If Talks with Iran Not Yields Results, Obama will Adopt Tougher Measures: Expert

Azerbaijan, Baku, 19 July/ Trend , corr E. Tariverdiyeva, V. Zhavoronkova/ The candidate from Democrats of US Barack Obama will take serious steps during his presidency, only in case peaceful talks with Tehran do not yield results.

"Except for a greater willingness to engage diplomatically with the Iranian government, the position he is taking is essentially this: If carrots fail to work, he is all in favor of using sticks short of direct military intervention," Bert A. Rockman, professor of Purdue University of US said to Trend on 19 July.

Obama said this week that US is interested in preventing Iran from possessing nuclear arms and all means should be used to put pressure on Tehran," Reuters reported.

"No instrument of artificial administration should be missed. I will use all elements of the US force to put pressure on Iran Iran, begining from aggressive, principle and direct diplomacy, imposing stiffer sanctionsd without the preliminary terms," Obama said.

Te experts believe that the rhetoric of Obama should be considered part of election campaign. The US expert Mark N. Katz believes that these statements were made only for Americans. Obama would continue the Bush policy toward Iran, he said.

"Unlike Bush, Obama is willing to talk to Iran. What he is saying, though, is that if talks do not work, he would adopt tougher measures," Professor of Government and Politics of George Mason University Кац.

University said to Trend via e-mail.

According to expert, Obama is saying this mainly in the context of the American presidential campaign to deflect criticism from Republicans that his approach to Iran is too soft, and that he would do nothing if talks do not work.

Iran also is hopeful of Obama. The Iranian political expert Piruz Mujtahidzade believes that if Obama is elected President, the diplomatic discussions with Iran will take place. There is one more interesting moment: Iran has made changes to its previous policy and even weakened its position on nuclear issue.

"By holding discussions with West, Tehran send a message to US which shows that relations between Iran and West will normalize further," Mujtahidzade, chairman Yurosevic Research Fund of London and professor of Geopolitical University of Tehran said to Trend by telephone.

The US expert Peter Shane also believes that I believe this has been his consistent position. He wants to engage in peaceful diplomacy with Iran, offering incentives for the voluntary abandonment of its nuclear enrichment program, but holding out the prospects of harsher sanctions if Iran refuses to adjust its behavior to the norms of the international community. The observers say that the current Bush Administration does not support immediate military attack on Iran.

According to Rockman, there seems to be broad agreement about the use of aggressive diplomacy in the case of Iran. No one, except possibly the Israelis and a few currently discredited but still active members of the Bush administration (mainly VP Cheney and his staff), are advocating a military intervention at the present time.

According to the political expert, the American military is already stretched in a two front war. The military is not looking for new ventures. In fact, it wasn't looking for the venture in Iraq either.

According to Shane, It is interesting that, in recent days, the Bush Administration -- which previously refused to engage in direct diplomacy with Iran -- has started to do so. "This suggests that the public's positive response to Obama's call for diplomacy is actually having an effect on the Bush Administration, which is a good thing," he said.

According to Mujtahidzade, the senator fro Illinois has influenced changes in Bush's policy. The platform of Obama puts some pressure on the policy of US government toward Iran, he said.

"The US Administration said so far that it will not hold talks with official Tehran if Iran does not stop uranium enrichment program. However, Obama criticized this policy and said that it is important to hold talks with Iran," Mujtahidzade said.

According to experts, problem of Iran concerns not only US, but also Europe also takes measures to stop uranium enrichment program of Iran.

According to Rockman, one of the hidden but very deep concerns is whether any of the Iranian regime's non-state terrorist allies would have access to its nuclear materials.

"I think there is widespread concern, not just American concern, about Iran's potential acquisition of nuclear weapons and potential mid-range missiles. "Iran is actually a fairly modern society with a regime from the 12th century, and one that has shown a penchant for aggressive support of terrorist groups as well as the use of highly inflammatory and threatening language," expert said.

According to Rockman, the Europeans have mostly stopped shipments of goods that have military implications to Iran. The effort would be that if the carrots don't work, the vise will grow tighter. Whether that will work or not to slow down Iran's movement toward becoming a nuclear power is not clear," he said.

On the eve of presidential elections, the US administration adopted measures which the observers assessed as 'turning of 180 degrees' in the US policy toward Iran. Williams Berns, deputy assistant to the Secretary of State will take part in the international talks with Israel on 19 July and this is high level of direct contacts between two countries for the last three decades.

"I believe, however, that Obama would, except in dire circumstances, take military intervention off of the table. However, others may not -- especially Israel," Rockman said.

The correspondent can be contacted at - [email protected]

Subscribe to Trend in Google News! Subscribe
Representatives of diplomatic corps in Azerbaijan begin visit to Sugovushan
Representatives of diplomatic corps in Azerbaijan begin visit to Sugovushan
FIA approves schedule for Azerbaijan Grand Prix in 2022
FIA approves schedule for Azerbaijan Grand Prix in 2022
Azerbaijan shares data on number of vaccinated citizens
Azerbaijan shares data on number of vaccinated citizens
Loading Bars
Gas prices in Europe to remain high over next 6 months
Iranian currency rates for October 16
Turkmenistan's electric potential rises after commissioning new capacious power plants
Iran to increase fuel production
UK MP killing was terrorist incident, Met Police say
Representatives of diplomatic corps in Azerbaijan begin visit to Sugovushan
Czech Republic eyes to support improvement of Georgian air transport infrastructure
1,900 more COVID-19 cases reported in Kazakhstan
Biden says those who refuse to testify in Jan 6 probe should be prosecuted
ISIS claims responsibility for mosque attack in Afghan city of Kandahar
Fully vaccinated foreign visitors can enter U.S. starting on Nov. 8
China's Shenzhou-13 crewed spaceship docks with space station module
UK records more than 40,000 COVID cases for third day in a row
Biden says Clinton will be released ‘shortly’ from California hospital
Amazon-owned Twitch says source code exposed in last week's data breach
Israel's annual inflation up 2.5 pct, highest in nearly decade
Africa's COVID-19 cases surpass 8.41 mln: Africa CDC
US shares specific data on cybercrime with Russia, awaits its actions, White House says
Saudi Arabia appoints Al-Rabiah as new Hajj minister
Chronicles of Victory: President Ilham Aliyev interviewed by Turkish A Haber TV channel on October 16, 2020 (PHOTO/VIDEO)
Chronicles of Victory: October 16, 2020
Czech PM Babis pledges smooth power handover to opposition
UK MP dies after being stabbed at constituency meeting
China’s Shenzhou-13 manned spacecraft successfully reach orbit
Four migrants dead, 21 missing off Spanish coast
FIA approves schedule for Azerbaijan Grand Prix in 2022
COVID-19 kills 197 more Iranians over past 24 hours
Georgian FM meets Slovenian counterpart
Armenia trying to prepare ground for new provocations against Azerbaijan by spreading fake information - MoD
Azerbaijani FM discusses mine threat in liberated territories with French CNEMA delegates (PHOTO)
Azerbaijan lifts flight restrictions for number of countries
Azerbaijani President signs law "On Independence Day"
EBRD to allocate loan to Turkmen beverage company
Azerbaijan records decline in fixed capital revenues for 9M2021
Turkmenistan, WB talk new areas of co-op
Uzbek-Korean JV announces tender to buy clarifier
Gasoline prices in Georgia increase
Money transfers to Azerbaijan via Golden Crown service grow for 9M2021
Iran looking to develop renewable energy - SATBA
Azerbaijani MoD discusses mine clearing in liberated territories with French delegation (PHOTO)
Iran eyeing increase in trade with Spain
Export-oriented local Georgian company to get benefits within USAID program
Saudi Arabia to ease coronavirus curbs from Oct. 17
Russia, Venezuela developing secured messenger — Rostec
Kazatomprom to look for new ways to bolster nuclear energy for peaceful purposes
Turkmenistan discloses area allotted for sowing winter barley in Dashoguz region
Agreement with Azerbaijan on additional gas supplies aimed at ensuring Turkey's gas reserves – Erdogan
First container train on its way to Azerbaijan's Karabakh (PHOTO/VIDEO)
Uzbekneftegaz receives gas flow from well at Khojikazgan field
Kazakhstan to exempt Caspian oil exports from customs duties
Kazakhstan unveils data on trade with other EAEU states
Volume of financial assets of non-financial corporations in Georgia increases
LUKOIL Uzbekistan to buy ceramic balls for catalysts via tender
Azerbaijan, as victorious country, is ready to normalize relations. We hope that Armenian leadership will not pass up on this historic opportunity - President Aliyev
U.S. administers 405.4 mln doses of COVID-19 vaccines
Кazakh national telecommunications operator opens tender to buy spares
Geostat shares data on revenues of Georgian enterprises for 2020
Azerbaijan shares data on number of vaccinated citizens
Netherlands’ FMO is open to new investments in Uzbek financial sector (Exclusive)
Azerbaijan confirms 1,850 more COVID-19 cases, 735 recoveries
Student of Baku Higher Oil School: ‘I am proud to bear the name of such a historical figure!’
French Renault begins production and commercial activities in Uzbekistan
NEQSOL Holding supports ADA University’s project to restore Gazakh Seminary (PHOTO)
Azerbaijan's agrarian agency discloses volume of issued subsidies in 9M2021
Money transfers to Georgia exceed investments
Russian peacekeepers - guarantors of peace in Karabakh - President Putin
Georgian air cargo transportation decreases
Azerbaijan ready to start talks with Armenia on delimitation of borders - President Ilham Aliyev
TAP helped in reducing European gas market volatility
Armenia has destroyed 16 of the 17 mosques in Shusha - President Aliyev
President Ilham Aliyev: Armenia refuses to provide us with full maps of mined areas
For about 30 years, Armenia, together with Iran, used former occupied territories of Azerbaijan for drug trafficking to Europe - President Aliyev
Illegal Armenian armed forces attempt new provocation against Azerbaijani units
Azerbaijan's State Employment Agency to launch project on financial support of entrepreneurs
President Ilham Aliyev hailed special role of President Vladimir Putin in cessation of hostilities in Karabakh
City of Aghdam was called “Hiroshima of the Caucasus” - Azerbaijani president
Karabakh conflict has been consigned to history - President Aliyev
Azerbaijan takes part in meeting of heads of security and intelligence agencies of CIS
Brent oil price on the ICE exchange up over $ 85/barrel
Iran seeks to transform its ports to transshipment hubs
Microfinance sector in Georgia hopes to rebound from COVID-19, shares forecast
President Ilham Aliyev attends CIS Heads of State Council's session in video conference format (PHOTO)
France's intention to take part in de-mining of Azerbaijan's lands - important, MP says
Death toll climbs to seven following fatal gun battles in Beirut
Azerbaijani ombudsman issues statement on anniversary of shelling of funeral procession in Tartar by Armenian troops
EBRD talks on financing of construction of high-voltage transmission line in Uzbekistan
Israeli companies getting increasingly interested in Russian market — Lavrov
TAP compensated decreasing share of imports from Norway and other LNG to Europe
Azerbaijan’s Parliament adopts bill ‘On Independence Day’
Agriculture goods production increases in Kazakhstan
Turkmenistan’s cotton mill shares export data for 9M2021
Kazakhstan unveils data on local car insurance
Turkmen enterprise reveals volume of oil products shipped to consumers
Uzbekistan approves funding for dozen of scientific projects
Azerbaijan’s Parliament to send congratulatory letter to President Ilham Aliyev, First Vice President Mehriban Aliyeva
Azerbaijani agrarian agency talks female entrepreneurs provided with preferential loans
Uzbekistan reveals number of vaccinated citizens as of October 15
Kazakhstan boosts cargo transportation by road
USAID ready to continue investing in agriculture dev’t in Azerbaijan
JOCAP updates on offshore installation campaign for Absheron field
All news