Expect surprises in Turkish election
Baku, Azerbaijan, Oct. 23
By Elena Kosolapova - Trend: Turkey's early parliamentary election may hold a surprise, says an expert.
Recent geopolitical changes in the political landscape, failed coalition talks may hold surprises, Nimrod Goren, Founder and Chairman of Mitvim - The Israeli Institute for Regional Foreign Policies told Trend.
"Turkey has been subject to domestic and geo-political changes in the months of failed coalition talks and preparation for another elections, and these may eventually lead to some surprises in the election results," the Israeli expert on the Middle East said.
However, Goren noted that according to current projections, it seems like the results of the early election will not be significantly different from the results of the election that took place in June this year.
"According to current projections, the [Justice and Development Party] AKP will have the plurality of votes, but will not be able to establish a single-party government. In such a reality, a coalition government should be formed - and this time around, President Erdogan should encourage and enable that to happen, for the sakes of Turkey's political stability," the expert said.
Goren noted that after the previous elections AKP held long talks with the Republican People's Party (CHP) for coalition creation. However, he believes the Nationalist Movement Party (MHP) is a more natural coalition partner for APK, especially in light of the deterioration of the situation in the South-East of the country, populated mainly by the Kurds.
One of the challenges of the new government will be to make Turkey a significant regional actor once again, according to Goren.
"For that to happen, it will be beneficial for Turkey to improve its relations with Israel and with Egypt, and to support the peace process in Cyprus," he said.
Goren stressed that recent developments in Syria, i.e. Russian military operation, is a shared concern for Israel and Turkey, and can help bring them closer together after some years of conflicting approaches regarding Syria.
Turkey held parliamentary election June 7, with participation of 20 political parties.
The Justice and Development Party (AKP) won the election, but lost the parliamentary majority and couldn't form a government alone for the first time since 2002. Turkish president instructed the AKP leader and acting Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu to form the cabinet of ministers July 9. The prime minister held talks with leaders of the three parliamentary parties, but couldn't reach an agreement.
Afterwards, Turkish prime minister said Turkey will repeatedly hold parliamentary election. Turkey will hold early parliamentary election on Nov.1, involving 29 political parties. Over 75 million people will take part in the voting.
Edited by S.I.
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