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Military operation in Gaza can be Livni’s political failure

Politics Materials 10 February 2009 14:51 (UTC +04:00)

Azerbaijan, Baku, Feb. 10 / Trend , U.Sadigova /

The victory of Israeli Foreign minister Tzipi Livni in the parliamentary elections is unlikely, because the Government had been unable to put an end to the threat posed by the activities of Hamas for the Israeli population, experts believe.

"The outcome of military operations [in Gaza Strip] is very likely to help the right wing [opposition] to win the election, because they have promised to destroy Hamas," an analyst of the Begin-Sadat (BESA) Centre for Strategic Studies Shmuel Sandler said to Trend over phone from Tel-Aviv. 

Today the parliamentary election to Knesset is taking place in Israel. Benjamin Natanyahu, leader of the right bloc of Likud, is the favourite of the election. According to the poll held by the Jerusalim Post, Netanyahu takes the lead over his main opponent Tsipi Livni, leader of the Kadima party, with five votes.

The need for early elections appeared in October last year. Prime Ehud Olmert, who was accused of corruption, had to resign. Livni won the election that was held within Kadima, but the ultra-religious Shas party refused to enter a new government coalition.

Livni's rating fell after the end of 22-day military actions by the Israeli army in Gaza against members of Palestinian Hamas. The aim of the Cast Lead operation was to destroy all military infrastructures of Hamas and tunnels to transport arms to the Egyptian border with Gaza.

Despite Hamas slowed the resistance of, the Israeli opposition unhappy with the result of the Israeli Government, considering them to be ineffective, Israeli media reported. Speaking at an international conference in Herzliya, Netanyahu criticized the current government, which in his opinion, took a hasty decision on the conclusion of military operations in the Palestinian enclave, RIA Novosti reported.

Over the past day, another Kassam rocket fell in Sderot. What has changed? Where are the promised words? We have heard nothing in reply, only silence! Netanyahu said during the the election campaign.

Last time the Israeli cities were shelled on Sunday. No further information about victims and wounded has been reported. Earlier Hamas's missile strikes on the south cities of Sderot and Ashkelon have killed four Israeli citizens.

Most of people realize that the situation is not the end of the hostilities between HAMAS and Israel, they realize that there will be continuation of rocket launching on Israel and Israel people is looking for strong in the Israel, Yehudit Auerbach, professor of political science at Bar Ilan University, said.

"Netanyahu too who has the military past. It can help him win the election as Israeli society wants reliable protector [against Hamas attacks]," Auerbach told Trend in a telephone conversation from Jerusalem.

Israel's south population in the zone of the conflict with Hamas is more concerned with situation and results of election. Their votes can play a significant role.

Because of Barack was one who considered and one who took the initiative of the military actions his chances not now influence dramatically, his support was like 8-9 member of Knesset, and now it is about 16-17 members of Knesset .

Israeli experts say the governing Kadima party's inability to fully destroy Hamas can impact the election as Israeli society has a radical attitude to the Palestinian movements.

Shas and Our Home - Israel part led by Avigdor Lieberman also expressed its willingness to destroy Hamas and then to launch talks with Palestinians.

The party supports full annexation of Jewish settlements to the West Bank and closing borders with Arabs.

Israeli analyst Auerbach says Livni's liberal policy towards Palestinians shows that Israel can be governed by a woman.

The military operations in the Gaza also influence on the issue of social, economic and corruption, Yossi Mekelberg, analyst at the UK Chatham House institute said.

"The Kadima party is very close to the central coalition and they are much closed to the public opinion, but till the end they can become the substantiation opposition," Mekelberg said to Trend in a telephone conversation from London.

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