Todays geopolitical situation at South Caucasus is formed based on Iranian factor. In case Iranian regime is overthrown by military operation, revolt or any other action, the whole political construction of three South Caucasian states will collide. This is the comment given to Trend by Azer Mursaliyev, expert and deputy chief editor of Kommersant, on the last tension around Tehrans nuclear plans.
He said, quoting, В"if military actions start South Caucasus as closest to Iran area will undoubtedly face hordes of refugeesВ".
В"In particular, presence of Russian military bases in Armenia will become senseless, and Yerevan will have to change his courseВ", expert said.
Alongside, Mursaliyev said, it is still quite unlikely that USA will strike Iran. В"Even Americans themselves do not guarantee destruction of Irans nuclear facilities as a result of these strikesВ", he noted.
В"The matter is not to prevent nuclear weapon development by Iran, but to ensure full control over power resources in the region, in particular those wielded by Tehran. Moreover, interests of Russia and China shall be accounted for as wellВ", Mursaliyev concluded.