Trend Middle East Desk Head Rufiz Hafizoglu
The attempts of holding revolutionary coup, started last week, continue in Egypt. It is in the spotlight of the world for the last days. The fact that the number of dead and wounded is increasing every day, shows that the revolution was accomplished, and Mubarak's regime defeated.
Such a strong reaction of Egyptian people against the 30-year regime of economic and political pressure was still unexpected.
The Egyptian government, initially ignoring the demands of people, was forced to begin a dialogue with the opposition, given the riots that covered many cities of the country, as well as international pressure on official Cairo.
However, the leader of Egypt did not fail to allude to the West about the consequences, to which the current situation in the country of pyramids may lead.
In an interview with U.S. TV channel ABC Mubarak said that I am tired of power, I am ready to go, but I am afraid that after my leaving, the Muslim Brotherhood movement will come to power and the country will be covered by chaos.
Hosni Mubarak's words were addressed to not only the U.S., but to split the opposition in the country.
It is not a secret that the Egyptian president chose a similar tactic to direct the events in the country in a different direction. No one expected that Mubarak's supporters in civilian clothes to clash with the opposition in Cairo.
As opposed to ex-President of Tunisia Ben Ali, Mubarak's overthrowing delayed. There are many reasons. Mubarak, despite a number of similarities to Ben Ali, is more experienced from the political point of view and moreover, he is a military.
Moreover, Egypt, as opposed to Tunisia, is a strategically important country in the Arab world. It is for this reason, a number of Arab countries, including Saudi Arabia, considered the patroness of Islam and Muslims, supported Mubarak's regime and sharply criticized the opposition.
Moreover, Arab leaders are well aware that after such an experienced and strong from political point of view leader as Mubarak leaves, they will be the next.
Echo of the revolution, after overthrowing the Egyptian leader, may sound in other Arab countries, including Jordan, Syria, Algeria and Yemen.
Undoubtedly, Europe, the U.S and even Iran will take advantage of the protests and the revolutionary atmosphere in the Arab countries.
Tehran has already made attempts to head the "bread riots" in Egypt and Tunisia.
The events in North Africa and other Muslim countries are an echo of the Islamic revolution of the Iranian people, Iranian supreme religious leader Ayatollah Khamenei said during the Friday Khutbah.
If the revolution covers the entire Arab world, certainly, the most dangerous one will occur in Yemen as besides political and economic weakness, the terrorist organization al-Qaeda and Iran in the face of the Yemenite Shi'ites - the Houthis will exert serious influence on official Sana'a.
The clash in Yemen between local Shiites and governmental forces in 2008 forced the Sunni Arab countries to think seriously about the threat posed by the Shiite crescent.
After those events the president of Yemen made a statement on TV channel al-Jazeera in which he noted the role of Iran and supporters of Muqtada al-Sadr. He did not accuse Tehran officially, but spoke about the documents confirming the transfer of $ 100,000 to the Shiite rebels by the forces related to Muqtada al-Sadr and Iran.
Many political analysts think Mubarak's chance to stay in power after the events in Cairo as zero.
Undoubtedly, the decline of the political regime will cause major changes in the country. Of course, not big but democratic atmosphere will be created.
Despite the fact that today the Muslim Brotherhood movement declares that they have no intention to lead the country, Islamists will get power.
At the moment, the only real political force is the Muslim Brotherhood movement, though it does not look active. This organization is a think tank of political Islam
Many people think that after Mubarak and under the influence of the Muslim Brotherhood movement, the country will become the second Iran. However, while considering the situation thoroughly, one can say with confidence that this will not happen.
First and foremost, it is worth remembering that if Mubarak's regime is replaced in Egypt by democratic regime, it will bring political split among the Islamists, in particular the Muslim Brotherhood movement. The existence of anti-democratic regime caused invariability of the political course of the organization.
If Mubarak's regime falls and as it is expected, the Sunni Islamists will come to power, it will be the beginning of fight between Cairo and Tehran for the right to primacy in the Islamic world. The Sunni Muslim world still remembers how the Mahdi Army and death squads in Iraq entered Baghdad on U.S. tanks.
If there will be revolution in Egypt, its consequences will affect the whole Muslim world.