Unbeneficial for Iranian government to arrest opposition leaders: experts

Unbeneficial for Iranian government to arrest opposition leaders: experts

Azerbaijan, Baku, December 8 / Trend , T.Konyayeva /

It is not beneficial for the current Iranian government to arrest leaders of the reformist camp during the difficult situation in the country, experts say, bringing various reasons.

"The regime [in Iran] does not dare arrest opposition leaders because it is afraid of the inevitable public back lash, which could potentially get out of hand," Shahram Akbarzadeh, Deputy Director of National Centre of Excellence for Islamic Studies at the University of Melbourne, wrote to Trend in an e-mail.

Last Monday, thousands of opposition supporters and students gathered in Tehran and in cities across the country to hold a mass protest timed to disperse anti-US march in 1953, when security forces killed three students. Over recent years, this date was the reason for the demonstrations of the students calling for reforms and respect for human rights.

Since presidential elections in June, it is not the first protest of the opposition, which resulted in the arrest of a large number of supporters of the reformists. However, the leaders of the reformist movement - former Prime Minister Mir Hossein Mousavi and former Speaker of the Parliament Mehdi Karrubi - have not been detained yet.

For the fear of the public back lash, the security forces are putting all sorts of restrictions on Mousavi and Karrubi to curtail their access to the public, but have shied away from putting them under arrest, said Professor Akbarzadeh.

Former presidential candidates Mousavi and Karrubi lost the presidential elections six months ago, but refused to recognize the results. The oppositionists are most popular in the capital, particularly amongst students.

According to Professor Barry Rubin, Director of the Global Research in International Affairs (GLORIA) Center, it doesn't pay for the authorities to arrest the opposition leaders because they [authorities] would perceive that as making them martyrs and stirring up more upheaval.

"They don't have to arrest them as they can isolate them and persecute their followers," Rubin told Trend via e-mail.  

He also added that the confrontation between the government and opposition will continue for many long months, and the regime will stay in power.

"It is ruthless enough to use any amount of force necessary and foreign countries won't help the opposition," said Rubin.

During demonstrations held on Monday, the representatives of the security forces, including the volunteers of Basij Resistance Force, used batons and tear gas to disperse opposition supporters. Earlier they warned that all demonstrations will be considered illegal and will be suppressed by force. According to recent data, the number of arrested demonstrators was more than 200 people.

Akbarzadeh considers that the tension between the opposition and the government is likely to continue for the foreseeable future.

"The Green movement is adamant not to succumb to government repression, he said. - But their ability to mobilize mass rallies has been seriously diminished as a result of extensive security measures and the presence of religious militia in potential areas of congregation."

As a result, tensions will continue to simmer, waiting for an opening to erupt again, said Akbarzadeh.

However, the spokesman of the Iranian regime believes that sooner or later relevant measures will be taken with regards to the reformist leaders.

"The judicial authorities of Iran will take measures with regards to the opposition leaders, the vice president of the parliamentary commission for security of Iran Ismail Kosari told Trend by telephone from Tehran. - We believe that they will answer for everything in accordance with the law, because the responsibility for the events falls exactly on them."

According to him, currently there is not such a serious confrontation between the government and opposition that would cause concern, because "after the recent Iranian presidential elections, most people become acquainted with the opposition, began to distance from them."

"However, part of the population still did not recognize the essence of these people, and maliciously or coercionly creates disorder, said Kosari. - Their time shall also pass and the problem will be resolved.

T.Jafarov contributed to the article

Armenia threatens not only Azerbaijan's energy security - energy minister
Armenia threatens not only Azerbaijan's energy security - energy minister
Natural gas supplied to village of Khulo of Georgian Adjara
Natural gas supplied to village of Khulo of Georgian Adjara
Iran unveils volume of loans issued to Golestan Province
Iran unveils volume of loans issued to Golestan Province
Loading Bars
UNICEF makes statement on Karabakh conflict calling on to protect children
Iran is next to people and state of Azerbaijan - special representative of Iranian President
Karabakh conflict must be resolved within territorial integrity of Azerbaijan - Special Representative of Iranian President (EXCLUSIVE)
Armenia should know that no provocation can hinder Azerbaijan on its way to victory - MoD
Pakistani ambassador condemns Armenia's attack against civilians in Azerbaijan's Barda
Manpower of Armenian Armed Forces destroyed (VIDEO)
Management of Azerbaijani Emergency Situation Ministry arrive in Barda
Azerbaijani artillerymen destroying Armenian troops' manpower (VIDEO)
Armenian troops firing at Azerbaijani civilian population destroyed with precise fire (VIDEO)
Azerbaijani FM holds telephone conversations with OSCE Minsk Group Co-Chairs
First Vice-President Mehriban Aliyeva: Such barbaric attacks show that atrocities of Armenians have no limits (PHOTO)
President Ilham Aliyev receives delegation led by Special Envoy of Iranian President (PHOTO)
Azercell stands by people in Barda!
Pakistan’s National Assembly adopts resolution condemning Armenian aggression
Armenian leadership acts as if it lost its mind - Turkish Foreign Ministry
Azerbaijani FM, US deputy secretary of state hold phone talks
Armenia threatens not only Azerbaijan's energy security - energy minister
Freedom of speech suppression by Armenian lobby in France unacceptable - analyst
Azerbaijan provides footage of Armenian troops, military equipment being destroyed (VIDEO)
Ministry of Emergency Situations staff among civilians killed in Azerbaijan’s Barda
Natural gas supplied to village of Khulo of Georgian Adjara
Turkmen FM takes part in second session of India-Central Asia Dialogue
Children among dead, wounded in Azerbaijan’s Barda due to Armenian terror - chief physician
Armenia responsible for death of Azerbaijani civilians - Turkish presidential administration
Armenians think shelling of cities will force Azerbaijan to end war - Russian expert
Iran unveils volume of loans issued to Golestan Province
Azerbaijan destroys Armenian troops (VIDEO)
Azerbaijan expands list of settlements banned with entry-exit due to COVID-19
'Reporters Without Borders' condemns Armenian online attacks against French TV reporter
SOCAR Turkey may evaluate operational partnership for Aliaga port terminal
Shelling of residential areas in Barda once again exposes Armenia's terrorist nature - MFA
Uzbekistan expects GDP to grow in 2021
State budget of Georgian Adjara to up in 2021
Turkey says export of domestic mining products to Georgia down
Iran’s Bahar Azadi gold coin price starts to fall
Missile attack on Barda once again proves terrorist essence of Armenia - Turkish MoD
President Ilham Aliyev: Blood of Barda residents will not remain unavenged, aggressors will be given decent rebuff on battlefield
Tethys reveals 9M2020 production results at Upper Aptian on KBD-02 sites
Turkmenistan remains main gas exporter to China
France raises import of mining industry products from Turkey in September
Azerbaijan extends special quarantine regime
Iran strongly condemns Armenia's missile attack on Azerbaijan's Barda
Iran's budget reliance on oil sale declines
President Ilham Aliyev: Azerbaijani Army liberated 13 villages of Zangilan, Fuzuli, Jabrayil and Gubadli districts
Azerbaijan Deposit Insurance Fund compensating thousands of closed banks' clients
U.S. goods trade deficit shrinks in September
Amount of licenses issued for setting up enterprises in Iran’s Bushehr Province grow
Renewables to play key role in energy sector's dev't, Iranian expert says
Armenian Army, inept as to collaborate with PKK, slaughtering Azerbaijanis - Turkish Ministry of Defense
Georgian GDG Group to open wine factory in 2021
Georgian metallurgical company Rustavi Poladi sees increase in its income
Uzbekistan, Turkey develop military cooperation
Georgia’s Innovation and Technology Agency provides access to finance for innovative project
Uzbekistan, Tajikistan postpone flights resumption date
Servicemen of Azerbaijani Internal Troops urgently sent to Barda
Armenia does not seek to resolve Karabakh conflict peacefully - US military expert
Industrial gas flow obtained at exploration wells in Uzbekistan
Armenian Armed Forces again fire at Azerbaijan’s Tartar by using Grad multiple rocket launchers
Morocco lowers defense products' import from Turkey
Volume of loans issued to manufacturing enterprises in Iran’s Bushehr Province revealed
Azerbaijan drafting laws on gas supply, energy
EAEU countries export large various fabrics to Turkmenistan
Iran enlarges value of exports from Malayer customs
Azerbaijan confirms 340 more COVID-19 recoveries
General Prosecutor's Office gives update on number of victims as result of missile strike on Azerbaijan’s Barda (PHOTO)
If Armenia continues to attack civilians, Azerbaijan to take adequate measures - Assistant to president
Using mosque in Azerbaijan's Zangilan as pigpen is insult to Muslims - Culture Ministry
Romanian expert says digitalization of economy to improve security of EU's energy system
Armenia used cluster munitions to inflict excessive casualties among civilians in Barda - assistant to Azerbaijani president
Kazakhstan's import from Lithuania increases amid COVID-19
Armenian military group annihilated after failed sabotage attempt in Azerbaijan's Zangilan (VIDEO)
Armenian Armed Forces shelling Azerbaijan’s Tartar again
Azerbaijani Armed Forces take revenge for Barda (VIDEO)
By disseminating disinformation, Armenia trying to divert attention from its war crimes
Azerbaijani Ministry of Emergency Situations continues search, rescue operations in Barda
Uzbekistan’s 9M2020 export of textile products up
Cluster bomb attacks are new act of genocide against Azerbaijani people - President's aide
Azerbaijan eyes increasing private investment in renewable energy sector - minister
Latest situation in Azerbaijan’s Barda as result of Armenian terror (VIDEO)
Branch of Russia's Tatneft in Turkmenistan opens tender for installation work
Georgia to build anchovy fishing boat in Turkey
National Bank of Georgia decides to keep refinancing rate unchanged
Assistant to president invites military attaches to visit Azerbaijan’s Barda
Unprecedented number of people apply to participate in Produce in Georgia program
Georgian Natenadze’s Wine Cellar company resumes exports of wines
Armenia's attacks on Azerbaijani settlements - attack against civilized world - Assistant to president
Auction for placing Azerbaijani CBA's short-term notes held
Azerbaijan invites Human Rights Watch, Amnesty International to conduct on site assessment of Armenian crimes - top official
Iran reveals COVID-19 data for October 28
Serious environmental crimes committed in occupied territories of Azerbaijan must be immediately stopped
Missile attack on Azerbaijan’s Barda - crime against humanity – Foreign Ministry
Transition to clean energy in Azerbaijan becomes essential - ECO's Secretary General
Azerbaijani FM meets Deputy FM of Iran
Turkey's export of mining industry products to China up in September
Shelling of Barda - gross violation of int'l humanitarian law, says Ambassador of Kazakhstan
Armenian Armed Forces shelling Azerbaijan’s Goranboy, Tartar - Defense Ministry
Azerbaijan shows fragments of missiles Armenia launched on Barda city (PHOTO)
Solar to be dominant source of electricity generation in Europe
Turkey increases export of mining industry products to Azerbaijan
Total amount of transactions on Turkmen Commodity Exchange for Sept. 2020
All news