US to Push Russia from Gabala RS earlier than 2012: Russian expert

Russia, Moscow, 20 March / corr Trend R.Agayev / The United States will consider an idea on use of Gabala radar station (RS) in Azerbaijan with the consideration to receive the data itself, Grigoriy Trofimchuk, a Russian political expert, said.

On 18 March, two-day consultations in the format of 2+2 of the foreign ministers and ministers of defense of Russia and U.S. ended in Moscow. Condoleezza Rise, the U.S. secretary of state and Robert Gates, the head of Pentagon took part in the consultations. According to the experts, joint use of Gabala RS, taken on a lease by Russia in Azerbaijan, was one of the subjects of discussions in the consultations.

"The United States will consider an idea on the use of the Gabala RS, if they themselves understand this material. Russia's exclusion will occur no sooner than 2012, because the processes are developing very fast and not in Russia's favor," Grigoriy Trofimchuk, the Vice President of the Strategic Modeling Center, an adviser to the Defense Committee of the Russian State Duma of the last convocation, told Trend on 19 March.

As an evidence, the political expert indicated the UIS activities on the placement of concrete AMD systems in East Europe during the conduct of US-Russian consultations on this topic in Moscow. "It testifies for senselessness of talks and consultations," Trofimchuk said.

The political experts said that Putin's proposal on the joint use of Gabala RS remains actual and interesting for Americans. "In principle, any progress in this direction is positive. However, exclusively non-standard proposal by Russia can save the situation. Even if not a proposal, [it might be] a breakthrough idea, absolutely non-trivial and non-format, those which were not made earlier. It is necessary to wait for appearance of new people - political scientists, experts, analysts, etc, who are carriers of such ideas, which should be offered to the authorities so that to work over it and at least publicize [it]," he said.

Trofimchuk assures that the Russian-US consultations in Moscow were 'negotiations just negotiations' and to calm the society. "We well understand that having an experience of the relatively recent World War II, this the way of beginning of the global conflicts. What we observe presently, exactly occurred in the run up to World War," he said. I would not like it to develop in line with the same scenario," Trofimchuk said, whilst the history testifies that the developments go on almost in lien with the same logic. Then the West calmed the USSR in this way, relocation of troops and strengthening of technique in the border with the USSR did not target attacks on the Soviet Union," the Russian political expert said.

In summer 2007, the president of Russia proposed U.S to lease and use together Gabala RS in Azerbaijan and a radar station currently built in Armavir city of Russia. The proposal was made on condition that U.S. will refuse to install missile shield in Poland and Czech Republic. However, U.S. did not accept Russia's proposal.

At the same time the United States stated its preparedness to consider an issue on the joint use of Gabala RS along with the installation of AMD system in Europe.

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