Georgian opposition has no chance of victory

Georgian opposition has no chance of victory

Azerbaijan, Baku, Nov. 26 / Trend E.Tariverdiyeva /

Experts believe that the Georgian opposition has no chance to topple the current government in the country.

"The demonstrations in Tbilisi are a reminder of the so-called 'radical' opposition about itself, but the forces strapped to Rustaveli Avenue show that the opposition does not have the required superiority for a decisive battle and victory," Heritage Foundation's leading expert on Eurasia and Trend Expert Council member Ariel Cohen said.

A rally of the Georgian People's Assembly took place in front of the parliament building in Tbilisi yesterday. The participants demanded the resignation of the president and snap presidential and parliamentary elections.

Opposition leader Nino Burjanadze was a co-organizer of the event. The rally, which lasted 2.5 hours, brought together up to 6,000 people. The assembly adopted a verdict of non-confidence in the government and current President Mikheil Saakashvili.

Observers say although the opposition is making attempts, it has no chance to topple the current government due to its own fragmentation and weaknesses.

The opposition will fail, Johns Hopkins University Institute of Central Asia and Caucasus Director and Swedish Institute of Security Policy and Development Founder Svante Cornell said. He added that such incidents have already been observed during Saakashvili's presidency.  

"This time, the opposition was not so great, and Georgia's opposition itself is nothing in itself," Cornell told trend.

Georgia is a state with a serious domestic and foreign policy.

"Since the state itself is very strong, the opposition's actions are futile," Cornell said.

The small number of people who gathered in front of parliament "did not allow us to resort to radical measures," Burjanadze told reporters.

"We were waiting for more support. It is not the type of mass that could make and execute the necessary decisions," she said.

She stressed that "the assembly will wait for greater participation and will announce new rallies later."

"If we talk about the impeachment of the president, then the country has a parliament for this, but the opposition is in the minority in parliament, especially since the 'black-and-white' opposition ignored the parliamentary elections," Cohen said.

In May 2008, the "united opposition," which included nine political forces, boycotted the elections, as the government refused to comply with its requirements.

If the opposition wants impeachment and constitutional changes, for this there are parliamentary elections, which they should try to win, Cohen said.

According to the Constitution, parliamentary elections are held every four years. The previous elections were held in May 2008. The next elections will be held in May or June 2012.

Meanwhile, President of the Georgian Foundation for Strategic and International Studies Alexander Rondeli also believes that, despite protests, the opposition will not be able to gather a large number of people on the streets.

"Everyone is bored with them and no one believes them any longer," he said in an interview with Kommersant. "They need to change themselves and their tactics."

Randeli said many reforms have been made by the government, but their implementation takes longer than the amount of time that the opposition is willing to wait.

"The opposition believes that such complex reforms can take place in five minutes and their fruits can already be reaped. This is impossible, Georgia needs time," he said.

Georgian expert Andro Barnov regards the protest as an "attempt to blow up" the situation in the country.

"The rally was directed against Georgia's state interests and against the stability in the country," Barnov told Trend.

He stressed that the protest was aimed at undermining the international authority of the country and this "cannot be in the interests of the Georgian people."
   
"This rally was also directed against the process of negotiations between the opposition and the authorities on the improvement of the electoral environment," Barnov said, noting that these talks are a positive development, since they must provide a change of government only through a legitimate way - through elections.
   
However, another Georgian expert Gia Khukhashvili believes that the protest marked the beginning of a political process that will return the people's confidence in the opposition.

"So far, no political process is observed in the country, and it should begin, so that the opposition can regain the confidence of the people," Khukhashvili told Trend.

He said the number of the people who were gathered on Nov. 25 in front of parliament, "is sufficient based on the current state of affairs."

Khukhashvili said a protest electorate will be formed in two or three months.
According to the expert, the rally's organizers did not aim to carry out radical actions on Nov. 25.

"The rally is designed for the long term and no one was betting on a one-day revelation, as such insights have implications," Khukhashvili said, stressing that Georgian society must come to terms with long-term political processes, rather than one-day radical solutions.

Azerbaijani citizens can visit dozens of countries without visa - Henley&Partners
Azerbaijani citizens can visit dozens of countries without visa - Henley&Partners
Azerbaijan expects tourism sector to recover by summer
Azerbaijan expects tourism sector to recover by summer
Georgia sees decrease in number of Azerbaijani visitors
Georgia sees decrease in number of Azerbaijani visitors
Loading Bars
Latest
Exports of several oil products from Iran shrink
Kazakhstan's preliminary oil extraction data indicates drop - OPEC
Coffee prices up in Georgia
Georgia observing economic recovery - minister
Goldman Sachs profit jumps on record global dealmaking
Iran’s Alborz Province exports fishery products
Azerbaijani citizens can visit dozens of countries without visa - Henley&Partners
Ukrainian deputy PM visits Azerbaijan’s Aghdam district (PHOTO)
Azerbaijan took huge step towards achieving its national dream - President of Belarus
Turkmenistan reveals volume of allocated loans in national currency
Relations between Azerbaijan and Belarus are far from any problems - President Aliyev
1Q2021 volume of electricity generation by Azerbaijani TPPs down
Azerbaijani, Belarus presidents made press statements (PHOTO)
Turkey reveals volume of cargo shipment via local ports from Netherlands
Azerbaijani, Belarusian presidents sign bilateral documents (PHOTO)
Azerbaijani Energy Ministry, IFC sign Memorandum of Understanding on offshore wind energy (PHOTO)
We created new reality by shedding blood, everyone should reckon with us - President Aliyev
Armenia took advantage of Heydar Aliyev’s dismissal from all posts - Azerbaijani president
IEA expects growth in Azerbaijan’s oil output
Our Victory is not only victory of our people, entire Turkic world is proud of it - Azerbaijani president
2M2021 data on cargo shipment via Turkish Mersin port disclosed
Popular Front-Musavat were selling gasoline to Armenia - Azerbaijani president
Armenia - country with bowed head, and it will always be the case - President Aliyev
Certain revengeful forces raising their heads should know that iron fist remains in place - Azerbaijani president
Iran and Russia extend bilateral cooperation
During war, they wanted to introduce sanctions against us - President Aliyev
Russia records over 8,300 daily COVID-19 cases
War Trophy Park in Baku illustrating aggressive nature of Armenia
Value of Russian imports of Turkish ready-made clothes disclosed
EU to borrow around 150 billion euros annually for recovery fund
Azerbaijan’s average compliance with OPEC+ deal up - IEA
US imports of Turkish electrical goods grow in value
Moody’s discloses forecast on growth of Azerbaijan's economy for next 3 years
President Aliyev on transfer of Irevan to Armenia: I condemned this decision, we should not obscure history
I have been saying that second Armenian state will never be created in our lands - Azerbaijani president
Baku Military Trophy Park - message for revenge seekers, says Azerbaijani expert (VIDEO)
I did not yield an inch on Karabakh issue - Azerbaijani president
Axpo expanding its business in renewable energies
In 2003, scum of PFPA-Musavat tandem attempted military coup, but it did not work - President Aliyev
I promised that I would defend territorial integrity, and I kept my word - President Aliyev
Army with 10,000 deserters is a disgrace - President Aliyev
Czech Republic interested in number of areas of Turkmenistan
Azerbaijani president about PFPA-Musavat tandem: In order to save themselves, they had to turn to Heydar Aliyev
Georgian Deputy Finance Minister comments IMF forecasts for Georgia
Iran reveals COVID-19 data for April 14
Number of job seekers from Turkey in Germany decreased
Azerbaijani banks showing great interest in attracting funds via swap method
Defense minister at time promised that if Shusha was surrendered, he'd shoot himself - President Aliyev
Then leader of junta, Sargsyan, promised me to return our lands in aftermath of that bitter defeat - President Aliyev
Heydar Aliyev was main target for Armenians of world - Azerbaijani president
Everyone visiting Military Trophy Park will see strength of our army - Azerbaijani president
We won an unprecedented victory - President Aliyev
Uzbekistan to double trade volume with neighboring countries
Iran's polyethylene exports rise (UPDATE)
South Africa says downpayments to J&J, Pfizer not refundable
EasyJet sees Europe open for travel from late May
Iran’s GTC continues to purchase wheat from farmers
Azerbaijan boosts electricity production volume
Uzbekistan to finance investment projects in Tashkent city
Natanz incident not to hamper Iran's efforts to revive JCPOA - former MP
Iran to pursue expansion of housing
Iran's Atomic Organization discusses enrichment of uranium
Iran to return to JCPOA after other parties fulfill commitments - President Rouhani
Azerbaijan developing transit trade by using advanced int'l experience
Georgian international airports see decrease in passenger traffic
AzeriCard processing center to suspend payment operations in Azerbaijan due to service update
Czech Republic plans to increase volume of mutual trade with Turkmenistan
Turkey's defense industry developing even better despite import sanctions
IMF shares outlook on Azerbaijan's natural gas export for 2021-2022
Georgia reports 1,085 coronavirus cases for April 14
Hungarian Wizz Air to return to Georgian aviation sector
Investments in Kazakhstan's fixed assets down
Unique for Central Asia tourist complex launched in Kazakhstan
Azerbaijan Banks Association seeks to create special mobile banking platforms
Azerbaijan needs to ensure efficient online opening of bank accounts - ABA head
Russia allows supply of peppers, tomatoes from some Uzbek enterprises
Azerbaijani, Belarus presidents hold one-on-one meeting (PHOTO)
Uzbekistan, Germany discuss issues of co-op on transport sector
Sales of Iranian mining companies grow
GiLTEX welcomes customers in new Sumgayit shop (PHOTO)
Hungarian companies may take part in business forum on restoration of Azerbaijan's liberated lands
Kazakhstan's agriculture output surges over 1Q2021
Azerbaijani Central Bank to facilitate growth of countrywide mobile banking
Half of allocated for cotton land sown in Turkmenistan’s Mary region
Iran to create infrastructures in industrial parks of Qazvin Province
Azerbaijani insurance, financial companies eye to be integrated with ASAN Login
Uzbekistan, Saudi Arabia to expand co-op in tourism sector
Georgia preparing to place Eurobonds on London Stock Exchange
Georgia holds auction of thermal water company's privatization
Shares of Turkmenistan’s Senagat Joint-Stock Commercial Bank to be put on sale
Iranian energy minister talks about water, electricity facilities to be launched
Gold, silver prices rebound in Azerbaijan
Azerbaijan developing mobile platform for money transfers
Azerbaijani SOCAR names amount of recently realized investment projects
IMF expects Azerbaijan’s gas output to rise in 2021
Azerbaijan eyes expanding multimodal cargo transportation with Ukraine
UAE partners with Japan's iSpace to send rover to the moon in 2022
Activities of Iran’s Jask port expand
Iran boosts exports of agricultural products
Georgia aims to ensure sustainable development of wine industry
All news