Foundation makes new contribution to protection of world and religious heritage in Vatican (PHOTO)
Azerbaijan's MoD shares footage from Aghdam's Taghybayli village (VIDEO)
All news