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Right coalition government in Israel can be unstable: experts

Politics Materials 17 March 2009 14:01 (UTC +04:00)
Right coalition government in Israel can be unstable: experts

Azerbaijan, Baku, March 16 / Trend U. Sadikhova / 

Establishment of a coalition between the Israeli parties Likud and "Israel is our Home" can affect solution of economic crisis problems in Israel and taking tough measures against Palestinian fire across Israel. But experts have doubts on this government's stability. 

Likud party leader Benyamin Netanyahu, who is in charge of forming Israel's new government, signed an agreement on establishment of coalition with the right party "Israel is our Home", ВВС Russian website reported.  
Upon the agreement, "Israel is our Home" Party leader Avigdor Lieberman must get portfolio of Foreign Minister.
Benyamin Netanyahu is supported by 15 MP mandates in addition to 27 mandates of Likud members.
"Israel is our Home" Party members will also get positions of tourism minister, minister of national infrastructure, minister of immigration and deputy minister of internal security.
The last Knesset elections were held in Israel on February 10. Though right centrist party Kadima got majority of votes in the elections, Israeli President charged Likud leader of forming the government. Netanyahu must submit the composition of the new government by 3 April. Netanyahu is supposed to sign an agreement with Israeli religious Shas Party
Netanyahu and Liebermann want to create a government of national unity, but the support of Kadima is necessary for this. 

Formerly the negotiations on its entrance to the coalition did not end with success. Leader of the Kadima Party, Tzipi Livni, declares that her party will be a responsible opposition.
"The coalition of rights will solve the problem of the economic crisis, which affected the banking system of Israel," Eytan Gilboa, professor of political science of Begin-Sadat (BESA) Center for Strategic Studies, told Trend via e-mail.
As a result of global economic crisis, the Israeli companies, which work in the sphere of high technologies, reduced the staff of workers.
 Observers consider that the government headed by the right parties can cause tension in the Israeli society.
Israel must preserve democracy in the country, but the government of right bloc does not leave possibility for this, Yossi Mekelberg, an associate fellow of the Middle East program at the Royal Institute of International Affairs (Chatham House), said.  

"This government will not be stable, because other parties are deprived of the possibility to make decision," Mekelberg told Trend in a telephone conversation from London. 

Israeli analyst Gilboa also has doubts on the stability of this government because it is deprived of "a sufficient reserve of durability".  

If Netanyahu forms the government, he will take the post of Prime Minister second time. 
In 1996 he became the youngest Prime Minister of Israel. He headed the right government, which was dissolved after several small parties left the coalition, protesting against the agreements with the Palestinians on the transfer of the territories on the West Bank, which he signed under the pressure of the USA.
Future negotiations with the Palestinians became the stumbling block in the establishment of the united government between the right and left parties.
Kadima supports the continuation of peaceful process to solve the conflict with Palestine, while Likud considers it necessary to resolve the question from an economic point of view and in the sphere of security.
 
Party of Liebermann supports the settler movement of the Jews on the West Bank and protests against giving occupied territories in exchange for the peace with the Palestinians.
The problem in the Palestinian-Israeli negotiations can be caused by the uncompromising position Netanyahu, but not the policy of Liebermann, who will become more moderated, said Shmuel Sandler, analyst on the domestic Israeli policy at BESA.

"The problem is created by Netanyahu, who protests against the solution of the problem of "two states", Sandler told Trend in a telephone conversation.
 
Netanyahu rejects the idea of establishing Palestinian state soon as it was stipulated by the governments of Ehud Olmert and Mahmud Abbas at the conference in Annapolis in 2007.

The difference in the positions of parties further deepened after withdrawal of the Israeli troops from the Gaza Strip in mid January after 22 days military operation against the members of Hamas. 

Likud and allied parties called upon to conduct military actions in the enclave until Hamas is destroyed. 

However, Kadima began regulating situation via talks with the mediation of Egypt.

The government of Netanyahu will be rigid with respect to the Palestinian groups, especially Hamas, said Gilboa.

"Changes can be in termination of rocket firings across Israel, since the problem still remains unchanged," he said.

Hamas launches rockets of Kassam across the southern regions of Israel and borders with Gaza in response to Israel's closing the checkpoints in Gaza. 

The internal difference between the moderate party Fatah and the Islamic resistance movement Hamas more influences the progress in the negotiations, said Gilboa. 

As a result of military conflicts in June 2007, Hamas evicted the troops of Fatah from Gaza Strip and took enclave under its control. Two governments were formed in Palestine: Fatah on the West Bank and Hamas in Gaza. 

The peaceful process does not depend on the government of Israel, Gilboa said, adding that the problem is that Tel Aviv does not know with whom to hold negotiations.
 
Political influence of Hamas that rejects to hold negotiations with Israel weakens the position of Fatah, Gilboa considers.

In Israel it is not excluded that the government of Netanyahu can begin military operations against Hamas in the future, which can lead to worsening in the relations with the U.S. Administration. 

Barack Obama mentioned the continuation of the peaceful process between the Israelis and Palestinians. 
The government of the right bloc must seriously accept the plans of Obama on the solution of Palestinian-Israeli conflict, Mekelberg said. 

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