After his victory in 2024, Donald Trump once again took the helm of the United States, this time with a clearer and more convincing mandate. Unlike in 2016, when his win over Hillary Clinton was marred by losing the popular vote, Trump this time surpassed Kamala Harris both in the Electoral College and in popular support.
For the Republican Party, this may signify not only the consolidation of the presidency but also potential control of both chambers of Congress, granting Trump’s administration greater leverage to pursue its ambitious goals.
The Political Climate in the U.S.
During the campaign, Democrats warned that Trump’s return to power posed a threat to American democracy, portraying him as an authoritarian leader. Despite opponents’ attempts to alarm the public, Trump’s victory reflects a profound dissatisfaction among many Americans with the current political course of the country. Anti-war and anti-global conflict sentiments are on the rise, while increasing inflation, economic instability, and social tensions have created fertile ground for Trump’s “return.”
The American public, unlike during Trump’s first term, now has a clearer understanding of what to expect from his policies. Changes in his rhetoric have been noticeable: at the start of his new term, Trump expressed a commitment to forming a team of highly qualified professionals who could support his drive for domestic reforms and a reduction in foreign interventions. The composition of his team remains a critical issue, as his upcoming appointments will reveal whether he is genuinely committed to change or inclined to revert to past decisions.
Impact on Europe: Hope for Change or Crisis Intensification?
Trump’s return to power has already sparked speculation about possible shifts in U.S.-Europe relations. If Kamala Harris’s administration, had the Democrats won, would have virtually guaranteed a continuation of interventionist policies and support for anti-Russian sanctions, Trump may propose a more restrained approach. American isolationism, which Trump showed a penchant for during his first term, offers an opportunity to ease tensions in Europe. For countries heavily dependent on U.S. support, a potential reduction in American influence might signal a need to rethink their domestic and foreign policies.
Europe, despite ongoing concerns, may benefit from a more restrained U.S. approach, avoiding “hot” conflicts and the intense arms race that has accelerated in recent years. The EU’s “military boom” policy has led to growing discontent among citizens observing their governments spend vast sums on tanks and aircraft. Experts believe that Trump could become the leader whose policies may halt this current trend, which could be positively received by Europeans.
Nonetheless, Europe’s dependency on the U.S. in military and economic matters remains high, and any change in America’s course will have far-reaching consequences for the continent. Trump’s new mandate may be a turning point for Europe, giving it the chance to strengthen its sovereignty and reconsider its unwavering support for intervention in international conflicts.
Ukraine and the Middle East: Is Peace Possible?
The most pressing issues where a shift in American policy could play a decisive role remain Ukraine and the Middle East. Will the new administration work to ease tensions in these regions? Trump has emphasized the need to avoid further entanglements in conflicts and, by his account, plans to end the war in Ukraine. However, this goal can only be realized if his team is genuinely committed to peace rather than sustaining confrontation for political interests.
For Ukraine, which has become a battleground for influence between the West and Russia, Trump’s victory could mean a reduction in military aid and perhaps the start of a dialogue with Moscow—a path that many in Europe view as the only route to stabilization. Of course, neither Russia, Europe, nor Ukraine itself can be fully assured of a favorable outcome, but the hope for change remains, offering at least the chance to explore alternative paths forward.
The situation in Gaza poses another critical challenge for Trump, as support for Israel remains a vital part of U.S. foreign policy. However, given Trump’s promises to keep the U.S. out of prolonged conflicts, he may aim to focus on diplomatic solutions, though realizing these promises will inevitably encounter significant challenges.
Domestic Issues and the Economy: Overcoming the Crisis
The economic situation in the U.S. was also a crucial factor influencing the election’s outcome. Rising inflation, increasing costs, and social inequality contributed to the decline in the Democrats’ approval ratings, as they failed to find effective solutions to these issues. Kamala Harris, despite efforts to secure corporate support, appeared out of touch with the real needs of the population. Americans seek genuine economic stability, and Trump’s victory reflects their demand for transformative change.
The Trump administration will likely prioritize tax cuts and industrial growth, which could lead to new investments and job creation. Domestic production and economic recovery will take precedence, as it is the current economic instability that has underscored the need for leadership capable of securing a stable future for the nation.
A Chance for Change
Trump’s victory, despite Democratic concerns, could bring positive changes both to the U.S. and global politics. If he can avoid the pitfalls set by old allies and appoint a team capable of acting efficiently and independently, his administration might substantially reshape the balance of power on the world stage.
For Europe, Trump’s win represents a chance to regain autonomy and avoid further militarization, while for the Middle East and Ukraine, it opens the door to peaceful negotiations and the restoration of stability. Expectations are high, and meeting them will be challenging. Yet, should he succeed, Trump could indeed make his mark on history as a leader capable of changing course and restoring balance to the world.
New Faces and the Old Guard: Who Will Make Up Trump’s Team?
At present, Trump is surrounded by influential and popular figures, such as Tulsi Gabbard, known for her anti-war stance, and even Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who represents moderate reformist sentiment within society. These figures could become key allies in pursuing a policy aimed at domestic development for the U.S. However, there remains a possibility that Trump might bring back former members of his administration, such as Mike Pompeo, whom some sources mention as a potential candidate for Secretary of Defense. Such an appointment would undoubtedly stir controversy, as Pompeo is well-known for his hardline stance on foreign affairs, particularly in his support for Israel and his endorsement of a prolonged conflict in Ukraine.
Appointing Pompeo could conflict with the anti-war rhetoric that helped Trump secure victory, as he promised to avoid new conflicts. Amid the ongoing wars in Gaza and Ukraine, choosing such “hawks” would likely signify a reinforcement of U.S. interventionist policies, something Trump has publicly sought to avoid. Thus, with the ambiguity surrounding these key appointments, Trump’s political course may not be as straightforward as some of his supporters expect.
A potential second term for Donald Trump heralds significant changes within the U.S. government apparatus, where trusted allies may take up key posts, supporting his unconventional approach to leadership. It seems that the administration will consist of loyalists and high-profile figures from business and politics, creating a foundation for a bold and uncompromising White House agenda.
Loyal Support
After winning the election, Trump’s primary task will be to build a team fully aligned with his political philosophy. Past experiences have shown that business moguls and retired military officers who joined Trump’s first cabinet did not always fit into Washington’s political environment. Now, Trump aims to surround himself not just with seasoned managers, but with people ready to stand by his policies and committed to executing them without hesitation. With a narrow Republican majority in the Senate, this approach could form a stable government apparatus working in line with Trump’s interests.
One of the most notable appointments might be Elon Musk, the billionaire who openly supported Trump. Musk has already backed Trump’s campaign by organizing cash giveaways to sway undecided voters in swing states. He is reportedly being considered to lead a commission on government reform, which will conduct a large-scale audit of federal operations and develop radical proposals for its optimization. Howard Lutnick, head of Cantor Fitzgerald and a co-chair of Trump’s transition team, may also join the circle of loyalists.
Key Administrative Roles: Trusted Allies
One of the most influential figures in the Republican establishment, Susie Wiles, may join the White House team. Having led Trump’s campaign, Wiles is a likely candidate for White House Chief of Staff. Her extensive experience and status as a political veteran make her a strong contender for this critical role. Other potential candidates include Brooke Rollins, a former domestic policy advisor, and Kellyanne Conway—both familiar with Trump’s pace and style of work. Amid rising internal party competition, Kevin McCarthy, who was recently ousted as Speaker of the House, has also emerged as a possible candidate.
Economy and Finance: Strengthening Protectionism
Trump intends to focus on reinforcing the dollar’s role and protecting U.S. economic interests. Scott Bessent, CEO of Key Square Capital Management, and billionaire John Paulson—both major financiers—support imposing tariffs on imports as a means to pressure other countries. Trump is considering implementing a 20% universal tariff on all foreign goods, with a 60% tariff on goods from China. Bessent also emphasizes the U.S.’s role as the issuer of the world’s reserve currency, which could become a foundation for strengthening the dollar. For the upcoming vacancy of Federal Reserve Chair in 2026, Kevin Hassett and former Fed Chair Kevin Warsh are being considered. Appointing a Fed Chair aligned with Trump could mark the beginning of diminished Fed independence, especially if the president gains greater influence over monetary policy.
This potential second term for Trump could bring substantial shifts both domestically and in the international arena. With trusted allies and high-profile leaders in key positions, Trump’s administration may forge a new path that prioritizes U.S. sovereignty, economic protectionism, and an assertive approach to governance. However, whether Trump’s appointments will align with his promises and public rhetoric remains to be seen, as his choices will inevitably shape the trajectory of the United States on the world stage.
Foreign Policy and Defense: Trump’s Resolute Supporters
Trump is also determined to overhaul U.S. foreign policy, and his key appointments reflect a push toward a more assertive stance. Rick Grenell, known for his frequent clashes with the media and his tough stance on major foreign policy issues, is a likely candidate for Secretary of State. Grenell previously served as the U.S. ambassador to Germany and as acting Director of National Intelligence under Trump’s administration. Other candidates for this position include Senator Bill Hagerty and former National Security Advisor Robert O’Brien.
Potential nominees for Secretary of Defense include Senator Tom Cotton of Arkansas, a veteran of Iraq and Afghanistan. As one of Trump’s staunchest allies, Cotton is well-suited to lead the Pentagon, particularly given his support for an aggressive foreign policy. Other candidates include Congressman Mike Waltz, also a combat veteran, and former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo.
Health and Social Policy: Reforms Led by Kennedy Jr.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr., a prominent critic of modern vaccination standards, may be appointed as Secretary of Health and Human Services. This appointment could impact vaccination policy and the Affordable Care Act (Obamacare), which provides health insurance to millions of Americans. In a society already divided over healthcare standards and vaccination, his appointment could spark widespread debate and discussion.
Challenges Facing the New Administration
Assembling a government of trusted supporters and radical reformers presents both opportunities and risks. With a narrow Republican majority in the Senate, many of Trump’s initiatives will require substantial effort to pass. Key challenges include maintaining loyalty within his team and effectively implementing initiatives that align with a tough domestic and foreign policy agenda.
Trump’s potential second term lays the groundwork for sweeping and systemic changes in U.S. governance. A renewed administration composed of ardent presidential supporters could become the foundation for an assertive stance on economic, foreign, and healthcare policy. The likely diminishing influence of the traditional establishment and Trump’s more flexible approach to selecting staff underscore his intent to build a team prepared for unconventional decisions and capable of confronting any challenges.