BAKU, Azerbaijan, Dec.9
By Leman Zeynalova - Trend:
The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) expects that Brent prices will average $49/b in 2021, up from an expected average of $43/b in the fourth quarter of 2020, Trend reports citing the EIA.
“Brent crude oil spot prices averaged $43 per barrel in November, up $3/b from the average in October. Brent prices increased in November in part because of news about the viability of multiple COVID-19 vaccines, along with market expectations that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and partner countries (OPEC+) would delay or limit production increases planned for January 2021,” EIA said in its December Short-Term Energy Outlook.
The forecast for higher crude oil prices next year reflects EIA’s expectation that while inventories will remain high, they will decline with rising global oil demand and restrained OPEC+ oil production.
EIA forecasts Brent prices will average $47/b in the first quarter of 2021 and rise to an average of $50/b by the fourth quarter. The first quarter 2021 average is $5/b more than forecast in last month’s STEO, and the fourth quarter average is $1/b more. The higher expected first quarter prices reflect steeper expected global oil inventory draws as a result of the December 3 OPEC+ decision to limit its previously planned production increases in January 2021. EIA expects high global oil inventory levels and surplus crude oil production capacity will limit upward pressure on oil prices through much of 2021.
---
Follow the author on Twitter: @Lyaman_Zeyn