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European gas demand to continue exceeding production by 2050

Oil&Gas Materials 13 October 2021 12:02 (UTC +04:00)

BAKU, Azerbaijan, Oct.13

By Leman Zeynalova – Trend:

European gas demand is expected to continue exceeding production by 2050, Trend reports referring to the International Energy Agency (IEA).

The table below shows the expected gas production and demand in Europe in 2030 and 2050 in three different scenarios (billion cubic meters):

Stated Policies

Announced Pledges

Sustainable Development

2030

2050

2030

2050

2030

2050

Natural gas production

200

181

179

96

172

41

Natural gas demand

587

497

504

234

483

118

The steep rise in European gas prices has been driven by a combination of a strong recovery in demand and tighter-than-expected supply, as well as several weather-related factors. These include a particularly cold and long heating season in Europe last winter, and lower-than-usual availability of wind energy in recent weeks.

European prices also reflect broader global gas market dynamics. There were strong cold spells in East Asia and North America in the first quarter of 2021. They were followed by heatwaves in Asia and drought in various regions, including Brazil. All of these developments added to the upward trend in gas demand. In Asia, gas demand has remained strong throughout the year, primarily driven by China, but also by Japan and Korea. On the supply side, liquefied natural gas (LNG) production worldwide has been lower than expected due to a series of unplanned outages and delays across the globe and delayed maintenance from 2020.

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Follow the author on Twitter: @Lyaman_Zeyn

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