Situation in Iran has nothing common with events in Egypt

Situation in Iran has nothing common with events in Egypt

Azerbaijan, Baku, Feb. 15 /Trend, T.Konyayeva/

Growing tensions in Iran have nothing common with the revolution in Egypt, in addition, it is not worthy expect in the Islamic Republic the scenario of events and their outcome, such as in Egypt, said the president of the Institute for Middle East Studies Yevgeny Satanovsky.

"We can not and should not expect the slightest parallels with the events in Egypt and the same outcome in Iran, Satanovsky told Trend by telephone from Moscow. - The resistance of the opposition against the current President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and his group is continuing in Iran."

A rally in support of the peoples of Egypt and Tunisia was launched in Tehran on Monday at 11:30 GMT. Rallies also spread to cities Kirmanshah, Isfahan and Shiraz. The Iranian opposition's official website Kaleme.com reported that more than thousands demonstrators went on the streets in the cities of Shiraz and Isfahan. The police tried to disperse the protesters in Azadi and Ingilab squares in Tehran, using tear gas.

The clashes of the protesters killed one person, several others were injured, the state of one of the wounded is hard. Nine policemen were also wounded, said the deputy commander of Iranian police Ahmadraza Radan.

Large-scale anti-governmental protests took place in Egypt. Thousands of people in different cities across the country took to the streets, demanding President Hosni Mubarak's resignation and the dissolution of parliament. The unrests in the country have killed at least 300 people and have injured over 4,000. One million people marched at the Tahrir Square in Cairo and demanded the resignation of President Mubarak. As a result, on Feb. 11, Mubarak announced his resignation, and transferred the country's leadership to the Supreme Military Council.

According to Satanovsky, current events in Iran are not different from what happened in 2009 and 2010, but only have one difference - the opposition's actions were much bigger than now.
"All the speeches are harshly suppressed and will be suppressed by the current authorities," he said.

In 2009, the powerful opposition unrest broke out in Tehran after the announcement of the results of the presidential election held on June 12. The election was won by the current President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. One of the losing candidates - reformer Mir Hussein Mousavi - accused authorities of rigging the voting results and called upon people to hold protests.
According to official figures, the clashes killed 20 people, but unofficial - 150. About 1,032 demonstrators were arrested, most of whom were subsequently released.
The Russian expert believes that in Iran a struggle is going for power within the ruling establishment and the struggling side is the old political elite, and Ahmadinejad, who at the head of the Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) replaced it, cracked down on them, the ayatollahs and their children.

"The old establishment has no chances to return to the power, said Satanovsky. - Liberals and pragmatists sidelined from power for decades. Today, extreme right, extreme conservative wing of ultra-conservatives of Ahmadinejad gradually take control on management of the economy, territorial associations, provinces, the city mayor's offices. "

IRGC is an Iranian elite unit, created in 1979 from the paramilitary detachments of Islamic Revolutionary Committees, the supporters of Ayatollah Ruhollah Musavi Khomeini. Many members from the Corps are represented in the government, and their number increases. IRGC is the real power in society, which is represented not only in administration, but also in financial and commercial sectors. Guard Corps has extensive economic interests in the defense materials, construction, oil and nuclear industry.

The IRGC also include Basij paramilitary forces as an equal part of its command structure, for which it provides substantial funding and strengthens its presence in Iranian domestic politics.

According to Satanovsky, the conservative elite less influence on the situation, and even Ayatollah Khamenei is somewhat limited, even though he was using Ahmadinejad to deal with its enemies - with President Khatami, Hashemi Rafsanjani, Mir Hussein Moussavi, who was his personal enemy during the time of Ayatollah Khomeini.

"We should not expect changes in Iran in the near future or in the future, because the regime in this country is extremely strong, and if someone replaces Ahmadinejad, he will be a person much more stringent than the current government, much more radical and much more aggressive," he said.

Subscribe to Trend in Google News! Subscribe
Volume of loans issued in Azerbaijan’s real estate sector increases
Volume of loans issued in Azerbaijan’s real estate sector increases
Interest rates on consumer loans in Georgia increase
Interest rates on consumer loans in Georgia increase
Azerbaijan adopts new state standard on farming activities
Azerbaijan adopts new state standard on farming activities
Loading Bars
Latest
Azerbaijani, Saudi Arabian foreign ministries hold consultations
Famous artist receives Azerbaijani citizenship
Azerbaijan holds expanded meeting of Operational Headquarters for Combating COVID-19 (PHOTO)
Azerbaijan approves COVID-19 certificates
Azerbaijan discloses state budget revenues through State Customs Committee
Volume of loans issued in Azerbaijan’s real estate sector increases
Price indexes of industrial, construction sectors at Uzbek stock exchange fall
Kazakhstan to build hybrid solar power station
Azerbaijan's foreign trade turnover increases in 10M2021
Some CSTO members’ congratulations to Azerbaijan show Armenia's insignificance in CSTO - analyst
Interest rates on consumer loans in Georgia increase
Uzbekistan starts construction of new branch of Gazli-Kagan gas pipeline
Kazakhstan eyes increasing container shipments
SOCAR projects increase in local manufacturing of fuel products from 2023
IRENEX shares data on sales of Bandar Imam Petrochemical Company
Turkmen Ministry of Textile extends tender for modernization of cotton-spinning factory
Snam to increase spending on energy transition activities
Iran eyes decrease in passenger transportation via Bandar Abbas International Airport
Turkmenistan becomes Uzbekistan’s second largest gasoline supplier
Azerbaijan adopts new state standard on farming activities
Azerbaijan Deposit Insurance Fund reveals number of loans of liquidated banks
Uzbek Statistics Committee shares data on import of cement
Azerbaijan rapidly continues construction of Barda-Aghdam highway (PHOTO)
Iran discloses details of its daily gasoline production
Snam reveals investment plans by 2024
Snam expects to achieve sustainable growth of main indicators in 2021-2025
Snam raises methane emissions reduction target
Azerbaijan’s economy minister talks projects submitted for country's industrial parks
New deputy ministers of Youth and Sports of Azerbaijan appointed
Georgia’s Partnership Fund to be renovated – minister
Iran resuming exports to Tajikistan through Turkmenistan's routes
SOCAR returns part of loans through its activities in Turkey
Issue of building railway, highway along Araz River resolved – Turkish President
Ankara is ready to take steps to normalize ties with Israel – Turkish President
Azerbaijan confirms 857 more COVID-19 cases, 1,091 recoveries
Iran’s Bahar Azadi gold coin price skyrockets
Azerbaijan shares data on number of vaccinated citizens
Number of Turkish citizens seeking jobs in Uzbekistan greatly increases
EV maker Phoenix Motors files for U.S. IPO
Turkmenistan pays special attention to boosting transport, transit communications - president
Kazakhstan's KMG Engineering to buy batteries via tender
Gulf bourses regain some ground after Omicron battering
Iran shares data on generation of Shahid Rajaee TPP
ADB to finance export projects of Turkmen SMEs
Data on new Omicron coronavirus strain analyzed by crisis center - Kremlin
Georgia sees increase in persimmon exports
Kazakhstan’s oil-producing company opens tender for equipment repair services
Portugal finds 13 cases of Omicron variant at Lisbon soccer club
Turkmenistan ready to provide its port facilities in Caspian Sea for ECO countries
Cargo transportation via Iran’s Ahvaz International Airport climbs
Israel's Partner Communications swings to Q3 profit
Foreign assets of Azerbaijan’s commercial banks increase in 10M2021
Civilian injured in mine explosion in Azerbaijan's Jabrayil district
Georgia expects slower monetary policy normalization pace – TBC Capital
SOCAR to optimize fuel production at Baku refinery based on international standards
Iran reveals COVID-19 data for November 29
Turkey reveals volume of cargo transshipped via its local ports in 10M2021
SOCAR expects progress on Heydar Aliyev Baku Oil Refinery reconstruction project by late 2021
Mortar and artillery units of Azerbaijani army hold live-fire tactical exercises (VIDEO)
Kazakhstan-Turkmenistan bilateral trade up for 9M2021
Weekly review of Azerbaijani oil market
Iran membership in ECO expands regional economic ties
Azerbaijani Economy Minister talks land allocated for Aghdam Industrial Park
Uzbek Central Bank notes growth in volume of non-performing loans
Russia detects 33,860 daily COVID-19 cases
Georgia’s tangerine exports double
Iran looks to use new methods to export crude oil, gas condensate
SOCAR Turkey announces time of making final decision on Merkury project
Price of apartments in Iran’s Tehran rising
Kazakhstan reports increase in cargo transport by air
National Bank of Georgia shares data on loans interest growth
Azerbaijan records growth in prices for hotel services - Hotels & Restaurants Association
Georgia’s GDP shows unprecedented growth – PM
Azerbaijan’s volume of loans issued to industry, manufacturing sector decreases
OPEC+ countries expected to adjust future plans at upcoming meeting - analyst
Azerbaijan’s SMBDA and "ASAN Radio" launch radio programs for entrepreneurs
Russia can fully increase oil production under OPEC+ deal - Deputy Prime Minister
Iran sees increase in exports via customs of Sistan & Baluchestan Province
Turkey discloses number of ships received at local ports in October 2021
Turkey discloses number of cars transshipped via local ports in 10M2021
Kazakhstan records decline in prices of several main food products
President Ilham Aliyev signs order to recall Consul General of Azerbaijan in Russia’s Yekaterinburg
Number of Turkish citizens seeking job in Turkmenistan grows for 10M2021
How will gas swap from Turkmenistan to Azerbaijan via Iran benefit participants?
Trilateral contract to help strengthen Iran's relations with neighbors – MP
COVID-19 vaccination certificates in Azerbaijan have no expiration date, TABIB says
Uzbekistan takes over chairmanship of organization of ECO summit
Russia plays very important role in normalization of relations between Armenia and Azerbaijan - President Aliyev
Azerbaijan looks to export diesel fuel to Turkish, Georgian markets (Exclusive)
President Ilham Aliyev gives interview to Rossiya-1 TV channel (VIDEO)
UNDP representative talks measures to protect rights of women in Azerbaijan
Galt & Taggart shares overview of Georgia’s banking sector
Bank of Israel accelerating preparations for digital currency
Bulgaria asks Azerbaijan to extend timeframe for gas supplies via alternative route
Swapping of gas from Turkmenistan to Azerbaijan to start in winter – Iranian Oil Minister
Bulgaria receives 1/3 of agreed gas volumes from Azerbaijan
Russia has oil reserves for 30 years, gas for 50 years — Novak
Turkey shares data on vehicles shipments between its Tuzla, Greek Patras ports
Iran eyes launching home appliances production line in Syria
Iran, Mali sign agreement to boost mining co-op
All news