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Azerbaijan's Baku turning into pivotal nexus in logistics landscape of Eurasia

Politics Analytics 27 June 2025 04:37 (UTC +04:00)
Azerbaijan's Baku turning into pivotal nexus in logistics landscape of Eurasia
Elchin Alioghlu
Elchin Alioghlu
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BAKU, Azerbaijan, June 27. A fresh blueprint, grounded in practicality and know-how, is coming to light in Eurasia as the old guard crumbles under the weight of geopolitical tug-of-war.

Within this framework, Azerbaijan is no longer merely a transit point: it has become a pivotal node, an integral component of the logistical, energy, and politico-economic architecture of the 21st-century Silk Road.

On that account, Baku and Beijing have not just talked the talk, but have walked the walk with solid agreements that have turned the tide in their relationship. At the heart of this transformation are two documents signed in May and June: an updated Cooperation Plan within the Belt and Road Initiative and an Agreement on International Multimodal Transport.

These documents are not statements of intent cloaked in diplomatic labels. They are roadmaps and practical mechanisms that, from a legal standpoint, formalize the synchronized and institutional unification of Azerbaijan and China. Moreover, these relations are founded on the logic of balanced symmetry of interests rather than dependency. Baku has long surpassed the image of a mere "transit territory".

Today, it's about the full integration of Azerbaijan into the strategic infrastructure matrix designed by China. It’s not just about being a checkpoint, but about becoming an equal participant in transport and logistics processes, digital, financial, and production chains. The action plan signed between the two nations encompasses not only trade turnover but also joint production, energy cooperation, and the creation of digital platforms. Azerbaijan is becoming part of the technological ecosystem of the Belt and Road Initiative, gaining access to China’s institutional expertise, investment resources, and next-generation logistics architecture.

The execution of the strategic initiative has been delegated to the Ministry of Economy of the Republic of Azerbaijan, highlighting the government's prioritization of the endeavor and the elevated degree of reciprocal confidence between Baku and Beijing. China is actively interfacing with institutional stakeholders. The subsequent pivotal phase—the Accord on Multimodal Transportation ratified in June 2025—introduces, for the inaugural occasion, a cohesive framework of legal, technical, and digital benchmarks for transit operations traversing Azerbaijani jurisdiction.

This document delineates domains including electronic cargo documentation, compliance with safety standards, and data processing methodologies, culminating in a reduction of delivery timelines between China and the Caspian region to a span of seven to nine days—approximately 50% more efficient than the benchmarks established two years prior. The outcomes are already quantifiable: container throughput in Q1 2025 surged by 42.3 percent, establishing a definitive benchmark within the Belt and Road corridors. The Middle Corridor—extending through Kazakhstan, the Caspian Sea, Azerbaijan, and Europe—has transcended its role as a mere transit pathway; it is evolving into the principal conduit of the emergent Eurasian economic landscape.

But the strategic partnership between Baku and Beijing has long extended beyond logistics.

In May 2025, PowerChina confirmed its participation in constructing a 500-megawatt solar power plant in the Jabrayil district. Project implementation begins in August 2025 and will serve as the flagship of Azerbaijan's transition to green energy.

Simultaneously, CNPC is in negotiations with SOCAR regarding the modernization of gas processing and the potential export of hydrogen to Europe. This isn’t just about exports; it’s about establishing sustainable “clean energy” routes amid rising European demand. All these developments are part of Azerbaijan's new energy strategy, approved in May.

The strategy is based on a synthesis of sustainable infrastructure, diversified supplies, and an East–West balance. The goal is to make the country an energy hub in a changing world—not merely a bridge. The shift in routes is the result of political changes, not just logistical optimization.

After 2024, the sanctions tug-of-war between China and the West took a new turn, pushing Beijing to explore new avenues to Europe, steering clear of Russian territory. The Middle Corridor—through Kazakhstan, the Caspian Sea, Azerbaijan, Georgia, and then into Europe—is now seen as the new norm, not an alternative. For China, it reduces risks and ensures supply chain stability. For Azerbaijan, it is a moment of strategic strengthening, where geography, infrastructure, and sovereign policy become a formula for influence.

Today, Azerbaijan is no longer just a “transit country” but an architect of new Eurasian integration. It builds partnerships not on dependence, but on pragmatic balance, legal precision, and political neutrality. Beijing understands this and engages with Baku not as a secondary partner but as a full-fledged element of its global project.

This is the true value of this new stage in their relationship: Azerbaijan is no longer an object, but a subject of Eurasian geoeconomic transformation. Baku is at the epicenter of change, shaping Eurasia's new geo-economy. The numbers confirm this. According to the International Union of Railways, in 2024, freight traffic along the Middle Corridor reached 552,000 TEU.

The forecast for 2025 is 730,000 TEU. Notably, over 63 percent of these freight flows pass through Azerbaijan. This isn’t just logistics. It’s a recognition of Azerbaijan’s role as the main Eurasian hub—a mediator between East and West. At the same time, it signals growing interest, competition, and pressure, including from Türkiye, Russia, and the EU. In a world where routes have become political statements and containers are tools of strategic influence, Azerbaijan is no longer a passive participant—it is a co-author and operator of global projects.

The Belt and Road Initiative is no longer just a Chinese project for Baku: it has become a joint platform, where Azerbaijan is an equal architect. The cooperation plan and multimodal transport agreement signed by Baku and Beijing from April through June 2025 have met mixed reactions globally.

On June 3, Turkish Transport Minister Abdulkadir Uraloglu announced intentions to expand railway links with Azerbaijan and join the prospective Zangezur Corridor.

Thus, a strategic triangle is forming—Ankara–Baku–Beijing—this format could radically change the rules of the game on the Eurasian continent. But Moscow and Tehran are concerned. On June 5, Iran’s Foreign Ministry stated that the new routes allegedly “undermine the stability of regional transit”.

Russia didn’t stop at words. In an official statement, the Russian Foreign Ministry spoke of a “revision of priorities” along the North–South Corridor—effectively an admission of losing previous control over the South Caucasus. On April 23, 2025, a Cooperation Plan and an additional Multimodal Transport Agreement were signed between Azerbaijan and China in Beijing. These documents are not merely symbolic acts or logistical protocols—they are architectural drafts of the new Eurasian infrastructure. The world has recognized: Azerbaijan can no longer be left out.

Without Baku, attempts to build alternative routes are doomed to fail. The geopolitical map of transit has been redrawn, and its center lies on the Caspian. The logic of modern Eurasian cooperation no longer allows for formal roles. Azerbaijan is now determining the trajectory and tempo on its own. Baku has moved from being an observer to becoming a coordinator.

This is reflected in concrete infrastructure actions: the construction of multimodal hubs based on the country’s main internal nodes has begun; the Port of Baku is expanding; the Alat transport junction is being modernized and transformed into a major logistics and cargo center; a specialized cargo airport is being planned; and digital solutions, including blockchain technologies, are being implemented for cargo flow monitoring and management. This transformation isn’t limited to steel and asphalt. Azerbaijan is building a new kind of infrastructure—managed, automated, and technologically sovereign.

Here, transport, digitization, and policy converge. Data from the Baku International Sea Trade Port confirms the scale of what is unfolding. In the first quarter of 2025, the port's cargo turnover increased by 38 percent compared to the same period last year. 71 percent of all containers originate from China. This means Azerbaijan is no longer just a node in a supply chain—it is a command hub of the entire logistics system between East and West. Baku determines not only the direction of goods, but also the terms of access, the pace of movement, and even the cost of transit. This is a level of strategic influence where infrastructure stops being merely functional and becomes a political tool.

Financial flows follow certain routes. The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) responded almost immediately to the agreements signed between Azerbaijan and China. On April 24, the bank announced its decision to allocate up to $1.2 billion for the development of Azerbaijan’s logistics infrastructure.

The investments will support the construction of new loading/unloading stations in Yevlakh and Ganja, digitalization of logistics processes, and most importantly, the integration of Azerbaijan into the "Digital Silk Road". This is not just about technical participation—it’s about transforming Baku into the coordinating center of this system.

That distinction makes all the difference. The goal is for Azerbaijan to define the rules and parameters of digital trade between Asia and Europe, independently of external decisions. The Middle Corridor, running through the Caspian, Azerbaijan, Georgia, and Türkiye, effectively excludes traditional routes through Russia. This shift is not driven by political fashion, but by objective reasons: the route is faster, cheaper, and safer. If shipping goods from China to Europe via Russia takes 27 days, via Azerbaijan it takes just 10.4 days—a nearly threefold difference. While shipping a 40-foot container along the Russian route costs an average of $4,870, the Azerbaijani route costs $3,420.

This isn’t just savings—it’s a radical change in strategic thinking: calculations outweigh ideology, speed replaces slogans, and infrastructure dictates policy. Azerbaijan has become a system. The new transit configuration of Eurasia passes through this system, where each infrastructure element is backed by financing, digital technology, and political decisions. In an environment of sanctions, military risks, information warfare, and global mistrust, it is not slogans that prevail—but routes. And the winners are those routes that provide guarantees, speed, and flexibility.

The agreements signed with China on April 23 are not just formal documents - they formalized the truth that has long been clear to regional and global players: Baku is not required to participate - an agreement is concluded with Baku.

Because in the new logistics architecture of Eurasia, Azerbaijan is a checkpoint, not a transit point. The world is changing, as are its rules.

Old paths are falling by the wayside, and once-strong partnerships are losing their grip on the reins.

Those who can institutionally secure their place in the new logistics and energy regimes do not just attract attention - they become indispensable players.

Azerbaijan is one of such strategic actors.

The country no longer plays according to scripts written by others. Baku writes new chapters of Eurasian history on its own.

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