Although compliance of Armenian-Turkish protocols with Constitution recognized, Armenian parliament unlikely to ratify it: experts
Azerbaijan, Baku, Jan. 12 / Trend E.Tariverdiyeva /
Although, the Armenian Constitutional Court has confirmed compliance of the Armenian-Turkish protocols with the Constitution, the country's parliament is unlikely to ratify it, unless the Turkish Parliament does, experts say.
"Despite Armenia's Constitutional Court has confirmed today compliance of the Armenian-Turkish protocols with the Constitution, the Armenian parliament is unlikely to ratify these protocols," Central Asia-Caucasus Institute at Johns Hopkins University Director Svante Cornell told Trend over the telephone.
Armenia's Constitutional Court found the Armenian-Turkish protocols corresponding with the Constitution, the Novosti-Armenia news agency reported.
Armenia's Constitutional Court launched its consideration of the protocols on Tuesday morning.
Armenian Foreign Minister Edward Nalbandian spoke as official representative of the Armenian President during consideration of the case.
The case was considered in a written procedural order on the basis of the documents submitted to the court.
Turkish and Armenian foreign ministers Ahmet Davutoglu and Edward Nalbandian signed the Ankara-Yerevan protocols on normalization relations between two countries in Zurich Oct. 10, 2009.
Diplomatic relations between Armenia and Turkey have been broken due to Armenia's claims of an alleged genocide, and its occupation of Azerbaijani lands. The border between them has been broken since 1993.
According to experts, despite, Armenia recognized compliance of the protocols with the Constitution, the country's parliament will hardly ratify it.
There is little or no chance that Jan.12 the Armenian Constitutional Court's decision and the actions by the Armenian parliament later, will go against the wishes of the Armenian government and President Serzh Sargsyan, Director of Armenian Center for National and International Studies Richard Giragosian believes.
"The Armenian government is committed to adopting the protocols, but only after or at the same time as Turkey," Giragosian wrote Trend in an e-mail.
Ratification of the protocols by the Armenian parliament depends on Turkey, Turkish MP from the opposition National Movement Party Reshad Dogru said.
"I do not believe the Armenian parliament to ratify the protocols, because there are certain milestones that are important for Armenia," Dogru told Trend over the telephone. "Armenia will not easily accept the milestones such as recognition of the current Turkish territory and liberation of the occupied Azerbaijani lands."
The expert does not believe in rapid ratification of the protocols by the Armenian parliament.
Cornell said when carefully observing the recent events, it becomes clear that there is no political activity in the region.
He said much depends now on the actions of the Turkish Parliament.
"I think that Armenia will wait for Turkish actions in ratification of the protocols in its Parliament," Cornell said.
Another factor of the development of events concerning the Armenian-Turkish protocols will influence the position of Armenia, Russia and the United States, the expert said.
According to the Armenian expert, the status of the protocols has been stalled or delayed, but with the delay limited to the Turkish side only.
"The real challenge is limited to the Turkish side and there is a real danger that if Turkey fails to meet the expectations of the international community by ratifying the protocols "within a reasonable timeframe," Turkey may suffer a strategic loss and may even pay a price for turning back after so much diplomatic capital has already been extended by all sides," Giragosian added.
R.Hafizoglu contributed to the article.
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