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China’s demand growth for petroleum products to slow down in 2022

Oil&Gas Materials 19 November 2021 15:03 (UTC +04:00)

BAKU, Azerbaijan, Nov.19

By Leman Zeynalova – Trend:

China’s demand growth for petroleum products will slow down in 2022, Trend reports with reference to the International Energy Agency (IEA).

The country’s demand will rise by 8.5 percent as of 2021, as compared to 3.8 percent in 2022.

The table below shows China’s demand for oil products (thousand barrels per day):

Oil products

2020

2021

2022

LPG & Ethane

1 837

2 131

2 225

Naphtha

1 444

1 623

1 759

Motor Gasoline

3 195

3 448

3 478

Jet Fuel & Kerosene

702

751

856

Gas/Diesel Oil

3 150

3 468

3 547

Residual Fuel Oil

433

451

470

Other Products

3 076

3 148

3 247

Chinese oil demand declined slightly in 3Q21, by 20 kb/d q-o-q, but rose by a steep 610 kb/d from 3Q20, on strong road fuel and petrochemical demand. We expect 4Q21 demand to be 10 kb/d lower q-o-q, with a slowdown in gasoline demand more than offsetting a mediocre

recovery in jet/kerosene and an increase in naphtha and LPG. Overall demand for 2021 is expected to increase by 1.2 mb/d y-o-y and should be 1.5 mb/d above 2019 levels. Demand in 2022 is expected to rise by 560 kb/d y-o-y.

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Follow the author on Twitter: @Lyaman_Zeyn

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