Kazakhstan, Astana, Nov. 9 / Trend , A.Maratov /
Kazakh political analyst Dosym Satpayev believes today that the question is not when early parliamentary elections in Kazakhstan will be held, but what will be parliament's structure.
"Today everyone is wondering whether Kazakhstan will hold early parliamentary elections, but the fact they will be held is not a surprise. This issue has been under review since early 2011. Today, it is important to ask: "What will be the composition of a new parliament?" Mr Satpayev said. He commented on the reports that the Kazakh Parliament may declare its dissolution on Wednesday.
He said presidential advisor Yermukhamet Yertysbayev has repeatedly stated there would be an early dissolution of the Parliament. Several leaders of the political parties, including the Communists and the Azat party, which had been preparing for the early parliamentary elections in early 2011, also spoke about it.
"The problem is that most are taken up with the process itself, although it is understandable that the process will run on the developed scenario. It is important to understand what will be the end result, that is what will be the composition of new parliament," he said.
Mr Satpayev believes the essence of the situation is whether the new parliament will be much different from the previous one.
"Why is this important? Because most likely the new parliament may find itself in the same transit period linked with the transfer of power in the country. The question of succession is much closer to us than is predicted," he said.
Mr. Satpayev said the new parliament should be a collective authority at a time when there will be transfer of power in the country.
"Will those two political parties which should form the basis of a two-party parliament become serious players, rather than formal extras? That is the question. So the technical details are not as interesting as the future composition," he said.
Meanwhile, Mr. Yertysbayev does not exclude the possibility that the Parliament may declare its dissolution on Wednesday, the Kazakh newspaper "Vremya" wrote.
"The Parliament may declare the need for new elections. The reason in this case does not matter. Well, let's say, Kazakhstan has to enter the third decade of independence with at least a two-party parliament. If the deputies announce the dissolution in mid-November, elections will be held in mid-January in accordance with the law. This is an entirely different position and in this case we will not violate the Constitution. Presidential and parliamentary elections take place on dates in different years," Mr Yertysbayev said in an interview with the paper.
"I think it would be effective if the parliament declared the need for early elections then all MPs would vote. However, the old parliament should operate until the first meeting of the new Parliament because the legislative work should be continued," he said.
Mr. Yertysbayev stated that he stood for holding the parliamentary election in June after the presidential election. "Another thing is that the president took a clear stance on this issue in that the presidential and parliamentary elections were not conducted in one year," he said.