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Silent war: how disinformation became the deadliest weapon of the digital age

Politics Materials 21 May 2025 21:38 (UTC +04:00)
Silent war: how disinformation became the deadliest weapon of the digital age
Elchin Alioghlu
Elchin Alioghlu
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Welcome to the age of digital hyperreality, where war doesn’t require tanks or missiles—just a Wi-Fi signal and a well-placed lie. Information, once heralded as a universal good, has become weaponized: sharp, stealthy, and devastating. In this new battlespace, truth is slippery and lies are dressed in Sunday best. Disinformation is no longer just fact-twisting—it’s a systemic tool for psychological warfare, national interference, political sabotage, and institutional decay.

The events of 2024 and 2025 cemented disinformation’s evolution from nuisance to full-fledged strategic weapon. It’s now deployed to undermine elections, inflame protest movements, derail diplomatic talks, demoralize militaries, rattle markets, and spark geopolitical crises. It doesn't march in uniform—it poses as journalism, civic engagement, or expert analysis, seeping into the minds of millions and reprogramming their perception of reality.

Faced with this shape-shifting threat, governments can no longer afford to play defense. They must move proactively—building not just response systems, but resilient legal and institutional firewalls against the incursion of digital falsehoods.

Around the globe, states are scrambling to fight back. Some are cracking down with criminal statutes; others are investing in media literacy or turning to algorithmic filters and AI-driven content moderation. The war on disinformation is no longer theoretical—it’s active, global, and escalating.

Defining Disinformation: Legal Clarity and Strategic Scope

The disinformation threat isn’t just growing—it’s gaining legal and strategic traction on the international stage. What once felt like a murky realm of bad actors and blurry truths now has formal definitions, regulatory frameworks, and an expanding arsenal of countermeasures.

1. What Is Disinformation? The International Definition

According to the European Commission, disinformation is:

“Verifiably false or misleading information that is created, presented and disseminated for economic gain or to intentionally deceive the public.”

Four elements mark true disinformation:

  • Intentionality: Unlike innocent errors or rumors, disinformation is crafted deliberately.
  • Targeting: Its aim is to shape behavior, sway opinions, or influence decisions on a mass scale.
  • Plausibility: Disinformation often blends partial truths into false narratives to boost credibility.
  • Motive: Whether it's monetization (like clickbait) or political advantage (like destabilization or demoralization), there’s always a reason behind the lie.

Crucially, disinformation must be distinguished from its lesser cousins:

  • Misinformation: False content spread without intent to deceive—think grandma forwarding a bogus chain email.
  • Malinformation: True information weaponized out of context—think data leaks or exposing private communications to damage reputations.

Disinformation is the most dangerous of the three, precisely because it mixes fact and fiction with surgical intent.

2. The Scope of the Threat: Trends, Geography, and Numbers

The NATO Strategic Communications Centre of Excellence, based in Riga, reports a sharp rise in the volume, coordination, and global reach of disinformation campaigns between 2019 and 2023. These aren’t isolated incidents—they’re coordinated attacks with cross-border impact, often tied to state actors or sophisticated influence networks.

From Europe to Southeast Asia, from the Middle East to Latin America, disinformation isn’t just sowing confusion—it’s reshaping geopolitics, one narrative at a time.

Disinformation by Design: NATO's Findings, Global Reactions, and the Battle for Digital Sovereignty

The numbers tell a chilling story. According to recent reports by NATO's Strategic Communications Centre of Excellence (StratCom COE), the scale and intensity of disinformation campaigns have surged by more than 180% in recent years. The targets are clear and consistent: erode trust in government institutions, discredit democratic elections, inflame ethnic and religious tensions, and sow chaos during moments of crisis.

Flashpoints and Frontlines

StratCom COE flags three regions as hotspots in the global disinformation war:

  • Eastern Europe — especially Ukraine, Moldova, and the Baltic states;
  • The Middle East — including Syria, Iraq, and Lebanon;
  • The South Caucasus — notably Azerbaijan, Georgia, and Armenia.

In 2022 alone, NATO identified over 80,000 fake social media accounts involved in more than 120 coordinated disinformation campaigns. Roughly 60% of the disinformation narratives tracked across the post-Soviet space were steeped in anti-Western rhetoric and foreign policy manipulation. These operations are often launched through encrypted Telegram channels, pseudo-analytical websites, bot networks, and fake profiles on Facebook and X (formerly Twitter).

The South Caucasus: A Case Study in Vulnerability

Nowhere is the information battlefield more volatile than in the South Caucasus. Here, NATO and EU analysts have observed a dangerous mix of historical grievances, weak media oversight, and foreign interference. Disinformation campaigns in Azerbaijan, in particular, have exploited the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict to spread doctored videos, forged documents, and inflammatory “news” intended to smear state institutions and sway international opinion.

The Policy Response: Watchdogs and Whiplash

Governments are scrambling to mount defenses. Many have established specialized media monitoring units:

  • France launched Viginum in 2021, a digital interference watchdog under the Prime Minister’s office.
  • Germany’s domestic intelligence agency (BfV) focuses heavily on disinformation from Russian and Chinese sources.
  • Azerbaijan’s State Security Service has analytical teams dedicated to tracking hybrid threats, including cyber-disinformation.

At the legislative level, countries are tightening their grip on tech platforms:

  • Platforms are now legally required in many jurisdictions to remove false information within 24 hours, block anonymous bot accounts, and clearly label disinformation.
  • Germany’s NetzDG law (2017) imposes fines of up to €50 million for failing to remove harmful content swiftly.

Criminal and Civil Tools in the Legal Arsenal

Several countries have gone further, criminalizing the spread of disinformation, especially when it threatens national security:

  • Russia’s infamous Article 207.3 carries up to 15 years in prison for falsehoods about military operations.
  • Singapore’s POFMA law (2019) allows for hefty fines and jail time for spreading digital falsehoods.
  • Azerbaijan has codified penalties for false reporting during emergencies, wars, and pandemics.

In the civil sphere, many legal systems now allow individuals to sue for defamation and demand retractions within tight timeframes. France’s 2018 anti-manipulation law empowers election candidates to seek judicial takedown of fake content within 48 hours.

Multilateral Countermeasures

International bodies are ramping up their efforts:

  • The EU’s 2018 Action Plan against Disinformation has cataloged over 14,000 cases of pro-Kremlin narratives. The 2022 Digital Services Act mandates that platforms act swiftly or face fines of up to 6% of global revenue.
  • NATO’s StratCom COE continues to publish intelligence on influence campaigns originating in Russia, Iran, and China.
  • OSCE advocates for lighter-touch regulation focused on transparency and fact-checking rather than punitive controls.
  • UNESCO’s 2023 digital governance guidelines push for algorithmic transparency and media literacy while safeguarding free expression.

The Fine Line: Censorship vs. Security

But not all responses have been well-received. Critics warn that legal crackdowns can easily morph into tools of political repression. Countries like Myanmar and Turkey have wielded anti-disinformation laws to silence dissent and muzzle independent media. The distinction between satire, error, and manipulation is often murky—posing a challenge for enforcement and a danger for free speech.

Best Practices: A Balanced Playbook

Some nations offer models worth emulating:

  • Finland focuses on digital education, embedding its FactBar EDU media literacy program in schools.
  • Canada’s Digital Citizen Initiative funds NGOs that teach online critical thinking.
  • Azerbaijan has launched counter-disinformation platforms like dövlət.org and faktlar.az to provide real-time rebuttals on issues like Karabakh and foreign affairs.

The Bigger Picture: A National Security Imperative

In the end, countering disinformation isn't just a technical fix or a legal formality—it's a cornerstone of national security, digital sovereignty, and state resilience. The most effective approach blends regulation with education, enforcement with transparency, and defense with strategic foresight. The frontline may be digital, but the stakes couldn’t be more real.

Case Study: Azerbaijan’s Institutional Response to Disinformation

In the face of mounting hybrid threats, Azerbaijan—like many post-Soviet states—finds itself walking a tightrope between national security and freedom of expression. With disinformation now a recognized instrument of geopolitical sabotage, the country is advancing a comprehensive system of information security. That system hinges on five pillars: legal sanctions for malicious actors, administrative monitoring, public education, transparent tech-sector cooperation, and international coordination guided by ethical standards.

A Legal and Institutional Framework for Digital Defense

In recent years, Azerbaijan has moved decisively to fortify its legal defenses against both foreign and domestic disinformation. Following the aftermath of the Second Karabakh War and a surge in hybrid attacks, the government has adopted a centralized, institutional approach that blends criminal, administrative, and media law into a cohesive strategy.

1. Media Law (2022): Defining the Rules of Engagement

A milestone in Azerbaijan’s legal architecture is the 2022 Law on Media, the country’s first comprehensive statute regulating all forms of media—TV, radio, print, and online.

Key provisions include:

  • Definitions: The law clearly distinguishes between "disinformation" (deliberately false content intended to distort reality and manipulate public opinion) and "false information" (inaccurate content not necessarily spread with intent).
  • Article 14: Explicitly prohibits knowingly false information that could mislead the public, incite panic, or erode trust in state institutions.
  • Enforcement: Violations can trigger official warnings, temporary suspension (up to two months), and mandatory content removal.
  • Central Registry: A Unified Media Register requires all journalists, editorial offices, and media platforms operating in Azerbaijan to formally register.

2. Criminal Code Amendments: Targeting Digital Sabotage

Azerbaijan’s Criminal Code now includes enhanced penalties for spreading knowingly false information, especially during sensitive periods such as martial law, states of emergency, or public health crises.

Sanctions include:

  • Fines up to 5,000 manats;
  • Restricted liberty up to one year;
  • Imprisonment up to three years for repeat or organized offenses.

Particular attention is paid to disinformation that seeks to:

  • Discredit the military;
  • Undermine public trust in government decisions;
  • Manipulate opinion during national emergencies.

These provisions were actively enforced during the 2020 and 2023 Karabakh conflicts and throughout the COVID-19 pandemic.

3. Law on Martial Law: Censorship Under Fire

The Law on Martial Law grants the Azerbaijani government sweeping powers to manage the information landscape during wartime or imminent external threats.

Key elements:

  • Temporary restrictions on media operations;
  • Blocking access to digital platforms spreading harmful content;
  • Authorization of military censorship in crisis zones.

Journalists reporting from conflict areas must hold official accreditation and adhere to government-issued guidelines. The aim is to protect operational security, prevent panic, and counter foreign propaganda.

4. Expanding the Role of the National TV and Radio Council

The National Television and Radio Council (NTRC) has been granted broader oversight to combat disinformation swiftly and effectively. With expanded authority, the NTRC can now issue takedown orders, investigate violations, and coordinate directly with digital platforms to stem the tide of online falsehoods.

Toward a Balanced Model

Azerbaijan’s evolving framework reflects a broader regional trend: governments under pressure from hybrid threats are turning to institutional mechanisms to safeguard their information sovereignty. But the challenge remains—ensuring that this fight against disinformation does not become a pretext for curbing legitimate dissent. The success of any model depends on its ability to balance national defense with democratic integrity, resilience with rights.

Fortifying the Digital Front: Azerbaijan’s Legal Arsenal and the Quest for Information Sovereignty

In the age of weaponized information, Azerbaijan has crafted a multi-tiered legal and institutional framework designed not just to repel hybrid threats—but to endure them. From emergency content shutdowns to civil society partnerships, the country is engineering a legal architecture that blends authority with agility, aiming to strike a delicate balance between free expression and national security.

Expanded Powers for the Broadcast Regulator

The National Television and Radio Council (NTRC) has become a central player in Azerbaijan’s disinformation defense strategy. Its enhanced powers now include:

  • License Suspension: The NTRC can halt operations of TV and radio stations that repeatedly flout media laws.
  • Platform Blocking: In matters of national security, it can restrict access to online resources spreading falsehoods—without waiting for a court order.
  • Surveillance and Reporting: The council monitors both analog and digital broadcasts, forwarding suspect content to law enforcement.

In 2023, the NTRC moved decisively to shut down a slew of Telegram channels and YouTube accounts spreading panic-inducing fabrications about evacuations, shellings, and so-called "mass repression" in Karabakh—claims later refuted by international organizations.

Strategic Depth: A Multi-Layered Legal Ecosystem

Azerbaijan’s approach weaves together legal prohibitions, institutional enforcement tools, and crisis-response protocols to create an adaptive, rule-based defense mechanism. It’s a model built not just for retaliation, but for resilience.

Information Security as a Strategic Doctrine

Since 2023, Azerbaijan has been drafting its national doctrine on information security—framing the issue not just as media hygiene, but as a matter of statecraft. Key pillars of the doctrine include:

  • Threat Detection: Enhancing surveillance of foreign information platforms and campaigns.
  • Digital Sovereignty: Codifying the legal boundaries of Azerbaijan’s digital jurisdiction.
  • Narrative Defense: Countering disinformation from diasporic lobbies, hostile media outlets, and coordinated cyber-campaigns that deploy fake reports, spoofed emails, and forged documents—often under the guise of official state communications.

Crisis-Ready Administration: From Surveillance to Civil Society

Between 2023 and 2025, Azerbaijan rolled out an integrated administrative infrastructure:

  • Rapid Response Unit: Housed within the State Service for Special Communications, this team tracks fake campaigns and coordinates content takedowns.
  • Media Development Fund: Supports journalism training initiatives focused on digital ethics and information verification.
  • Public Monitoring Platforms: Civil society tools like FaktYoxla.az, Disinfo Monitor, and İctimai nəzarət engage users and NGOs in grassroots fact-checking.

During the Karabakh escalation in September 2023, more than 50 Telegram channels and 100 social media accounts were taken offline after circulating unverified claims of civilian massacres, humanitarian disasters, and even an alleged Iranian invasion—all of which were later debunked.

Navigating the Line: Sovereignty Without Suppression

The greatest challenge in 21st-century information governance is drawing a line between protecting society and suppressing it. Based on global best practices, Azerbaijan is moving toward a model rooted in five foundational principles:

Digital Literacy: No system can withstand disinformation if the public can’t tell fact from fiction. Media literacy must begin in schools. Algorithmic Transparency: States must push for disclosure of content-recommendation systems, especially on platforms like TikTok, YouTube, and Instagram. Independent Fact-Checking: Credible, non-governmental verification centers build public trust and neutralize bias. Journalistic Ethics: Strong editorial norms and voluntary codes of conduct are essential for media sector resilience. International Cooperation: Disinformation knows no borders. Regional coordination—especially across the South Caucasus—is vital.

The Long War of Truth

In today’s information landscape, the battlefield is invisible, and the weapons are narratives. Disinformation isn’t just noise—it’s a slow-burning landmine, capable of unraveling stability without a single shot fired. Azerbaijan, like many nations in the post-Soviet sphere, is responding not with a single campaign but with an ongoing commitment to building a flexible, legally sound, and ethically grounded defense model.

This is not a war of attrition—it’s a race to immunize. Victory will belong to those who can protect their societies without smothering them, and who can regulate digital space without sacrificing its democratic potential. In that struggle, laws, literacy, and global cooperation form the strongest firewall of all.

Baku Network

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