Baku, Azerbaijan, July 26
By Kamila Aliyeva – Trend:
US President Donald Trump will most likely sign the bill on imposing new sanctions against Iran, the head of the Department of Eurasian Integration and Development of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) at the Institute of CIS countries Vladimir Evseev told Trend.
“The law comes into force after being signed by President Donald Trump. Formally, he can reject it, but in case it collects more than two-thirds of the senate votes in a second ballot, the document will overcome the president's veto. Thus, Trump will not reject it,” he said.
Commenting on the issue of Iran’s withdrawal from the JCPOA, Evseev noted that currently the US is studying this possibility.
“According to the current statements at the level of [Iranian] President Hassan Rouhani, it can be argued that most likely Iran will retain its membership in JCPOA but will raise the issue that the US doesn’t fulfill its obligations under this deal,” he said.
Moreover, this issue could be raised by the UN Security Council which adopted the relevant resolution, according to Evseev.
“The document has binding force at the level of the UN Security Council in case the US doesn’t fulfill their obligations. It is clear that this is not something extraordinary for the US. The United States have always complied only with what they need,” he noted.
Iran may try to exert pressure on the US, for example, by attracting other states to its side, according to the expert.
“Islamic Republic can initiate consideration of this issue within the framework of the UN General Assembly where the non-involved states may support Iran. This will damage the political image of the United States as a global leader,” he stressed.
Iran can also raise this issue in the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) through its special representative, however, the outcome of this is unclear, he said.
Europe has its own interests as this law relates not only to Iran but also to Russia and North Korea, respectively.
“This law is expected to negatively affect the interests of the European Union because there is a desire, in particular, for France to participate in the development of the South Pars deposit, while Germany strives to realize the Nord Stream 2 project,” Evseev said.
For now it is difficult to predict Europe’s further steps, it will most likely try to do as it has done before, that is, it will try to bring some projects out of the scope of these sanctions, he stressed.
“In any case, Europe, especially France, will try to withdraw its companies that were involved in activities with Iran from the sanctions influence,” Evseev said.
Obviously, all of these will have a negative impact on Islamic Republic’s economy, according to the expert.
The US House of Representatives voted overwhelmingly on Tuesday to slap new sanctions on Iran, Russia and North Korea.