Baku, Azerbaijan, Jan. 18
By Elena Kosolapova - Trend:
The sanctions against Iran will not be fully lifted soon, Vladimir Yevseyev, the Russian military expert, the head of the Eurasian integration and SCO development department of the CIS Institute, said.
"Only the possibility of easing the UN Security Council's sanctions on the basis of IAEA Director General Yukiya Amano's positive report on Iran's nuclear program was discussed in Vienna Jan. 16," Yevseyev told Trend Jan. 16.
Earlier at the meeting in Vienna, Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif said that the sanctions imposed on Iran due to the nuclear program will be lifted Jan. 16.
Yevseyev reminded of the four sanction resolutions of the UN Security Council, saying that they can not be cancelled immediately.
"This must be preceded by a long preparatory process," he said. As for the sanctions imposed by the EU and the US, just some of them will be lifted.
"The statements of the Iranian side are mainly stipulated by the internal political reasons because people begin to urge Iranian President Hassan Rouhani to fulfill the promises on the economy," he said. "It is necessary to try to convince people that these changes will be made tomorrow."
The expert said that it is particularly important on the eve of two important events in Iran, namely, the parliamentary election and Assembly of Experts election, to be held in late February.
"At the same time, even in case of lifting the sanctions, it will be difficult to supply Iran's oil to the world markets, as all of them are not free," he said. "Moreover, the investments are required to constantly increase exports. But there is a lack of investments and they can appear, at best, in the summer of 2017."
Yevseyev said that the investors are now waiting for the change of administration in the White House.
"The inauguration of the US next president will be held in January 2017," he said.
"Afterwards, the senior officials of the administration must be appointed. This will take several months. Only then the attitude of the new administration towards the Iranian nuclear program, as well as its readiness for the resumption of relations with Iran will be evident. Big investors will not appear in Iran before this period."
"While speaking about the impact of Iranian oil on the world oil prices, the expert said that Iran, according to the experts, will be able to increase export by only one million barrels at the world consumption of more than 90 million barrels but in case of available investments," he said. "The impact of these volumes on oil prices will be much smaller than the impact of dumping of Saudi Arabia."