What can one expect after coalition forces withdraw from Afghanistan?

What can one expect after coalition forces withdraw from Afghanistan?

Azerbaijan, Baku, Jan. 14 / Trend /

Trend commentator Arzu Naghiyev

What can one expect after coalition forces are withdrawn from Afghanistan?

After the Americans leave, the Taliban may come to power and the "delicate balance" may be ruined.

Experience shows that the post-war situation in Afghanistan cannot be too different from that in Iraq. It is known that the propagandizing Sunni Taliban will turn into an implacable enemy of Shiite Iran. After the Taliban comes to power, confrontation will increase not only between Central Asian countries and Afghanistan, but with Iran as well.

The first meeting of re-elected U.S. President Barack Obama and Afghan President Hamid Karzai was held in the White House on Friday.

As expected, the issues of providing Afghan police and patrol forces with necessary things, truce programs between opposing forces and details of bilateral cooperation agreements in the field of security were mainly discussed at the meeting.

One of the main topics of the talks was the plan for withdrawing NATO main forces from Afghanistan, which is scheduled to be fully complete by the end of next year.

According to information from the U.S. Central Command, there are 68,000 U.S. servicemen in Afghanistan today. Despite the fact that the number of servicemen that will remain in Afghanistan after the withdrawal of troops in 2014 was discussed at the meeting, a final decision on this issue was not reached.

One of the U.S's main problems is China's increasing role in trying to actively expand its diplomatic and cultural presence, as well as China's implementation of various micro-projects in the region, ranging from pipeline laying to infrastructure establishment.

Chinese authorities strengthen their control by implementing various development projects in the province of Xinjiang, on the border with Central Asia, on which territorial claims are made, and then try to suppress nationalist sentiments among the local Uighur population.

The population of the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region is mainly composed of Muslim Uighurs. The region has a 5,600 km long land border with eight states. The province borders Mongolia, Russia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Afghanistan. The most turbulent border is the 80 km one with Afghanistan.

However, this issue has another side. Following the terrorist attacks of 11 September 2001, the Chinese government began to lead an 'international fight against terrorism' against Uighur extremists. In general, the separatists do not control the situation in Xinjiang, as government authorities in China are able to wage successful efforts against them and are aware of the fact that those who want to weaken China will surely take advantage of the "Uighur" trump card at any time.

The U.S. has been for a long time negotiating with the Taliban on the post withdrawal situation. It is obvious that the question of China, or rather Xinjiang has been raised during the course of these negotiations.

It is well known that the White House is trying to take advantage of the questions that create certain difficulties in bilateral negotiations with China. Thus, after the complete withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan in 2014, operations against China can be deployed in the region.

Therefore, while analyzing the policy to be held towards Afghanistan after the withdrawal of Western coalition forces, one must consider the fact that along with resolving questions about Afghanistan, Washington must also have a special plan for the continuation of work on the issue. That's why the White House intends to keep more than 50,000 soldiers in Afghanistan.

Despite the fact that President Hamid Karzai often criticizes U.S. policy in Afghanistan, he agreed to keep U.S. forces in the country during a meeting with Obama out of concern for his and his country's destiny.

Iran's Revolutionary Guard has disrupted airplane hijacking attempt
Iran's Revolutionary Guard has disrupted airplane hijacking attempt
Macron to hold phone talk with Iranian counterpart over JCPOA
Macron to hold phone talk with Iranian counterpart over JCPOA
Statement in support of Azerbaijan's territorial integrity adopted at conference in Iran (PHOTO)
Statement in support of Azerbaijan's territorial integrity adopted at conference in Iran (PHOTO)
Loading Bars
Yellen says Biden COVID bill to fuel 'very strong' U.S. recovery
Iran's budget deficit decreases
Iran's Energy Exchange announces products to be on sale on March 9
Africa's confirmed COVID-19 cases pass 3.96 mln: Africa CDC
Syria's President Bashar al-Assad tests positive for Covid-19
Employment in Iran's industrial sector increases
Bulk of Jan.2021 loans to electric energy sector in Azerbaijan issued in foreign currency
Azerbaijan confirms 71 more COVID-19 recoveries
Loading-unloading of cargo in ports of Iran's Gilan Province expands
Iran's power consumption reduced by Omid plan
Iran to inaugurate more projects in free economic zones
Iran has developed steel supply chain - Iranian President
Iran's Securities and Exchanges Organization talks number of investors in capital market
Iran’s Bahar Azadi gold coin price rising
Volume of dry-farming land in Iran increases
Iran's NISOC begins excavations on its territory
Iran’s South Pars Gas Company reveals production data of its refinery
Iran waits for Europeans to comply with the JCPOA - MFA
Iran to make decision whether to open schools after Nowruz holiday
Production of LPG-fueled cars in Iran's interests - Chamber of Commerce
Armenia's war crimes exposed at UN Congress
Azerbaijan sees growth in Jan.2021 transactions via clearing system for small payments
Iran boosts car manufacturing
Spanish La Vanguardia: Return to Azerbaijan's Karabakh after war
Azerbaijan’s export of ferrous metal products down
Turkmenbashi Oil Refineries opens tender for purchase of gasoline
Britain's M&S expands online business to over 100 markets
Dustbin of history - place for former Armenian president Kocharian, 'Karabakh clan' - historian
Khazar Consortium opens tender to purchase cementing unit
Turkey’s food retail chain Migros to bolster gender-equal workforce and greener stores
Iran Mercantile Exchange working to expand sale of goods
Iran reveals COVID-19 data for March 8
Modi to inaugurate Maitri Setu between India and Bangladesh on Tuesday
India's Covid Vaccine Rollout "Rescued The World": Top US Scientist
India pre-eminent partner of US in Indo-Pacific region: Blinken tells Jaishankar
Bachendri Pal to lead all women team aged above 50 in a 5 month long Himalayan expedition
Satellite set for Mar 28 launch will provide near real time images of borders, quick monitoring of natural disasters
Sikh Fighter Pilot Memorial In UK To Honour Indians Who Fought In World Wars
IMF, Georgia review agenda of bilateral cooperation
Iranian President and Irish FM discuss JCPOA
Iran reserves strategic basic goods
Iran’s Rouhani asks for release of frozen assets in Iraqi banks
Iranian parliament approves increase of salaries to aid low incomes
Iran not to allocate Nowruz gasoline quota due to COVID-19
Uzbekneftegaz establishing production of import-substituting products for industrial enterprises
Iran to obtain its funds frozen in Iraq
Georgia opens new enterprise with support of Rural Development Agency
Interest in entrepreneurship growing among women in Azerbaijan
Export of cotton from Azerbaijan greatly increases in Jan. 2021
Mubarek oil&gas production dep’t owned by Uzbekneftegaz to increase natural gas production
Uzbekistan reveals its COVID-19 data for March 8
Iran unveils number of mining facilities put into operation
Japanese businessmen visit Azerbaijan’s Guba genocide memorial complex (PHOTO)
Development of Iran's Siyahmakan oil field launched
Nearly half of non-oil sector taxes in Azerbaijan falls on mobile operator in 2020
Azerbaijan's Azercell reveals number of processed requests in 2020
Azerbaijan's Jan. 2021 imports from EU show increase
Accumulative life insurance market in Azerbaijan grows
Iran capable of building long water transfer pipelines - Iranian VP
Deliveroo launches London IPO after business surges in 2020
Iran to publish final report of the downed Ukrainian jet soon
No direct or indirect relations between Iran and US - Iranian Foreign Ministry
Approval of FATF related bills would increase Iran's export revenue - Iranian Union
Iranian medicine importers awaiting approval of FATF related conventions
Turkey records slight decrease in car exports abroad
Cement exports from Turkey to global markets grow
Azerbaijan shows footage from Zangilan's Garagoz village (VIDEO)
Turkey's revenues from export of grains, legumes to global markets up
Moscow hosts opening ceremony of another 'Gifts of Azerbaijan' stand
Turkmenistan sells diesel fuel, gasoline to number of countries
Baku celebrating International Women's Day (PHOTO)
Kazakhstan's exports to Portugal plummet amid COVID-19
Kazakhstan boosts trade turnover with Lithuania
Oil supply to exceed demand in 2022, says JP Morgan
Georgia sees decrease in COVID-19 cases
Uzbekistan's gold deposit ranks in list of world's biggest gold mines by production
Azerbaijan's digital infrastructure project to generate Digital Silk Road between Europe, C.Asia
U.S. says all options on table for a decision on Afghanistan
Growth rate of agricultural production in Turkmenistan increases
Uzbekneftegaz reveals volume of oil products manufactured in 2M2021
Azerbaijan's First VP congratulates Azerbaijani women on International Women's Day
JP Morgan reveals 2021 oil demand & supply forecasts
Boom in Iran's housing sector create new jobs for local force
JP Morgan says OPEC to boost supply in 2021
OPEC crude output to exceed 30 mbpd in 2022 – JP Morgan
Uzbekistan, India talk mutual phytosanitary permits for agricultural products
Turkmenistan exceeds plan for transport, communication sector
Weekly review of Azerbaijani oil market
Nepal PM Oli receives first jab of Indian-made COVID-19 vaccine
Iran's economic development declines
IAM Construction LLC to reconstruct facility in Azerbaijan’s Seaside Park
Azerbaijan’s state interests on Azerbaijani-Armenian border protected at highest level
China's focus on annual GDP targets gives greater policy flexibility
Iran's CBI reveals amount of loans issued in Iran's trade sector
Buy/sell operations at Iran Mercantile Exchange on the rise
Iran kicks off development of Ramin oil field in Khuzestan Province
Iran reveals amount of loans issued in housing and construction sector
Iranian currency rates for March 8
Iranian banks issue big loans to agricultural sector
Iran boosts development of Zilayi oil field
All news