Situation in Iran has nothing common with events in Egypt
Growing tensions in Iran have nothing common with the revolution in Egypt, in addition, it is not worthy expect in the Islamic Republic the scenario of events and their outcome, such as in Egypt, said the president of the Institute for Middle East Studies Yevgeny Satanovsky.
"We can not and should not expect the slightest parallels with the events in
A rally in support of the peoples of
The clashes of the protesters killed one person, several others were injured, the state of one of the wounded is hard. Nine policemen were also wounded, said the deputy commander of Iranian police
Large-scale anti-governmental protests took place in
According to Satanovsky, current events in
"All the speeches are harshly suppressed and will be suppressed by the current authorities," he said.
In 2009, the powerful opposition unrest broke out in
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. One of the losing candidates - reformer Mir Hussein Mousavi - accused authorities of rigging the voting results and called upon people to hold protests.
According to official figures, the clashes killed 20 people, but unofficial - 150. About 1,032 demonstrators were arrested, most of whom were subsequently released.
The Russian expert believes that in
Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) replaced it, cracked down on them, the ayatollahs and their children.
"The old establishment has no chances to return to the power, said Satanovsky. - Liberals and pragmatists sidelined from power for decades. Today, extreme right, extreme conservative wing of ultra-conservatives of Ahmadinejad gradually take control on management of the economy, territorial associations, provinces, the city mayor's offices. "
IRGC is an Iranian elite unit, created in 1979 from the paramilitary detachments of Islamic Revolutionary Committees, the supporters of Ayatollah
Ruhollah Musavi Khomeini. Many members from the Corps are represented in the government, and their number increases. IRGC is the real power in society, which is represented not only in administration, but also in financial and commercial sectors. Guard Corps has extensive economic interests in the defense materials, construction, oil and nuclear industry.
The IRGC also include Basij paramilitary forces as an equal part of its command structure, for which it provides substantial funding and strengthens its presence in Iranian domestic politics.
According to Satanovsky, the conservative elite less influence on the situation, and even Ayatollah Khamenei is somewhat limited, even though he was using Ahmadinejad to deal with its enemies - with President Khatami,
Hashemi Rafsanjani, Mir Hussein Moussavi, who was his personal enemy during the time of Ayatollah Khomeini.
"We should not expect changes in