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Are the US troops moving in on Iran?

Commentary Materials 28 December 2018 12:32 (UTC +04:00)
The US is trying to strengthen its presence in Iraqi Kurdistan, and the US forces that will be withdrawn from Syria, will be located in Erbil province.
Are the US troops moving in on Iran?

Baku, Azerbaijan, December 28

By Azer Ahmadbayli – Trend:

The US is trying to strengthen its presence in Iraqi Kurdistan, and the US forces that will be withdrawn from Syria, will be located in Erbil province.

Several Kurdish media outlets referring to the Iraqi "Al-Hurra TV" channel, reported that based on the statement of the official representative of the US Department of Defense, Washington will soon evacuate 2130 soldiers from Syria and send them to Erbil province in Kurdistan.

According to ISNA news agency, Secretary General of the Ministry of Peshmerga of Iraqi Kurdistan Jabar Yavar said that media reports about the introduction and deployment of the US forces, withdrawn from Syria, in Erbil are false and unfounded, Iranian ParsToday.com reported December 24.

On Sunday, during a press conference, he also said: "Iraqi Kurdistan has not yet witnessed the arrival of any US military, and in case of such action, the approval of the Central Government of Iraq will be required."

According to a member of the Commission of the Iraqi Parliament on security and defense Karim al-Muhammadawi, American forces evacuated from Syria, without prior notice arrived in the province of Erbil, al-Anbar and Ninawa in Iraq, a ParsToday report said.

It is not known how reliable this information is, but if it comes out to be true, such a move can strongly affect the balance of power and the subsequent course of events in the region.

So, if this is not fake news, the US military will geographically be as close to the borders of Iran as possible since Erbil province is directly bounded by Iran.

What will they do there? There are several assumptions.

If there is a new revolution and change of existing state order in the country, and Iran again becomes a secular state, then there is a good chance to enter there first “under the invitation of the Iranian people” in an attempt to create a pro-American government. This is roughly reminiscent of the words of the former Soviet leadership about the introduction of the Soviet troops in Afghanistan in 1979: “if we had not entered Afghanistan, the next day the United States would have entered there.”

The second possible reason is of military-related character. If tomorrow it goes so far that the United States will have to choose a force-based scenario to solve the “Iranian problem”, then Washington fills in the blank: in the east there are troops stationed in Afghanistan, in the South, from the side of the Persian Gulf Iran is wrapped around by the US military bases in the Arab countries of the Gulf. Only the western border of Iran is left without the US control. And it is there, from Iraqi Kurdistan, that a new direct military threat to Iran arises.

If 2,000 American troops are deployed in Erbil province, no one can guarantee that their number will not, say, double in a year – and that makes an entire infantry brigade.

The US “Syrian scenario” is also seen real, but this time Iraqi Kurdistan can be the scene, where the US military instructors will conduct combat training of the Kurdish PJAK armed group and its affiliates, which for about fifteen years has been struggling against Iran, and supply them with weapons to fight the Iranian government forces.

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