Trend commentator: Iran and U.S.: dialogue or war?

Trend commentator: Iran and U.S.: dialogue or war?

Tamkin Jafarov, commentator of Trend's Persian desk

Despite that still the U.S. plans contain 'warning military actions' in connection with the nuclear program of Iran, unlike Israel, official Washington considers diplomatic and economic sanctions more effective.

U.S. Defense Secretary Robert Gates said that the U.S. gives preference to diplomacy on Iran's nuclear program. According to him, economic sanctions proved to be much more effective than expected. Earlier, at his meeting with the U.S. Vice President Joe Biden, the Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu asked to consider a 'military option' to stop Iran's nuclear program.

For several years, the subject of disputes has been a question whether war or sanctions are capable to stop the Iranian nuclear program, particularly uranium enrichment project.

The essence of the issue of Iran's nuclear program is that Iran and the U.S. can solve this problem in favor of both sides. Either the U.S. should start a war over this issue, or accept the solution, which will benefit both sides. Most likely, the U.S. gives preference to the latter. Most experts believe that under these conditions, 'military option' is not beneficial for the U.S. According to them, the U.S. refrains from attacks on Iran because of the fact that today Washington is spending huge funds in Iraq and Afghanistan, and also because of numerous problems during the attack on this country and the reproofs of the international community. In addition, the United States is well aware of Iran's high authority in the region, and therefore do not want to re-encounter with the above-mentioned problems.

Indeed, these factors are the cause of U.S.'s refraining from attacking on Iran. However, there are other factors, the essence of which Iran and the West understand. Despite that in recent years, Iran has been stating great achievements in the field of military technology, some experts approach these claims with distrust, noting that most of these statements are propaganda, and military sector of Iran can not develop enough, considering sanctions against this country.

In this case, swelling the term 'Iranian threat' and the theory that Iran is a potential threat to the international community becomes obvious. In this case, the idea of necessity of war appears under a big question.

Another reason for U.S.'s refraining from attack on Iran is that the United States can not fully predict the response of the Iranian people to the attack. U.S. does not want a possible war to turn into a partisan battle and became infinite. Failure in Iran, given the failure of the country in Iraq and Afghanistan, can be very costly for the U.S. Western countries and the United States would use 'the possibility of a military option' to put pressure on Iran, but the date of implementation of this option remains unknown.

Still it is impossible to say something about the possible results of the discussions between Iran and the '5 +1' countries (permanent members of UN Security Council and Germany), because still there is no consensus on the topic of discussions. In the package of proposals presented by Iran to the West, Tehran demonstrates its considerable prestige in the region, and Western countries demand Iran to continue discussions over its nuclear program. Iran is considered the power capable to create numerous problems for the U.S. in the region. Despite that the Iranian nuclear program is a cause for serious concerns in both countries, it is the only issue that could forward the two countries to joint strategic discussions.

Discussions between Iran and '5 +1' countries were suspended in 2009 after the IAEA Council of Governors adopted a resolution against Iran. A new round of talks between Iran and '5+1', which have not been conducted for more than a year, has been scheduled for mid-November. In the discussions the '5 +1' countries will be presented by EU High Representative for Foreign and Security Policy Catherine Margaret Ashton.

Armenia obligated under int'l law to provide mine maps to Azerbaijan - Matthew Bryza
Armenia obligated under int'l law to provide mine maps to Azerbaijan - Matthew Bryza
Another batch of munition left by Armenian soldiers found in Azerbaijan's Khojavand
Another batch of munition left by Armenian soldiers found in Azerbaijan's Khojavand
Azerbaijan commemorating 5th anniversary of April 2016 military success in Karabakh (UPDATE)
Azerbaijan commemorating 5th anniversary of April 2016 military success in Karabakh (UPDATE)
Loading Bars
Biden set to withdraw U.S. troops from Afghanistan by Sept. 11
Number of COVID-2019 cases across globe up by over 567,000 in past day — WHO
Iranian nuclear deal meeting in Vienna rescheduled to April 15
Kazakhstan expects positive dynamics in oil industry
Erdogan reveals stricter COVID-19 measures in Turkey during Ramadan
Iran's annual iron ore concentrate output nears 50mn tons
Deputy Finance Minister: Georgia ranks first in Europe with economic growth rate according to IMF
Southern Gas Corridor increases liquidity in European gas markets
Uzbekistan-India trade grows to record high in 2020
Azerbaijan plans to organize personal account system for auditors
China's 2M2021 import of Azerbaijani products surges in value
Exchange of all data necessary to conduct effective demining is required - OSCE MG
Baku to host international gymnastics competitions again
German gov't approves uniform nationwide COVID-19 response measures
Russia's daily COVID-19 cases record lowest in months
Iran to start 60% enrichment tonight: Nuclear spokesman
Israel to allow vaccinated tourists in starting late May
Biden confirms invitation to Putin to take part in climate summit
Presidents of Azerbaijan, Belarus have informal meeting
IMF unveils forecast on Azerbaijan's oil export for 2021-2022
Azerbaijani FM, Romanian ambassador stress high level of development of bilateral political relations (PHOTO)
Special equipment of Belarus assembled in Azerbaijan may be exported to Turkey
Azerbaijan's Foreign Ministry responds to Armenia's statement on War Trophy Park
President of Belarus pays working visit to Azerbaijan (PHOTO)
Moscow, Tehran attach great importance to North-South Corridor – Russian FM
Azerbaijani president gives weighty answer to Armenia’s disinformation campaign - Official (VIDEO)
Belarus reveals plans for oil purchases from Azerbaijan
Kazakhstan’s FlyArystan launching direct flights to Georgia
Iran's Energy Exchange announces products to be on sale on April 14
International Bank of Azerbaijan opens tender to buy printed materials
Azerbaijan's Aghdam needs to be fully rebuilt - German historian (VIDEO)
Azerbaijan's PM meets with BP's regional president
Ukraine may take part in restoration of Azerbaijan's liberated lands
Azerbaijani Finance Ministry places short-term bonds on auction
Iron ore concentrate production by major Iranian companies increases
President Ilham Aliyev: Pakistan was among countries that openly supported Azerbaijan from first days of confrontation
Iran’s Bahar Azadi gold coin price again falling
Sudan due to send first delegation to Israel next week
Liabilities of Bank Melli Iran’s Baku branch increase
Armenia obligated under int'l law to provide mine maps to Azerbaijan - Matthew Bryza
Footage from Azerbaijani Jabrayil's Sadi village (VIDEO)
Azerbaijan, Ukraine discuss full resumption of mutual flights
Oil exports via Barents Sea in Lukoil system increased
Hydrometeorology in Azerbaijan needs young experts for technologies - ministry
Azerbaijan shares latest data on mine clearance work carried out on liberated lands
Co-op between Iran, Russia to be effective in activating nuclear deal – Rouhani
2021 demand for OPEC crude to be higher than in 2020
Assets of Iranian Bank Melli's branch in Azerbaijan increase
On Independence Day eve Israel's population over 9.3m
Iran still waiting for S.Korea to provide solution, release its blocked assets
Azerbaijan issues data on number of COVID-19 vaccinated citizens
Azerbaijan confirms 2,457 more COVID-19 cases, 2,002 recoveries
OPEC revises up forecasts for Azerbaijan’s 2021 liquids supply
Rosatom can take part in developing green energy in Azerbaijan - expert
Repairing of last well in Iran's Naft Shahr field launched
Iran in favor of strengthening relations with Russia – President Rouhani
Azerbaijan Railways builds co-op on transiting additional goods
IMF talks forecast of money supply growth in Azerbaijan for 2021-2022
European Hydrogen Backbone’s updated cost revealed
IMF predicts growth for Azerbaijan's oil, non-oil GDP
Cargo movements in Iran’s Qeshm port down
Azerbaijan expects tourism sector to recover by summer
Plan on budget revenues surpassed in Kazakhstan
Scotland to ease some COVID-19 restrictions early
Around 70% of European infrastructure to start transporting hydrogen
U.S. will base 500 additional troops in Germany
Russia documents 8,173 coronavirus cases in past day, lowest figure since September 28
Kazakhstan names value of payments of compulsory vehicle insurance
Iran's mobile phone imports increase
Azerbaijani president signs order on hosting European Football Championship matches in Baku
Kazakhstan drafts pricing rules for exported crude oil, gas condensate
Retail trade indicators decrease in Kazakhstan
Kazakh Gas Refinery opens tender to buy spares
Kazakhstan records decrease in oil output
Belarusian IT company keen to expand its activities in Azerbaijan's transport sector
Iran’s Jam Petrochemical Company announces its production plan
Uzbekistan building modern wastewater treatment facility at Uzbekneftegaz GTL plant
Kazakh Gas Refinery opens tender to buy engines
Russian, Azerbaijani military discuss Iskander-M missile debris in Karabakh region - Russian official
Greece can take slightly more than 1 mcm/d via TAP
President Ilham Aliyev: Liberation of territories will be additional opportunities
President Ilham Aliyev: Armenians did it deliberately in order to erase legacy of Azerbaijani culture in order to erase these territories from our memories
Together with Russian president, we discussed issue about Iskander-M missile – Azerbaijani president
TAP supplies to Greece cause contraction in LNG imports
Kazakhstan attracts investments to develop national parks in Almaty region
European Commission makes statement on TAP
Russia’s Federal Air Transport Agency allows flights from Irkutsk to 3 countries
President Ilham Aliyev: I had a strong feeling during negotiations that Armenia doesn’t want a solution
President Ilham Aliyev: I think we need to be more active in order to try to build bridges
ADB focuses on renewable energy projects in Georgia
US eyes to continue negotiations on direct flights with Georgia
Bank of Georgia discusses revised outlook for country’s economic growth in 2021
Anabechdi company plans to produce textile in Georgia
Georgia to receive significant funds from IMF
Azerbaijan reveals 2M2021 data lending to energy, chemistry, natural resources sector
Georgian E-Space company looks to export its software
Death toll from coronavirus pandemic in Iran exceeds 65,000
Amount of Georgian bonds held by foreign investors up
JSC "Georgian Railway" reveals financial indicators for 2020
Uzbekistan, Russia discussing joint projects on aircraft construction
All news